Striking-Similarity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.7%

Resolved

Trades

330

lifetime

Volume

$327

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-02 00:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

43% 0% $-0

Politics

31% 0% $-0

Crypto

18% 75% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nothing ever happens microstrategy	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-20 03:02
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 04:06
will mike mccoy be fired by february 28	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-06 08:42
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	06-11 00:45
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 01:25
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 00:57
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 00:35
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 00:24
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 00:37
will the orlando magic make the nba playoffs 794	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 01:55
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 01:34
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 00:34
will trump post president djt on truth social this week march 15	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 00:36
Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 02:58
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 01:26
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 00:54
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 00:28
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-04 00:38
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 01:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 00:59
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-22 00:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 01:23
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 01:30
will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-16 00:44
iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-29 00:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 00:38
will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in march 892	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 01:04
bitcoin above 72k on april 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 00:43
will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 03:22
Espresso FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	02-11 00:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 00:54:52	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf710c5…
07-02 00:42:50	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7dc71a…
07-02 00:35:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb155a5…
07-02 00:27:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x981e22…
07-01 00:35:14	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4b7ebf…
07-01 00:25:34	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b0ca1…
07-01 00:15:16	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x67fc2b…
06-30 23:58:10	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x77183b…
06-30 00:44:50	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x88c1a7…
06-30 00:33:28	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa15aa4…
06-30 00:29:04	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbe9444…
06-30 00:22:44	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x404f62…
06-29 00:54:22	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x266761…
06-29 00:42:59	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd264f3…
06-27 00:47:35	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x8d13d7…
06-27 00:36:07	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xab759b…
06-27 00:32:53	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x6b509f…
06-27 00:28:56	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc29f32…
06-26 01:11:43	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x1242ae…
06-26 01:06:13	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x791f4d…
06-25 00:48:23	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xebd7cc…
06-25 00:41:35	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc7aa74…
06-24 00:53:32	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8538a2…
06-24 00:47:11	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x893c11…
06-24 00:43:50	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x2e431f…
06-24 00:32:40	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x464d3a…
06-23 00:54:26	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x044d30…
06-23 00:48:22	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x788b04…
06-23 00:43:26	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x18c67c…
06-23 00:32:32	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x588928…
06-22 00:48:02	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xae12a9…
06-22 00:38:44	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1cb117…
06-22 00:34:08	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xcf6247…
06-22 00:28:25	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x07ba6e…
06-21 00:32:35	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc73573…
06-21 00:22:02	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x534113…
06-18 00:45:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 19	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6870c0…
06-17 00:45:58	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x59014f…
06-17 00:39:19	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2257c2…
06-17 00:32:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x514311…
06-17 00:23:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x178f7f…
06-16 00:44:18	will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x508fa0…
06-16 00:17:34	will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaa8134…
06-15 00:59:09	will donald trump have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x6cd5d5…
06-15 00:56:34	will donald trump have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x21b355…
06-13 00:39:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf860ac…
06-12 00:55:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe7417a…
06-12 00:33:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x51ecb3…
06-11 00:45:03	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5fa19e…
06-10 00:39:18	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x1ac5ac…
06-10 00:27:03	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3132d6…
06-09 00:24:37	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x6bc0e8…
06-09 00:16:46	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2ea135…
06-08 00:20:12	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x901d94…
06-08 00:14:57	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x30ee95…
06-05 00:36:55	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8b5831…
06-05 00:36:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x1cab48…
06-05 00:28:10	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x42b940…
06-05 00:21:18	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2c8059…
06-03 00:38:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xa8a441…
06-03 00:37:52	Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfd206e…
06-03 00:22:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc8f41a…
06-02 00:17:30	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x691932…
06-02 00:15:34	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x2ae4ca…
06-02 00:02:22	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xafe279…
06-01 23:59:02	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe3e293…
06-01 00:48:40	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x614469…
06-01 00:46:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x419775…
06-01 00:27:36	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x31ef14…
06-01 00:21:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x153bf6…
05-30 00:23:29	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x87201c…
05-30 00:03:23	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8f80a7…
05-29 00:37:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf56086…
05-29 00:36:44	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xbbcd7d…
05-29 00:23:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc38bb4…
05-29 00:21:27	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x01bfec…
05-28 00:58:17	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xff7b26…
05-28 00:54:47	US x China tariff agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x9d5b80…
05-28 00:27:44	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x73e469…
05-27 00:28:11	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x156fd7…
05-27 00:09:31	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x18b053…
05-26 00:42:29	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1f71ee…
05-26 00:40:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x50cb79…
05-26 00:30:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf3c890…
05-26 00:21:22	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x00b026…
05-22 00:40:07	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x0ef0d2…
05-22 00:19:29	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3dc11a…
05-21 00:52:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x876c1c…
05-21 00:33:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3107fe…
05-20 00:37:53	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf97dbe…
05-20 00:37:13	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x93d7ea…
05-20 00:20:02	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc3ce30…
05-20 00:15:31	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x64c8fa…
05-18 00:58:02	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x89defa…
05-18 00:49:40	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1c583d…
05-16 00:23:18	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x415f5b…
05-16 00:22:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xdf04ba…
05-16 00:14:42	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcd543b…
05-16 00:09:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9b8815…
05-15 01:00:51	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xf5618e…