Realized P&L
+$7.66K
Unrealized P&L
+$304
Hit rate
67.4%
Resolved
1,878
Trades
9,889
lifetime
Volume
$194.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$3.74K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 11-02 20:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 152 days
Categories
Other
47% 55% +$3,839
Politics
28% 57% +$2,786
Crypto
18% 65% +$383
Tech
4% 59% +$396
Sports
2% 44% +$249
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No +702 $686 99¢ $696 +$9 06-19 14:17
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? No +412 $390 98¢ $402 +$12 06-26 00:02
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +379 $366 97¢ $369 +$3 10-30 04:49
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +186 $180 98¢ $183 +$3 06-27 17:40
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +190 $165 88¢ $166 +$1 10-03 04:51
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes +514 $32 32¢ $162 +$130 10-03 04:52
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +156 $152 99¢ $155 +$3 06-25 01:19
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +734 $184 16¢ $118 -$66 10-30 08:52
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +142 $109 82¢ $118 +$9 10-30 09:25
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +115 $111 98¢ $112 +$1 06-07 09:56
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +99 $1 94¢ $93 +$92 10-13 22:26
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +95 $87 97¢ $92 +$5 06-27 13:30
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No +95 $86 92¢ $87 +$1 10-29 17:53
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +583 $140 15¢ $85 -$55 10-25 09:30
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +190 $36 44¢ $84 +$47 10-23 08:24
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +95 $74 85¢ $81 +$7 10-29 19:05
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +211 $61 35¢ $74 +$12 10-29 00:03
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +460 $58 16¢ $71 +$14 10-31 08:09
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +75 $21 92¢ $69 +$48 08-28 15:43
ilhan omar federally charged by december 31 2026 Yes +190 $19 36¢ $67 +$48 10-13 16:14
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes +117 $75 55¢ $65 -$10 09-30 05:59
will ethereum dip to 500 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +63 $56 99¢ $62 +$6 06-26 07:02
next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026 No +95 $15 66¢ $62 +$47 10-17 13:07
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +135 $58 45¢ $61 +$2 09-21 15:39
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +84 $45 55¢ $46 +$1 09-21 15:39
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +90 $32 40¢ $36 +$4 10-20 02:20
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +50 $45 71¢ $35 -$9 08-22 07:26
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? No +114 $53 28¢ $32 -$21 10-25 18:47
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +47 $28 60¢ $29 +$0 10-30 02:50
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +310 $70 9¢ $28 -$42 10-26 11:30