Realized P&L
-$56
Unrealized P&L
+$93
Hit rate
55.4%
Resolved
366
Trades
45,404
lifetime
Volume
$64.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$291
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 06-13 06:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
46% 21% +$7
Politics
28% 21% $-6
Crypto
19% 29% $-49
Tech
6% 0% $-5
Sports
1% 0% $-3
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 659 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -476 $-32 $-33 $-0 06-13 12:42
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-28 24¢ $-24 +$4 06-12 05:13
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +67 $1 27¢ $18 +$17 06-02 17:52
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +100 $9 17¢ $17 +$8 06-02 10:15
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes +100 $4 12¢ $12 +$7 06-12 07:23
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -95 $-7 12¢ $-11 $-4 06-13 06:55
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +100 $10 10¢ $10 +$0 06-06 21:16
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +124 $12 $9 $-3 06-04 09:28
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $11 $9 $-2 06-06 08:42
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes -100 $-11 $-9 +$2 06-07 11:24
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +100 $10 $8 $-2 06-12 11:54
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +100 $9 $8 $-0 06-11 21:32
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? Yes +98 $8 $8 +$0 05-31 12:30
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +100 $9 $8 $-1 06-12 16:34
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes +108 $6 $8 +$2 06-08 15:09
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes +100 $10 $8 $-2 05-29 15:05
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June? Yes +100 $7 $8 +$1 06-05 13:09
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +100 $7 $8 +$0 06-09 14:15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes +100 $9 $8 $-1 05-31 08:03
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +100 $8 $7 $-1 06-12 23:07
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026? Yes +127 $5 $7 +$2 06-02 17:15
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +100 $8 $7 $-2 06-11 21:32
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +100 $6 $6 +$0 06-05 06:28
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? Yes -61 $-60 10¢ $-6 +$54 06-12 21:57
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $4 $6 +$2 06-05 16:01
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? Yes +84 $4 $6 +$2 06-08 12:43
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $7 $6 $-2 06-04 01:59
Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $6 $5 $-0 06-03 09:01
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? Yes -100 $-15 $-5 +$10 06-12 10:11
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +78 $3 $5 +$2 05-28 01:49