Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
-$61
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
115
lifetime
Volume
$29.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$257
Open exposure
$1.97K
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 06-26 06:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
60%
Other
24% 0% $-20
Crypto
9%
Sports
7%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +16,988 $1,731 $1.4K $-287 06-26 06:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -911 $-246 12¢ $-105 +$142 06-11 13:55
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -622 $-123 16¢ $-103 +$21 06-15 00:32
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -1,177 $-106 $-77 +$29 06-15 00:32
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026? Yes -887 $-82 $-63 +$19 06-18 04:07
Japan recession in 2026? Yes -374 $-36 16¢ $-62 $-26 06-15 00:32
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -595 $-89 $-51 +$39 06-15 00:32
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -54 $-25 60¢ $-32 $-7 06-05 22:03
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes -314 $-28 $-20 +$8 06-15 00:32
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026? Yes -627 $-20 $-20 +$0 06-15 00:33