Realized P&L
-$56
Unrealized P&L
+$101
Hit rate
55.4%
Resolved
366
Trades
46,660
lifetime
Volume
$67.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$257
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 07-03 18:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
47% 21% +$7
Politics
27% 21% $-6
Crypto
19% 29% $-49
Tech
6% 0% $-5
Sports
1% 0% $-3
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 522 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance? Yes +100 $5 18¢ $18 +$13 06-14 20:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -481 $-33 $-17 +$16 07-02 14:48
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +67 $1 25¢ $17 +$15 06-02 17:52
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +100 $10 13¢ $13 +$3 06-17 17:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +100 $10 12¢ $12 +$2 06-14 21:46
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes +100 $4 12¢ $12 +$8 06-12 07:23
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $18 $11 $-7 06-19 13:11
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-28 11¢ $-11 +$17 06-12 05:13
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +100 $9 $9 +$0 06-26 12:01
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +100 $6 $8 +$2 06-05 06:28
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +100 $10 $8 $-2 06-12 11:54
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $8 $8 $-0 06-24 13:22
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $6 $8 +$2 07-01 15:36
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? Yes +100 $8 $7 $-1 06-21 08:15
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? Yes +98 $8 $7 $-0 05-31 12:30
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? Yes +90 $6 $7 +$1 06-16 05:50
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +100 $5 $7 +$1 06-17 18:00
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes -53 $-5 12¢ $-7 $-2 05-29 19:56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +100 $10 $6 $-4 06-14 21:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +100 $7 $6 $-0 07-01 09:51
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes +108 $6 $6 +$0 06-08 15:09
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -100 $-7 $-6 +$1 06-21 13:16
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +100 $10 $6 $-4 06-06 21:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $6 $6 +$0 06-25 09:43
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $7 $6 $-1 06-28 15:38
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? Yes -55 $-59 11¢ $-6 +$54 06-15 18:55
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $8 $6 $-3 06-29 14:15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes +100 $9 $6 $-4 05-31 08:03
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +100 $7 $6 $-2 06-09 14:15
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +100 $9 $6 $-4 06-11 21:32