Realized P&L
+$455
Unrealized P&L
-$143
Hit rate
54.4%
Resolved
70
Trades
8,565
lifetime
Volume
$392.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$449
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 07-22 18:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
66% 62% +$446
Sports
19% 45% +$9
Politics
8% 50% $-0
Crypto
5% 0% $-0
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 274 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026? No -50 $-46 97¢ $-48 $-2 07-21 21:07
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No -50 $-46 97¢ $-48 $-3 07-11 01:27
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -50 $-46 96¢ $-48 $-3 07-13 10:18
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -50 $-46 96¢ $-48 $-2 07-20 14:41
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -50 $-40 87¢ $-44 $-4 07-13 10:45
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes -50 $-40 86¢ $-43 $-3 07-13 14:19
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +45 $49 79¢ $36 $-13 07-22 22:29
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? No +99 $39 34¢ $33 $-6 07-22 12:55
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +50 $62 62¢ $31 $-31 07-22 10:13
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -50 $-29 48¢ $-24 +$5 07-22 16:56
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes -50 $-2 23¢ $-11 $-9 07-14 11:27
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $20 22¢ $11 $-10 07-15 15:04
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No -50 $10 14¢ $-7 $-17 07-13 18:34
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? No +30 $12 18¢ $6 $-6 07-18 15:23
SHEIN IPO before 2027? No -43 $25 11¢ $-5 $-29 07-21 10:24
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -100 $-3 $-4 $-1 07-17 06:37
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes -75 $-4 $-3 +$1 07-07 22:20
Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch? Yes +10 $0 $0 $-0 06-12 11:24
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? Yes +0 $6 95¢ $0 $-6 07-09 16:56
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026? No +0 $0 74¢ $0 +$0 06-18 10:12
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? No +0 $5 57¢ $0 $-4 07-09 23:35
Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 07-03 08:53
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 07-08 02:44
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +0 $3 98¢ $0 $-3 07-09 00:27
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31? No +0 $-4 97¢ $0 +$4 07-10 09:36
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +0 $1 97¢ $0 $-1 07-07 15:54
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 07-09 06:26
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 07-10 23:41
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $-0 07-02 08:34
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 87¢ $0 +$0 07-03 06:15