United-Growth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

277

lifetime

Volume

$278

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-11 00:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

43% 0% $-0

Politics

28% 0% $-0

Crypto

22% 75% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes		-1	$-1	99¢	$-1	$-0	06-03 00:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nothing ever happens microstrategy	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-20 03:02
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 20	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-17 01:07
will mike mccoy be fired by february 28	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-06 08:42
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	02-13 04:06
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	06-11 00:42
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 01:25
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 00:55
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 00:35
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 00:24
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 00:39
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 01:34
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 00:35
Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 02:58
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 01:26
will super bowl lx have between 124m and 128m viewers	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-11 00:30
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 00:55
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 00:27
OpenGradient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-22 07:47
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-04 00:38
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 01:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 01:24
will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 01:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 00:38
will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in march 892	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 01:04
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 00:23
bitcoin above 72k on april 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 00:43
will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 03:21
Espresso FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	02-11 00:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 00:43
Will Ventuals launch a token by March 31 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 00:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 00:42:42	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4c9ad9…
06-10 00:39:46	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x1a9ad5…
06-10 00:26:51	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3158dd…
06-09 00:24:27	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5bf8ee…
06-09 00:16:37	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe1f318…
06-08 00:20:07	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x93ad82…
06-08 00:13:52	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xaca964…
06-05 00:36:49	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf7689c…
06-05 00:36:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x8e014b…
06-05 00:27:51	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x492e42…
06-05 00:20:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5a9b47…
06-03 00:38:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xf58be4…
06-03 00:37:47	Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2a3179…
06-03 00:21:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc99117…
06-02 00:17:09	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1e7666…
06-02 00:14:58	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x226074…
06-02 00:02:01	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8e6db0…
06-01 23:58:46	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb3dcc6…
06-01 00:48:26	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x0e1f6e…
06-01 00:46:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x4d1b70…
06-01 00:27:06	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1800ce…
06-01 00:21:23	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x381578…
05-30 00:24:36	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb3b9a6…
05-30 00:03:08	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4d3c0e…
05-29 00:37:21	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc66594…
05-29 00:36:20	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x5ac5fb…
05-29 00:23:19	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc1d405…
05-29 00:20:35	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc1b005…
05-28 00:55:58	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x641614…
05-28 00:54:36	US x China tariff agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xbf9749…
05-28 00:27:27	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x51130d…
05-27 00:27:49	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xaeb5f1…
05-27 00:09:16	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xac8e3f…
05-26 00:41:24	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa34490…
05-26 00:40:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb7528e…
05-26 00:26:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x042823…
05-26 00:19:23	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7f2c8c…
05-22 00:39:35	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x08610f…
05-22 00:18:58	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x25e223…
05-21 00:52:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x383712…
05-21 00:32:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8d6e99…
05-20 00:37:48	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc3ac81…
05-20 00:35:51	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xb9cbc7…
05-20 00:18:00	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6d228b…
05-20 00:15:07	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf14bb5…
05-18 00:57:59	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa7a26f…
05-18 00:49:26	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe3b06d…
05-16 00:23:11	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x43e587…
05-16 00:22:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x085aaa…
05-16 00:14:35	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x89d49a…
05-16 00:09:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xce641c…
05-15 00:57:33	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xff643a…
05-15 00:55:34	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe0d134…
05-15 00:35:18	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbc8df8…
05-15 00:27:48	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf14a28…
05-14 00:35:22	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0f07c6…
05-14 00:32:24	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x3e5823…
05-14 00:23:37	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbbbfde…
05-14 00:19:35	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0901a8…
05-12 00:42:22	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9c1682…
05-12 00:39:22	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb9a22a…
05-12 00:21:32	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfe53dc…
05-12 00:19:39	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe2d5c1…
05-08 01:24:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfa31b9…
05-08 01:18:46	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6c9e22…
05-08 01:14:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4e801d…
05-08 00:53:18	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x138ffe…
05-06 00:25:16	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb3b5bd…
05-06 00:15:58	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x834105…
05-05 00:08:24	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7863bb…
04-30 01:43:46	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x927534…
04-30 01:41:26	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x14d854…
04-30 00:29:42	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3a2990…
04-30 00:24:48	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x81f125…
04-29 00:38:20	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1804ef…
04-29 00:36:36	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x03ce56…
04-29 00:30:50	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4af182…
04-29 00:25:34	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x21ff1c…
04-28 00:43:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd2275e…
04-28 00:42:10	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x14ec25…
04-28 00:35:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb6bfa0…
04-28 00:29:14	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xade339…
04-27 00:37:36	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc908bd…
04-27 00:36:40	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x261949…
04-27 00:27:46	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa96291…
04-27 00:21:40	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x71708e…
04-25 00:57:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4b6999…
04-25 00:55:24	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb8ce3a…
04-25 00:47:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf877ec…
04-25 00:33:20	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3c4a04…
04-24 00:48:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1f8db2…
04-24 00:46:20	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2ca39d…
04-24 00:38:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0e0981…
04-24 00:28:38	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7583b9…
04-23 08:57:00	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x05446a…
04-23 08:56:20	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x8fd5e7…
04-23 08:54:18	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa6fe45…
04-23 08:50:28	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x089728…
04-22 07:49:42	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf376f2…
04-22 07:47:58	OpenGradient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x18d4d3…