Sweltering-Chime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

277

lifetime

Volume

$278

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-11 00:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

43% 0% $-0

Politics

28% 0% $-0

Crypto

22% 75% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		-1	$-1	82¢	$-1	$-0	06-02 00:14
Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes		-1	$-1	99¢	$-1	$-0	06-05 00:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nothing ever happens microstrategy	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-20 03:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-20 00:59
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 04:06
will mike mccoy be fired by february 28	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-06 08:42
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 08:56
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-20 00:36
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	06-11 00:41
Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-05 00:35
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 01:25
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 00:55
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 00:35
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 00:24
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 00:38
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 01:34
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 00:34
will trump post president djt on truth social this week march 15	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 00:35
will super bowl lx have between 124m and 128m viewers	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-11 00:33
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 00:54
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 00:28
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 02:57
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-04 00:38
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 01:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 01:23
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 01:30
will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 01:56
Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 01:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 00:38
will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in march 892	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 01:04
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 00:32
bitcoin above 72k on april 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 00:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 00:41:25	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0057d2…
06-10 00:39:31	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x143f49…
06-10 00:25:40	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xddd654…
06-09 00:23:57	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf0fd3e…
06-09 00:16:01	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x02487b…
06-08 00:19:10	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x6d83f0…
06-08 00:13:39	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc74d91…
06-06 00:48:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xbdc77b…
06-05 00:36:34	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x232220…
06-05 00:35:48	Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe045f5…
06-05 00:26:57	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe7199e…
06-05 00:19:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa811b9…
06-04 00:35:31	Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x88c1de…
06-03 00:38:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x9dc8fd…
06-03 00:37:31	Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2a7f90…
06-03 00:21:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7fb8ef…
06-02 00:16:43	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x7b9c83…
06-02 00:14:33	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xcb1360…
06-02 00:01:20	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3186ba…
06-01 00:47:37	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xdf0fe8…
06-01 00:46:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5fb363…
06-01 00:26:40	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1c7ce5…
06-01 00:20:48	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x48e34b…
05-30 00:24:08	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe69244…
05-30 00:02:47	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf37603…
05-29 00:37:02	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xacf8d7…
05-29 00:35:59	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x6d4736…
05-29 00:22:55	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x028df4…
05-29 00:19:11	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdd4ac3…
05-28 00:57:59	Claude 4.8 released by June 15?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x086af3…
05-28 00:55:46	US x China tariff agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x93104f…
05-28 00:26:47	Claude 4.8 released by June 15?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2b9a8c…
05-27 00:27:28	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x842945…
05-27 00:08:39	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5f4983…
05-26 00:40:39	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8e701c…
05-26 00:39:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc62ee6…
05-26 00:25:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb8e839…
05-26 00:19:04	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7eaf26…
05-22 00:39:26	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xf4b577…
05-22 00:18:04	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x78b067…
05-21 00:52:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x43e4d3…
05-21 00:31:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1aada7…
05-20 00:36:47	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xc4e1cc…
05-20 00:17:42	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x18599e…
05-20 00:14:21	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa333c7…
05-18 00:57:38	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xafe005…
05-18 00:48:51	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5d0d8d…
05-16 00:22:55	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x98d671…
05-16 00:21:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x025d85…
05-16 00:14:24	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x79ebbe…
05-16 00:09:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc7c135…
05-15 00:57:24	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x3ad0d4…
05-15 00:55:18	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x0bff0b…
05-15 00:34:53	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbfccc8…
05-15 00:27:18	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x709526…
05-14 00:35:06	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xd96c61…
05-14 00:32:13	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x865ce7…
05-14 00:23:14	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x90a4d8…
05-14 00:19:04	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x518966…
05-13 01:00:21	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xd9659f…
05-13 00:43:00	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x48a585…
05-12 00:42:10	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc92d43…
05-12 00:39:15	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x598dff…
05-12 00:21:10	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbaeef4…
05-12 00:18:37	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c480f…
05-08 01:23:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9952f7…
05-08 01:17:50	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0b61f0…
05-08 01:13:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbc743c…
05-08 00:51:51	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xad1947…
05-06 00:26:30	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x15783a…
05-06 00:14:58	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1b8931…
05-05 00:07:58	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa7a77c…
04-30 01:43:34	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x89c96a…
04-30 01:41:06	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd36c1d…
04-30 00:29:28	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6c8281…
04-30 00:23:46	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6b71c8…
04-29 00:38:10	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x19eec4…
04-29 00:36:26	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc9fea8…
04-29 00:30:28	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x92f96d…
04-29 00:25:22	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x40ff7d…
04-28 00:43:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc7ba60…
04-28 00:41:56	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0f71c5…
04-28 00:35:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb86f51…
04-28 00:28:48	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd6fac4…
04-27 00:37:28	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2f61b2…
04-27 00:27:28	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1d54ff…
04-27 00:18:52	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7804c1…
04-25 00:57:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd711bd…
04-25 00:54:42	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5ec8e6…
04-25 00:47:48	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x06a077…
04-25 00:33:08	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x521fc7…
04-24 00:47:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x6c77b0…
04-24 00:46:04	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe47ad9…
04-24 00:37:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2aa37c…
04-24 00:28:12	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x97e89f…
04-23 08:56:50	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xf1c6b7…
04-23 08:56:06	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5f47d1…
04-23 08:53:56	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa19650…
04-23 08:49:50	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x46aa8d…
04-22 07:49:12	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x891099…