Realized P&L
+$455
Unrealized P&L
-$220
Hit rate
54.4%
Resolved
68
Trades
5,223
lifetime
Volume
$316.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$359
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 07-02 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
70% 62% +$446
Sports
22% 45% +$9
Politics
5% 50% $-0
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 202 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No -200 $-57 80¢ $-159 $-102 06-02 08:04
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? No +50 $39 75¢ $38 $-2 07-02 01:26
3Jane FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +50 $34 68¢ $34 $-0 07-01 19:17
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +50 $46 68¢ $34 $-12 06-30 21:09
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +50 $42 58¢ $29 $-12 07-02 00:13
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $18 34¢ $17 $-1 07-01 09:16
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +22 $17 76¢ $17 $-0 07-01 16:11
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? Yes +50 $13 23¢ $12 $-1 07-02 00:43
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes -50 $-4 21¢ $-11 $-7 06-26 14:13
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? Yes +50 $8 14¢ $7 $-1 07-02 02:15
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +50 $2 $2 $-0 07-02 01:04
Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch? Yes +10 $0 $0 $-0 06-12 11:24
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026? No +0 $0 70¢ $0 +$0 06-18 10:12
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 06-29 13:38
Will Chappell Roan perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 06-29 23:33
Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 06-29 11:14
MagicBlock FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +0 $0 87¢ $0 $-0 06-27 04:32
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +0 $36 66¢ $0 $-36 06-16 09:46
MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +0 $-0 68¢ $0 +$0 06-24 05:10
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? Yes +0 $44 66¢ $0 $-44 06-27 06:58
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? Yes +0 $0 59¢ $0 $-0 06-27 07:16
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +0 $0 52¢ $0 $-0 06-19 21:10
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +0 $0 26¢ $0 +$0 06-29 06:51
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 28¢ $0 $-0 06-27 18:31
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 22¢ $0 +$0 07-01 20:28
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? Yes +0 $-0 16¢ $0 +$0 06-26 18:14
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-19 15:08
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 06-21 14:53
Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-21 23:06
Will Lady Gaga perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-30 05:50