Obedient-Population 0x6c3789…dcd40f
bot hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.86K
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
51.6%
Resolved
6,784
Trades
65,999
lifetime
Volume
$94.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$155
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 10-28 19:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 211 days
Categories
Other
47% 24% +$956
Politics
30% 32% +$681
Crypto
15% 31% -$21
Tech
7% 31% +$210
Sports
1% 44% +$41
Pop-Culture
0% 13% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -100 -$13 28¢ $-28 -$15 06-06 07:25
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes +74 $2 28¢ $20 +$19 06-24 17:17
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +65 $5 12¢ $8 +$3 06-18 17:21
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? Yes -100 -$9 6¢ $-6 +$2 08-24 11:50
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$4 6¢ $-6 -$2 07-25 11:58
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -100 -$9 6¢ $-6 +$3 08-01 18:43
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$7 6¢ $-6 +$1 08-12 02:57
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes +100 $5 6¢ $6 +$1 06-17 23:53
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? Yes +107 $0 4¢ $5 +$4 10-21 07:02
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +129 $2 3¢ $4 +$2 10-21 20:31
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$7 4¢ $-4 +$3 06-21 13:16
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes -100 -$8 4¢ $-4 +$4 04-30 16:00
EU dissolves before 2027? Yes -170 -$4 2¢ $-4 +$0 07-26 23:15
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes -93 -$6 4¢ $-4 +$2 07-25 01:40
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $6 4¢ $4 -$2 06-15 05:34
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -100 $0 4¢ $-4 -$4 07-22 08:36
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -142 -$3 2¢ $-3 $0 08-25 21:22
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$1 3¢ $-3 -$2 08-23 16:46
Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat? No +100 $6 3¢ $3 -$3 05-05 13:52
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +55 $3 6¢ $3 +$0 05-09 21:17
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -108 $0 2¢ $-3 -$3 07-09 00:36
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes -128 -$12 2¢ $-3 +$10 04-30 22:56
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? Yes +55 $4 5¢ $3 -$2 07-23 11:40
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +100 $7 3¢ $3 -$4 06-09 14:15
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -17 -$3 13¢ $-2 +$1 05-19 03:36
Vanta IPO before 2027? Yes +47 $0 5¢ $2 +$2 09-29 18:48
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$1 2¢ $-2 -$1 07-27 05:08
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes +43 $2 4¢ $2 +$0 07-14 22:12
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$3 2¢ $-2 +$1 10-22 17:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -87 -$3 2¢ $-2 +$1 07-27 01:24