United-Growth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

326

lifetime

Volume

$326

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-02 00:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

43% 0% $-0

Politics

31% 0% $-0

Crypto

19% 75% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nothing ever happens microstrategy	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-20 03:02
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 20	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-17 01:07
will mike mccoy be fired by february 28	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-06 08:42
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	02-13 04:06
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	06-11 00:42
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 01:25
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 00:55
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 00:35
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 00:24
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 00:39
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 01:34
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 00:35
Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 02:58
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 01:26
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 00:55
will super bowl lx have between 124m and 128m viewers	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-11 00:30
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 00:27
OpenGradient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-22 07:47
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-04 00:38
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 01:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 01:24
will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 01:56
will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-16 00:26
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-22 00:47
iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-29 00:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 00:38
will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in march 892	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 01:04
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 00:23
bitcoin above 72k on april 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 00:43
will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 03:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 00:54:26	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x791374…
07-02 00:42:34	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x767d7b…
07-02 00:35:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xda81c9…
07-02 00:25:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x554a5f…
07-01 00:34:58	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc54f5f…
07-01 00:25:13	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xda779f…
07-01 00:14:10	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbff39d…
06-30 23:57:55	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3ee80b…
06-30 00:44:40	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xfaa75f…
06-30 00:33:02	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6f3a1e…
06-30 00:28:55	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa191f7…
06-30 00:22:32	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe8aed4…
06-29 00:54:08	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x95887b…
06-29 00:42:47	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x23d46c…
06-27 00:47:14	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xa04eb1…
06-27 00:35:56	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x24560e…
06-27 00:32:43	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x06bf41…
06-27 00:28:43	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcfe4c9…
06-26 01:11:37	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xbd139f…
06-26 01:06:04	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3ea75f…
06-25 00:47:43	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb439b7…
06-25 00:39:50	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0fb143…
06-24 00:53:22	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xcc852f…
06-24 00:47:02	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1acf79…
06-24 00:43:37	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xc8f8c5…
06-24 00:31:55	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9fabc7…
06-23 00:53:40	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x152232…
06-23 00:48:02	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9f8e44…
06-23 00:42:41	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf547ea…
06-23 00:32:13	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfdea91…
06-22 00:47:44	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x23fb9f…
06-22 00:38:37	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x026083…
06-22 00:33:59	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa815ff…
06-22 00:28:16	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfecb5f…
06-21 00:32:23	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf448c9…
06-21 00:17:41	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9e9e82…
06-18 00:45:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 19	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8bfba7…
06-17 00:45:47	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x312523…
06-17 00:38:23	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5efce8…
06-17 00:31:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xcca693…
06-17 00:23:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x45226a…
06-16 00:26:57	will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdc81c1…
06-16 00:17:12	will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x157806…
06-15 00:56:24	will donald trump have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x46420d…
06-13 00:54:37	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x10796e…
06-13 00:46:01	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x109f5b…
06-13 00:39:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x09d375…
06-12 00:55:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa68ea5…
06-12 00:29:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd0aefd…
06-11 00:42:42	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4c9ad9…
06-10 00:39:46	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x1a9ad5…
06-10 00:26:51	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3158dd…
06-09 00:24:27	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5bf8ee…
06-09 00:16:37	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe1f318…
06-08 00:20:07	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x93ad82…
06-08 00:13:52	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xaca964…
06-05 00:36:49	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf7689c…
06-05 00:36:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x8e014b…
06-05 00:27:51	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x492e42…
06-05 00:20:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5a9b47…
06-03 00:38:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xf58be4…
06-03 00:37:47	Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2a3179…
06-03 00:21:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc99117…
06-02 00:17:09	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1e7666…
06-02 00:14:58	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x226074…
06-02 00:02:01	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8e6db0…
06-01 23:58:46	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb3dcc6…
06-01 00:48:26	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x0e1f6e…
06-01 00:46:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x4d1b70…
06-01 00:27:06	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1800ce…
06-01 00:21:23	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x381578…
05-30 00:24:36	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb3b9a6…
05-30 00:03:08	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4d3c0e…
05-29 00:37:21	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc66594…
05-29 00:36:20	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x5ac5fb…
05-29 00:23:19	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc1d405…
05-29 00:20:35	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc1b005…
05-28 00:55:58	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x641614…
05-28 00:54:36	US x China tariff agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xbf9749…
05-28 00:27:27	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x51130d…
05-27 00:27:49	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xaeb5f1…
05-27 00:09:16	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xac8e3f…
05-26 00:41:24	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa34490…
05-26 00:40:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb7528e…
05-26 00:26:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x042823…
05-26 00:19:23	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7f2c8c…
05-22 00:39:35	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x08610f…
05-22 00:18:58	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x25e223…
05-21 00:52:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x383712…
05-21 00:32:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8d6e99…
05-20 00:37:48	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc3ac81…
05-20 00:35:51	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xb9cbc7…
05-20 00:18:00	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6d228b…
05-20 00:15:07	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf14bb5…
05-18 00:57:59	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa7a26f…
05-18 00:49:26	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe3b06d…
05-16 00:23:11	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x43e587…
05-16 00:22:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x085aaa…
05-16 00:14:35	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x89d49a…
05-16 00:09:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xce641c…