Sweltering-Chime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

324

lifetime

Volume

$324

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-02 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

42% 0% $-0

Politics

30% 0% $-0

Crypto

20% 75% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		-1	$-1	90¢	$-1	$-0	06-02 00:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nothing ever happens microstrategy	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-20 03:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-20 00:59
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 04:06
will mike mccoy be fired by february 28	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-06 08:42
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 08:56
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-20 00:36
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	06-11 00:41
Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-05 00:35
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 01:25
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 00:55
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 00:35
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 00:24
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 00:38
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 01:34
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 00:34
will trump post president djt on truth social this week march 15	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 00:35
will super bowl lx have between 124m and 128m viewers	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-11 00:33
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 00:28
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 00:54
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 02:57
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-04 00:38
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 01:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 01:23
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 01:30
will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 01:56
will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-16 00:43
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-22 00:47
iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-29 00:53
Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 01:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 00:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 00:53:44	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd4db1b…
07-02 00:41:44	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1cc124…
07-02 00:34:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0f9902…
07-02 00:23:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8f65e9…
07-01 00:34:29	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb46e8f…
07-01 00:24:34	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x177a2c…
07-01 00:14:23	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd2a582…
06-30 23:56:52	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa0edda…
06-30 00:44:16	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xbbde54…
06-30 00:32:25	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x536395…
06-30 00:28:34	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xce6afa…
06-30 00:21:50	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xaaf765…
06-29 00:53:25	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd5b823…
06-29 00:42:31	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe2a036…
06-27 00:46:50	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x0532c9…
06-27 00:35:37	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x196b20…
06-27 00:32:14	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf19fdc…
06-27 00:27:35	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb7a0fc…
06-26 01:11:26	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe13cd5…
06-26 01:05:40	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe4d36d…
06-25 00:47:04	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x00a0b5…
06-25 00:39:40	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x272ce5…
06-24 00:52:49	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1cf06c…
06-24 00:46:29	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1e81a7…
06-24 00:43:10	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x0dbe2b…
06-24 00:31:14	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5cb6ab…
06-23 00:53:04	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x1506b8…
06-23 00:47:22	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf4559e…
06-23 00:41:55	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x5de539…
06-23 00:30:56	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc67bb6…
06-22 00:47:28	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x37ddfa…
06-22 00:38:11	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x27d49b…
06-22 00:33:37	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x53f0cf…
06-22 00:27:44	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5bd6c3…
06-21 00:31:49	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe2eee6…
06-21 00:21:17	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x15f284…
06-18 00:45:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 19	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4b2d7c…
06-17 00:45:19	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x706c6e…
06-17 00:37:40	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x68cddc…
06-17 00:31:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x10ed3c…
06-17 00:22:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1b3eb3…
06-16 00:43:58	will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xab612c…
06-16 00:16:31	will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc263c4…
06-15 00:55:55	will donald trump have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7e7c6b…
06-13 00:38:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xfecd9a…
06-12 00:55:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4115b8…
06-12 00:27:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6fd7f1…
06-11 00:41:25	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0057d2…
06-10 00:39:31	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x143f49…
06-10 00:25:40	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xddd654…
06-09 00:23:57	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf0fd3e…
06-09 00:16:01	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x02487b…
06-08 00:19:10	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x6d83f0…
06-08 00:13:39	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc74d91…
06-06 00:48:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xbdc77b…
06-05 00:36:34	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x232220…
06-05 00:35:48	Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe045f5…
06-05 00:26:57	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe7199e…
06-05 00:19:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa811b9…
06-04 00:35:31	Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x88c1de…
06-03 00:38:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x9dc8fd…
06-03 00:37:31	Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2a7f90…
06-03 00:21:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7fb8ef…
06-02 00:16:43	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x7b9c83…
06-02 00:14:33	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xcb1360…
06-02 00:01:20	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3186ba…
06-01 00:47:37	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xdf0fe8…
06-01 00:46:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5fb363…
06-01 00:26:40	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1c7ce5…
06-01 00:20:48	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x48e34b…
05-30 00:24:08	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe69244…
05-30 00:02:47	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf37603…
05-29 00:37:02	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xacf8d7…
05-29 00:35:59	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x6d4736…
05-29 00:22:55	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x028df4…
05-29 00:19:11	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdd4ac3…
05-28 00:57:59	Claude 4.8 released by June 15?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x086af3…
05-28 00:55:46	US x China tariff agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x93104f…
05-28 00:26:47	Claude 4.8 released by June 15?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2b9a8c…
05-27 00:27:28	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x842945…
05-27 00:08:39	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5f4983…
05-26 00:40:39	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8e701c…
05-26 00:39:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc62ee6…
05-26 00:25:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb8e839…
05-26 00:19:04	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7eaf26…
05-22 00:39:26	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xf4b577…
05-22 00:18:04	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x78b067…
05-21 00:52:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x43e4d3…
05-21 00:31:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1aada7…
05-20 00:36:47	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xc4e1cc…
05-20 00:17:42	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x18599e…
05-20 00:14:21	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa333c7…
05-18 00:57:38	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xafe005…
05-18 00:48:51	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5d0d8d…
05-16 00:22:55	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x98d671…
05-16 00:21:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x025d85…
05-16 00:14:24	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x79ebbe…
05-16 00:09:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc7c135…
05-15 00:57:24	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x3ad0d4…
05-15 00:55:18	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x0bff0b…