Striking-Similarity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

29.7%

Resolved

Trades

282

lifetime

Volume

$280

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-11 00:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

44% 0% $-0

Politics

28% 0% $-0

Crypto

21% 75% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes		-1	$-1	99¢	$-1	$-0	06-03 00:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nothing ever happens microstrategy	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-20 03:02
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 04:06
will mike mccoy be fired by february 28	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-06 08:42
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	06-11 00:45
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 01:25
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 00:57
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 00:35
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 00:24
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 00:37
will the orlando magic make the nba playoffs 794	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 01:55
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 01:34
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 00:34
will trump post president djt on truth social this week march 15	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 00:36
Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 02:58
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 01:26
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 00:54
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 00:28
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-04 00:38
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 01:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 00:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 01:23
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 01:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 00:38
will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in march 892	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 01:04
bitcoin above 72k on april 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 00:43
will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 03:22
Espresso FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	02-11 00:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 00:42
Will Ventuals launch a token by March 31 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 00:44
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 00:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 00:45:03	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5fa19e…
06-10 00:39:18	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x1ac5ac…
06-10 00:27:03	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3132d6…
06-09 00:24:37	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x6bc0e8…
06-09 00:16:46	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2ea135…
06-08 00:20:12	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x901d94…
06-08 00:14:57	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 12 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x30ee95…
06-05 00:36:55	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8b5831…
06-05 00:36:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x1cab48…
06-05 00:28:10	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x42b940…
06-05 00:21:18	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2c8059…
06-03 00:38:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xa8a441…
06-03 00:37:52	Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfd206e…
06-03 00:22:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc8f41a…
06-02 00:17:30	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x691932…
06-02 00:15:34	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x2ae4ca…
06-02 00:02:22	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xafe279…
06-01 23:59:02	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe3e293…
06-01 00:48:40	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x614469…
06-01 00:46:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x419775…
06-01 00:27:36	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x31ef14…
06-01 00:21:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x153bf6…
05-30 00:23:29	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x87201c…
05-30 00:03:23	GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8f80a7…
05-29 00:37:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf56086…
05-29 00:36:44	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xbbcd7d…
05-29 00:23:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc38bb4…
05-29 00:21:27	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x01bfec…
05-28 00:58:17	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xff7b26…
05-28 00:54:47	US x China tariff agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x9d5b80…
05-28 00:27:44	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x73e469…
05-27 00:28:11	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x156fd7…
05-27 00:09:31	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x18b053…
05-26 00:42:29	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1f71ee…
05-26 00:40:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x50cb79…
05-26 00:30:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf3c890…
05-26 00:21:22	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x00b026…
05-22 00:40:07	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x0ef0d2…
05-22 00:19:29	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3dc11a…
05-21 00:52:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x876c1c…
05-21 00:33:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3107fe…
05-20 00:37:53	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf97dbe…
05-20 00:37:13	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x93d7ea…
05-20 00:20:02	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc3ce30…
05-20 00:15:31	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x64c8fa…
05-18 00:58:02	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x89defa…
05-18 00:49:40	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1c583d…
05-16 00:23:18	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x415f5b…
05-16 00:22:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xdf04ba…
05-16 00:14:42	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcd543b…
05-16 00:09:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9b8815…
05-15 01:00:51	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xf5618e…
05-15 00:57:10	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9b8bcc…
05-15 00:35:58	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8d96bd…
05-15 00:28:09	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x524539…
05-14 00:36:11	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa4a1a1…
05-14 00:32:29	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x2fec20…
05-14 00:24:01	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x589b7b…
05-14 00:20:10	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfefafb…
05-12 00:42:01	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd5278d…
05-12 00:39:18	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xce830f…
05-12 00:20:57	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x01e5ac…
05-12 00:18:29	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb1bc66…
05-08 01:23:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x011f41…
05-08 01:16:51	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf9143a…
05-08 01:12:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x757018…
05-08 00:50:22	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x58a601…
05-06 00:24:44	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xdb8981…
05-06 00:14:30	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x019991…
05-05 00:07:56	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x01269d…
04-30 01:42:52	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7cc324…
04-30 01:40:28	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe49407…
04-30 00:29:24	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4a2af1…
04-30 00:22:36	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8635a6…
04-29 00:38:08	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x45c3f5…
04-29 00:36:24	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3ab9cc…
04-29 00:30:26	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x71ed62…
04-29 00:25:18	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5e81cc…
04-28 00:42:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x90d27e…
04-28 00:41:48	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x23b209…
04-28 00:35:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc45db5…
04-28 00:28:48	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x13c0a0…
04-27 00:37:24	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x28ba0a…
04-27 00:27:16	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xec6924…
04-27 00:18:50	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7b3f17…
04-25 00:57:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xccd127…
04-25 00:54:40	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x11a9bc…
04-25 00:47:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x98ee82…
04-25 00:33:08	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x709662…
04-24 00:47:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xd6d8e1…
04-24 00:46:02	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa9c7a5…
04-24 00:37:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3eb099…
04-24 00:28:10	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x51ec6f…
04-23 08:56:42	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x620e78…
04-23 08:56:00	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xeb9782…
04-23 08:54:04	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4e04d5…
04-23 08:49:52	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5ea7c3…
04-22 08:25:36	OpenGradient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdda944…
04-22 08:24:12	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2dfe7a…
04-22 08:19:28	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x187978…