Obedient-Population 0x6c3789…dcd40f
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$56
Unrealized P&L
+$72
Hit rate
55.4%
Resolved
366
Trades
47,458
lifetime
Volume
$69.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$273
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 07-24 15:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
47% 21% +$7
Politics
27% 21% $-6
Crypto
19% 29% $-49
Tech
6% 0% $-5
Sports
1% 0% $-3
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 282 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +67 $1 52¢ $35 +$34 06-02 17:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +100 $10 30¢ $30 +$20 06-14 21:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -570 $-36 4¢ $-22 +$14 07-24 15:08
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +100 $2 12¢ $12 +$10 07-20 14:00
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes +142 $11 8¢ $11 +$0 07-17 19:06
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $18 6¢ $11 $-7 06-19 13:11
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +100 $10 11¢ $11 +$1 07-23 21:23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +100 $13 10¢ $10 $-4 07-24 13:52
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-28 8¢ $-8 +$20 06-12 05:13
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $8 8¢ $8 $-0 06-24 13:22
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? Yes +100 $8 8¢ $8 $-1 06-21 08:15
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +46 $1 15¢ $7 +$6 07-06 08:10
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +100 $9 7¢ $7 $-2 06-18 18:10
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +89 $4 8¢ $7 +$3 07-07 04:27
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +65 $5 10¢ $7 +$2 06-18 17:21
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $6 6¢ $6 +$0 07-01 15:36
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +100 $5 6¢ $6 +$1 06-17 18:00
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes -100 $-6 6¢ $-6 +$0 07-21 14:21
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $7 6¢ $6 $-1 07-24 15:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +100 $7 6¢ $6 $-2 07-17 17:03
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $4 6¢ $6 +$2 07-22 07:32
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +100 $9 6¢ $6 $-4 06-11 21:32
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +100 $7 6¢ $6 $-2 06-09 14:15
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance? Yes +100 $5 6¢ $5 +$0 06-14 20:36
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? Yes +98 $8 6¢ $5 $-2 05-31 12:30
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes +86 $8 6¢ $5 $-3 07-14 06:42
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +100 $10 5¢ $5 $-5 06-06 21:16
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes +108 $6 4¢ $5 $-2 06-08 15:09
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +100 $10 5¢ $5 $-5 06-17 17:57
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -100 $-4 5¢ $-5 $-0 07-02 17:10