Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$519
Trades
77
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$9,985
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-30 00:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $0 | $3 | $3 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $22 | $126 | $104 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $5 | $2 | +$2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $1 | $9 | $8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | $3 | $2 |
| Median | 11 | — | $87 | $87 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $17 | $1 | +$16 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 5 | $1 | $49 | $48 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +229 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 06-15 00:33 |
| Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-15 00:33 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +98 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-15 00:33 |
| Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | +79 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 06-24 08:08 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | +48 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-22 10:55 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +44 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-15 00:33 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +23 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-30 00:28 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +4 | $0 | $1 | 14 | 06-30 00:28 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 06-30 00:29 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $12 | 6 | 06-29 06:12 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-16 04:52 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 04:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 02:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +1 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 06-15 05:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 00:29:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xbe9444… |
| 06-30 00:29:04 | Striking-Similarity 0x49b6…4184 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xbe9444… |
| 06-30 00:28:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa191f7… |
| 06-30 00:28:55 | United-Growth 0xd12b…0c69 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa191f7… |
| 06-30 00:28:50 | Youthful-Buying 0xe1d1…1470 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x51446e… |
| 06-30 00:28:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x51446e… |
| 06-30 00:28:44 | Hateful-Horst 0x51f6…c482 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0be06d… |
| 06-30 00:28:44 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0be06d… |
| 06-30 00:28:41 | Trivial-Residence 0x0f82…a1a8 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x51576c… |
| 06-30 00:28:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x51576c… |
| 06-30 00:28:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x51576c… |
| 06-30 00:28:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb23b16… |
| 06-30 00:28:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xce6afa… |
| 06-30 00:28:34 | Sweltering-Chime 0x3357…4024 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xce6afa… |
| 06-30 00:28:34 | Aware-Corduroy 0x350d…6d5b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xb23b16… |
| 06-30 00:28:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe149ec… |
| 06-30 00:28:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb3840d… |
| 06-30 00:28:23 | Private-Birch 0xf757…352e | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe149ec… |
| 06-30 00:28:23 | Scented-Pants 0xc624…dfdd | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xb3840d… |
| 06-30 00:22:44 | Striking-Similarity 0x49b6…4184 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x404f62… |
| 06-30 00:22:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x404f62… |
| 06-30 00:22:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe8aed4… |
| 06-30 00:22:32 | United-Growth 0xd12b…0c69 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe8aed4… |
| 06-30 00:22:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xee8317… |
| 06-30 00:22:29 | Trivial-Residence 0x0f82…a1a8 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xee8317… |
| 06-30 00:22:23 | Youthful-Buying 0xe1d1…1470 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x554ea1… |
| 06-30 00:22:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x554ea1… |
| 06-30 00:22:13 | Hateful-Horst 0x51f6…c482 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x50121f… |
| 06-30 00:22:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x50121f… |
| 06-30 00:21:55 | Aware-Corduroy 0x350d…6d5b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xdd67ee… |
| 06-30 00:21:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdd67ee… |
| 06-30 00:21:50 | Sweltering-Chime 0x3357…4024 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xaaf765… |
| 06-30 00:21:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xaaf765… |
| 06-30 00:21:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x50fa4a… |
| 06-30 00:21:43 | Private-Birch 0xf757…352e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x50fa4a… |
| 06-30 00:21:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xca5b2e… |
| 06-30 00:21:41 | Scented-Pants 0xc624…dfdd | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xca5b2e… |
| 06-29 06:12:37 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xca0136… |
| 06-29 06:12:37 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | No | SELL | 48 | 98¢ | $47 | 0xca0136… |
| 06-29 06:12:25 | (anonymous) 0x59b3…a039 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xafa874… |
| 06-29 06:12:25 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xafa874… |
| 06-26 06:54:58 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x15b02e… |
| 06-26 06:54:58 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x15b02e… |
| 06-26 06:54:58 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x15b02e… |
| 06-26 06:54:58 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | SELL | 105 | 96¢ | $101 | 0x15b02e… |
| 06-24 08:09:04 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1b42f9… |
| 06-24 08:09:04 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1b42f9… |
| 06-24 08:08:56 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xc7536d… |
| 06-24 08:08:56 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc7536d… |
| 06-24 08:08:56 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | BUY | 79 | 97¢ | $77 | 0xc7536d… |
| 06-22 10:55:55 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdca825… |
| 06-22 10:55:55 | (anonymous) 0x59b3…a039 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdca825… |
| 06-16 04:56:15 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x7d2aa0… |
| 06-16 04:56:15 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x7d2aa0… |
| 06-16 04:52:51 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe93110… |
| 06-16 04:52:51 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe93110… |
| 06-15 05:41:58 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3f6144… |
| 06-15 05:41:58 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x3f6144… |
| 06-15 05:41:58 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | SELL | 85 | 96¢ | $82 | 0x3f6144… |
| 06-15 05:41:58 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3f6144… |
| 06-15 00:33:00 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x60c3fb… |
| 06-15 00:33:00 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 129 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x60c3fb… |
| 06-15 00:33:00 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | SELL | 82 | 96¢ | $78 | 0x60c3fb… |
| 06-15 00:33:00 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x60c3fb… |
| 06-15 00:33:00 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 44 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x60c3fb… |
| 06-15 00:33:00 | Left-Oleo 0xf678…a255 | Yes | SELL | 627 | 3¢ | $20 | 0x60c3fb… |
| 06-15 00:33:00 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x60c3fb… |
| 06-15 00:33:00 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 97 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x60c3fb… |
| 06-15 00:33:00 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x60c3fb… |
| 06-09 19:31:30 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xe1d18d… |
| 06-09 19:31:30 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe1d18d… |
| 06-09 19:31:30 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 111 | 6¢ | $7 | 0xe1d18d… |
| 06-09 19:31:30 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xe1d18d… |
| 05-30 02:49:54 | (anonymous) 0x69a8…97bd | No | SELL | 0 | 93¢ | $0 | 0x52093f… |
| 05-30 02:49:54 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 0 | 93¢ | $0 | 0x52093f… |
| 05-30 02:49:37 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd3e319… |
| 05-30 02:49:37 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd3e319… |