Querulous-Marble — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$455

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

Trades

10,392

lifetime

Volume

$436.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 08-12 12:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

65% 62% +$446

Sports

17% 45% +$9

Politics

10% 50% $-0

Crypto

6% 0% $-0

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 274 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	41	$4.3K	2,874	2,874	+0	open	—	05-18 07:59
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	41	$3.9K	6,577	6,577	+0	open	—	04-19 01:04
Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignon	15	$3.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-17 16:51
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins	38	$3.2K	8,610	8,598	+13	open	—	04-18 22:58
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	5	$3.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	05-23 19:13
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	54	$2.8K	4,502	4,502	+0	open	—	04-19 19:16
Roland Garros WTA: Emerson Jones vs Iga Swiatek	3	$2.7K	1,250	1,542	-292	open	—	05-25 08:02
Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 5.5	2	$2.6K	1,345	1,345	+0	open	—	05-23 11:08
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur	2	$2.5K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	05-25 09:42
Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy	2	$2.1K	1,381	1,381	+0	open	—	05-23 21:49
Chisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Stefanos Sakellaridis	13	$2.1K	2,122	2,122	+0	open	—	05-31 02:00
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	35	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	paiN	$-0	05-11 11:57
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin	13	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Jannik Sinner	$-2	05-11 04:02
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Emma Navarro	6	$2.0K	2,005	2,005	+0	open	—	05-28 01:06
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	7	$1.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-16 06:04
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	5	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-27 21:07
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves	2	$1.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-22 21:49
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelka	18	$1.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-23 23:36
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians	18	$1.8K	2,564	2,564	+0	open	—	04-19 19:23
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox	2	$1.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-22 21:47
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)	5	$1.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-24 15:02
Counter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	3	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	Monte	+$10	05-12 02:00
Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)	10	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-15 18:44
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner	8	$1.7K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	9z	$-440	05-09 11:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	17	$1.6K	958	958	+0	No	+$1	05-06 23:04
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	Real Betis Balompié	$-10	05-09 17:53
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	22	$1.6K	1,235	1,235	+0	open	—	04-16 01:31
Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)	3	$1.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-21 00:02
LoL: GTZ Esports vs Francesinhas (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	7	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-14 23:01
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	14	$1.5K	1,500	1,289	+211	open	—	06-01 22:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 15:17:28	Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$3	0x913e52…
08-12 15:17:28	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x2e20d7…
08-12 15:13:21	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x731a2b…
08-12 15:13:19	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x5486fe…
08-12 15:11:43	Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x271619…
08-12 14:57:09	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 31 2026 20260724221849662	No	SELL	60	7¢	$4	0x1e7952…
08-12 14:47:09	sachsen anhalt parliamentary election turnout up or down 20260806110617592	Up	SELL	60	80¢	$48	0x265c23…
08-12 12:37:10	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	60	91¢	$55	0x6154d1…
08-12 12:33:03	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x87358e…
08-12 09:37:06	will alex padilla vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926673	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x2ab622…
08-12 08:07:07	Jonathan Majors as Kang?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x58d6fb…
08-12 08:03:36	Jonathan Majors as Kang?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$37	0x8d14ab…
08-12 07:57:06	will robinhood chain launch a token by december 31 2026 20260727172111378	Yes	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0x602434…
08-12 06:57:12	will the new mexico 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827331	No	SELL	60	73¢	$44	0x96d84b…
08-12 05:57:09	Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$2	0x7b814e…
08-12 05:55:03	Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x8d1e1d…
08-12 04:41:12	will the new mexico 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827331	No	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0x9e44e9…
08-12 03:17:07	Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	91¢	$55	0xb2512b…
08-12 03:11:04	Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x53ee7a…
08-12 02:43:12	will robinhood chain launch a token by december 31 2026 20260727172111378	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0x9c6615…
08-11 23:47:09	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x2e9bb1…
08-11 23:46:22	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x26e9e4…
08-11 19:57:09	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0xdb23ba…
08-11 19:47:28	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$57	0x554fb6…
08-11 17:37:10	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 12 2026 20260724221849643	Yes	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0xddd3a8…
08-11 17:30:22	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 12 2026 20260724221849643	Yes	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x6eea89…
08-11 14:07:07	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0xb94f7e…
08-11 13:58:48	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x704a4a…
08-11 13:57:07	will msft reach 540 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x91d9b2…
08-11 12:55:30	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	90	91¢	$82	0x9ce017…
08-11 12:45:46	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	91¢	$82	0x6d0776…
08-11 12:37:09	Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	89¢	$80	0x51597f…
08-11 12:19:15	Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	94¢	$85	0xd2dc12…
08-11 10:57:54	Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0xc850fb…
08-11 10:17:10	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	90	93¢	$84	0xc634b3…
08-11 10:07:12	scotus grants trump birthright citizenship rehearing by december 31 20260710222928774	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x957fd0…
08-11 10:03:01	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x2ab4d7…
08-11 09:57:10	scotus grants trump birthright citizenship rehearing by december 31 20260710222928774	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xa985a4…
08-11 09:55:34	scotus grants trump birthright citizenship rehearing by december 31 20260710222928774	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x675fb8…
08-11 09:37:07	Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?	No	SELL	90	96¢	$87	0x864ab1…
08-11 09:35:07	Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?	No	BUY	90	96¢	$87	0xb0575c…
08-11 08:47:07	Cambria FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	92¢	$83	0x62ade4…
08-11 07:56:09	will anthropics valuation hit low 600b by december 31 732	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0xc2f45c…
08-11 07:37:07	Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	No	SELL	90	85¢	$77	0xf3b610…
08-11 07:28:09	Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	No	BUY	90	92¢	$83	0xacd290…
08-11 07:21:31	Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x5122eb…
08-11 06:37:09	Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x1ccad0…
08-11 06:29:22	Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe2da1b…
08-11 06:27:06	will alex padilla vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926673	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xa3d150…
08-11 06:26:12	will alex padilla vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926673	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0xa85e87…
08-11 04:07:10	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 15 2026 20260722225036939	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0x5aa4c7…
08-11 04:07:10	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 14 2026 20260722225036938	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0x2f82b8…
08-11 03:57:40	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 15 2026 20260722225036939	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xe30f26…
08-11 03:57:22	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 14 2026 20260722225036938	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x8a03be…
08-11 03:57:09	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 12 2026 20260722225036936	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0xd16299…
08-11 03:56:46	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 12 2026 20260722225036936	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0xf4deca…
08-11 03:31:24	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 31 2026 20260724221849662	No	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0xd11c08…
08-11 02:37:07	will russia capture havrylivka by december 31 2026	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x9a0a74…
08-11 02:28:57	will russia capture havrylivka by december 31 2026	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4f53fd…
08-11 00:09:16	sachsen anhalt parliamentary election turnout up or down 20260806110617592	Up	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0x83bdd9…
08-10 22:42:40	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x3f6480…
08-10 22:07:10	Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x57ef0d…
08-10 22:00:43	Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x828d3a…
08-10 21:47:09	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	No	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x8ede16…
08-10 21:41:16	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0xa5859a…
08-10 18:32:36	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	51	93¢	$48	0x5fe73b…
08-10 18:32:34	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	51	93¢	$48	0x59283b…
08-10 18:07:07	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0xf5de97…
08-10 18:04:58	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0xf77b81…
08-10 17:17:09	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	95¢	$143	0x1ff505…
08-10 17:08:51	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0x6ae153…
08-10 15:57:07	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	No	SELL	90	85¢	$76	0xc07828…
08-10 15:37:16	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	No	BUY	90	90¢	$81	0x782d93…
08-10 15:27:07	will lisa blunt rochester vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926664	No	SELL	60	79¢	$47	0x89f043…
08-10 15:22:10	will msft reach 540 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0xf13ea6…
08-10 15:07:09	will tsla reach 375 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0xa82809…
08-10 15:02:39	will tsla reach 375 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x01e3a5…
08-10 14:27:06	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 30 2026 20260724221849661	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x93f389…
08-10 14:19:07	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 30 2026 20260724221849661	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x7176f2…
08-10 14:07:09	will russia capture orikhiv by september 30 2026	No	SELL	90	91¢	$82	0x729931…
08-10 14:00:54	will russia capture orikhiv by september 30 2026	No	BUY	90	94¢	$85	0x4ad3f2…
08-10 13:48:43	will lisa blunt rochester vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926664	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0x23d6f7…
08-10 12:37:07	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	90	85¢	$76	0xdf38aa…
08-10 11:27:09	Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	60	78¢	$47	0x156bd7…
08-10 11:27:07	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	SELL	150	85¢	$128	0x715917…
08-10 11:07:12	Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	90	96¢	$86	0x27345f…
08-10 11:01:43	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	150	89¢	$134	0x860ad5…
08-10 11:00:51	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	95¢	$86	0x12b2c4…
08-10 11:00:30	Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0x01499b…
08-10 10:57:13	StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	90	4¢	$3	0xca416d…
08-10 10:51:34	Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x01c549…
08-10 10:50:55	StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	90	5¢	$4	0xdcf76b…
08-10 09:44:51	Cambria FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$89	0x9aa4fa…
08-10 09:37:07	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0x1a930e…
08-10 09:36:40	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xce69a6…
08-10 09:36:21	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xc60699…
08-10 08:57:09	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	90	6¢	$5	0x6fb801…
08-10 08:52:21	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	90	7¢	$7	0x8463fb…
08-10 05:37:09	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by august 31 2026	No	SELL	90	95¢	$86	0xd1d582…
08-10 05:31:58	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by august 31 2026	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0x4db7fa…