Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$365,534
$36 in 24h
Trades
13,090
Unique wallets
4,388
Liquidity
$5,089
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
89¢
End date
2026-09-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-19 10:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+18.2¢
(top1%: 29% YES on $1.9K
vs crowd: 11% YES on $188.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $610 | $2.5K | $1.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 20 | $109 | $2.5K | $2.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 223 | $2.7K | $23.0K | $20.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4,127 | $17.8K | $139.4K | $121.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $564 | $1.4K | $788 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $4 | $2.0K | $2.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $31 | $1.5K | $1.4K |
| Median | 671 | $3.6K | $29.4K | $25.8K |
| Below median | 346 | $2.4K | $14.8K | $12.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $61 | $295 | $234 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 18 | $106 | $1.1K | $962 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $10 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| unranked | 3,316 | $14.5K | $115.7K | $101.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | Yes | +2,705 | $280 | $705 | 33 | 06-19 03:20 |
| Velvety-Confirmation 0x94d0…9e65 | No | +1,189 | $1,062 | $1,368 | 11 | 06-18 08:34 |
| Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1b…e75c | No | +624 | $553 | $842 | 13 | 06-19 01:23 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | +400 | $357 | $357 | 4 | 06-18 07:57 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | +400 | $358 | $358 | 5 | 06-18 07:57 |
| Hearty-Extent 0xad3f…932f | Yes | +338 | $36 | $104 | 3 | 06-18 18:07 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +338 | $303 | $303 | 1 | 06-18 06:10 |
| Attentive-Algebra 0x8e4f…4594 | Yes | +332 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 06-06 18:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x1156…5eb4 | No | +298 | $264 | $264 | 1 | 06-18 18:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a43…b25f | Yes | +246 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-19 07:42 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +238 | $24 | $41 | 9 | 06-18 21:51 |
| Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | +200 | $180 | $239 | 5 | 06-16 13:29 |
| Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | +200 | $180 | $180 | 1 | 06-18 06:10 |
| Pushy-Health 0xacbb…5514 | No | +197 | $175 | $175 | 2 | 06-19 09:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x9ec3…77e5 | Yes | +196 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-19 08:10 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +179 | $161 | $895 | 10 | 06-18 08:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2c2…ced6 | Yes | +179 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-19 08:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x8824…2f1a | Yes | +176 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-19 08:16 |
| Young-Pickle 0xecc5…5fde | Yes | +175 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-30 03:12 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +172 | $148 | $1,083 | 16 | 06-18 13:17 |
| Damaged-Close 0xed19…7d6c | Yes | +165 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-19 06:45 |
| Amused-Sneaker 0x7958…f919 | Yes | +161 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-19 09:58 |
| Wry-Elm 0x43cc…9211 | No | +161 | $143 | $143 | 1 | 06-01 20:30 |
| Bustling-Trellis 0x65e8…fdc7 | Yes | +160 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-19 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xd192…f3cf | Yes | +159 | $17 | $38 | 4 | 06-19 07:44 |
| Better-Vitro 0x17a1…f2f0 | Yes | +155 | $16 | $44 | 5 | 06-19 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e68…6cd5 | Yes | +155 | $21 | $115 | 2 | 06-18 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x79dc…24d5 | Yes | +155 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-19 07:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbcd…838c | Yes | +154 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-19 08:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x036e…aa2e | Yes | +152 | $17 | $52 | 3 | 06-19 10:10 |
| Nimble-Amazon 0x6404…4509 | Yes | +151 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-19 09:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa83…3a69 | Yes | +149 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-19 07:54 |
| Vigorous-Buffet 0xbab7…286e | Yes | +148 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-19 09:15 |
| Brief-Bug 0x87b0…3cde | Yes | +148 | $16 | $32 | 4 | 06-19 09:12 |
| Silent-Southeast 0x8379…3605 | Yes | +148 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-19 09:20 |
| Well-Lit-Blackboard 0x12c9…70fc | Yes | +147 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-19 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x3476…cdeb | Yes | +146 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-19 06:07 |
| Daring-Prompt 0x853b…6712 | Yes | +144 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-19 10:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xaeaf…1223 | Yes | +142 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-19 08:40 |
| Frequent-Routine 0x6b3e…6420 | Yes | +142 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-19 09:49 |
| Probable-Sheath 0xabfc…b8b9 | Yes | +141 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-19 09:38 |
| Beloved-Pinafore 0x0605…7a34 | Yes | +141 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-19 09:38 |
| Critical-Thunderbolt 0x2bd9…fb6c | No | +141 | $125 | $387 | 4 | 06-19 09:38 |
| Scratchy-Bagpipe 0xddc2…afba | No | +139 | $124 | $124 | 2 | 06-19 09:42 |
| Blushing-Bifocals 0xb1c2…7ced | No | +134 | $119 | $171 | 12 | 06-19 10:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d6c…3407 | No | +109 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-10 18:16 |
| Jagged-Tenement 0x163f…19ed | No | +108 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 06-19 09:04 |
| Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | +107 | $96 | $140 | 14 | 06-18 02:47 |
| Educated-Installation 0x7b06…0695 | No | +103 | $92 | $202 | 3 | 06-19 09:49 |
| Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8 | No | +100 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 06-18 06:10 |
| Liquid-Range 0x5472…7bff | No | +98 | $87 | $264 | 5 | 06-19 07:14 |
| Loyal-Plaintiff 0x47a5…c5c3 | No | +94 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 06-19 09:49 |
| Sad-Fill 0x17ea…2af5 | No | +87 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 06-19 09:56 |
| Edible-Species 0xb058…8063 | No | +82 | $73 | $73 | 2 | 06-19 09:57 |
| Amused-Stake 0x149b…1476 | No | +79 | $71 | $225 | 4 | 06-19 10:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 10:26:25 | Rude-Burrito 0x39f9…9950 | No | SELL | 44 | 89¢ | $39 | 0x939ddc… |
| 06-19 10:26:25 | Gullible-Baker 0xd44b…df3c | No | SELL | 45 | 89¢ | $40 | 0x9353df… |
| 06-19 10:26:25 | Third-Jewelry 0x4462…d3d3 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x9353df… |
| 06-19 10:26:25 | Third-Jewelry 0x4462…d3d3 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x162ca7… |
| 06-19 10:26:25 | Vacant-Chopstick 0x4ff8…4eeb | No | SELL | 37 | 89¢ | $33 | 0xcdaa66… |
| 06-19 10:26:25 | (anonymous) 0xa234…025d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xcdaa66… |
| 06-19 10:26:25 | Third-Jewelry 0x4462…d3d3 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xcdaa66… |
| 06-19 10:26:25 | Third-Jewelry 0x4462…d3d3 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x939ddc… |
| 06-19 10:26:25 | Blaring-Round 0x6c39…fb0d | No | SELL | 36 | 89¢ | $32 | 0x162ca7… |
| 06-19 10:24:56 | Rundown-Pill 0x123c…598e | No | SELL | 14 | 89¢ | $12 | 0xc41360… |
| 06-19 10:24:56 | (anonymous) 0x52a8…5e7b | No | SELL | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0x517089… |
| 06-19 10:24:56 | (anonymous) 0x77c2…3805 | No | BUY | 39 | 89¢ | $35 | 0x517089… |
| 06-19 10:24:56 | (anonymous) 0x52a8…5e7b | No | SELL | 24 | 89¢ | $21 | 0x00efac… |
| 06-19 10:24:56 | (anonymous) 0x1c9a…8681 | No | BUY | 36 | 89¢ | $32 | 0xc41360… |
| 06-19 10:24:56 | (anonymous) 0xb688…6e48 | No | BUY | 41 | 89¢ | $36 | 0x00efac… |
| 06-19 10:24:56 | Rundown-Pill 0x123c…598e | No | SELL | 38 | 89¢ | $34 | 0x3a06fc… |
| 06-19 10:24:56 | (anonymous) 0x52a8…5e7b | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xee0775… |
| 06-19 10:24:56 | Striped-Investment 0x72f8…4645 | No | SELL | 17 | 89¢ | $15 | 0x00efac… |
| 06-19 10:24:56 | (anonymous) 0xa7db…c7b6 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xee0775… |
| 06-19 10:24:56 | Original-Tactile 0xf503…2106 | No | BUY | 38 | 89¢ | $34 | 0x3a06fc… |
| 06-19 10:24:56 | (anonymous) 0x4d70…56b7 | No | SELL | 36 | 89¢ | $32 | 0x517089… |
| 06-19 10:24:56 | Striped-Investment 0x72f8…4645 | No | SELL | 22 | 89¢ | $20 | 0xc41360… |
| 06-19 10:22:29 | Homely-Methane 0x65e8…20e3 | No | BUY | 35 | 89¢ | $31 | 0x5e86d4… |
| 06-19 10:22:29 | (anonymous) 0x2ac9…dae4 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x5e86d4… |
| 06-19 10:22:29 | Creative-Counter 0xacaa…b7f2 | No | BUY | 35 | 89¢ | $31 | 0x72c888… |
| 06-19 10:22:29 | Muted-Wound 0xd17b…5f10 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x72c888… |
| 06-19 10:21:16 | Snarling-Light 0x5d1b…ecd9 | No | SELL | 45 | 89¢ | $40 | 0xd2fe92… |
| 06-19 10:21:16 | Notable-Window 0x7bf8…b312 | No | SELL | 16 | 89¢ | $14 | 0xd2fe92… |
| 06-19 10:21:16 | Tender-Distribution 0xfb0f…7c3c | Yes | SELL | 108 | 11¢ | $12 | 0xd2fe92… |
| 06-19 10:21:16 | Webbed-Colorlessness 0xb97a…d3df | No | SELL | 47 | 89¢ | $42 | 0xd2fe92… |
| 06-19 10:21:14 | (anonymous) 0x95c2…3e64 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x74cce3… |
| 06-19 10:21:14 | (anonymous) 0xc47f…1983 | No | SELL | 43 | 89¢ | $38 | 0x19dce3… |
| 06-19 10:21:14 | (anonymous) 0x95c2…3e64 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x4a5f13… |
| 06-19 10:21:14 | Oval-Pair 0x75d7…6598 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x614b34… |
| 06-19 10:21:14 | (anonymous) 0x95c2…3e64 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x624b21… |
| 06-19 10:21:14 | (anonymous) 0x95c2…3e64 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x19dce3… |
| 06-19 10:21:14 | Bowed-Dhow 0xa797…84a2 | No | SELL | 41 | 89¢ | $36 | 0x74cce3… |
| 06-19 10:21:14 | Bowed-Dhow 0xa797…84a2 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x01821c… |
| 06-19 10:21:14 | Tender-Distribution 0xfb0f…7c3c | Yes | SELL | 38 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x72f003… |
| 06-19 10:21:14 | Oval-Pair 0x75d7…6598 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x01821c… |
| 06-19 10:21:14 | Lone-Conviction 0xa8a5…4964 | No | SELL | 24 | 89¢ | $21 | 0x614b34… |
| 06-19 10:21:14 | Capital-Stud 0xa5f2…8b9f | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x624b21… |
| 06-19 10:21:14 | Webbed-Colorlessness 0xb97a…d3df | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x3a2290… |
| 06-19 10:21:14 | Broken-Horde 0xa63b…abb8 | No | SELL | 38 | 89¢ | $34 | 0x72f003… |
| 06-19 10:21:14 | Agonizing-Conspiracy 0x3315…bf06 | No | SELL | 46 | 89¢ | $41 | 0x4a5f13… |
| 06-19 10:21:14 | (anonymous) 0x1ee7…fb13 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x614b34… |
| 06-19 10:21:14 | (anonymous) 0x95c2…3e64 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x3a2290… |
| 06-19 10:20:49 | Lone-Conviction 0xa8a5…4964 | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x0bd2ef… |
| 06-19 10:20:49 | (anonymous) 0xcbb2…8be6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x0bd2ef… |
| 06-19 10:20:47 | (anonymous) 0xcbb2…8be6 | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xf183d2… |
| 06-19 10:20:47 | Blushing-Bifocals 0xb1c2…7ced | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xf183d2… |
| 06-19 10:20:28 | Agonizing-Conspiracy 0x3315…bf06 | No | BUY | 46 | 89¢ | $41 | 0x3ac692… |
| 06-19 10:20:28 | Odd-Riser 0x50a5…0b3e | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x3ac692… |
| 06-19 10:20:28 | Lone-Conviction 0xa8a5…4964 | No | SELL | 38 | 89¢ | $34 | 0x267419… |
| 06-19 10:20:28 | Capital-Stud 0xa5f2…8b9f | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x30b96d… |
| 06-19 10:20:28 | Untried-Bus 0xd72f…d261 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x267419… |
| 06-19 10:20:28 | Odd-Riser 0x50a5…0b3e | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x30b96d… |
| 06-19 10:20:28 | Untried-Bus 0xd72f…d261 | No | SELL | 37 | 89¢ | $33 | 0x3ac692… |
| 06-19 10:20:28 | (anonymous) 0xc47f…1983 | No | BUY | 43 | 89¢ | $38 | 0x267419… |
| 06-19 10:19:01 | (anonymous) 0xfc84…d42a | No | BUY | 42 | 89¢ | $37 | 0x0ac5ca… |
| 06-19 10:19:01 | (anonymous) 0x31aa…d8f7 | No | BUY | 48 | 89¢ | $43 | 0x0cfdd9… |
| 06-19 10:19:01 | Bare-Supernatural 0xe02f…5591 | No | SELL | 24 | 89¢ | $21 | 0x294600… |
| 06-19 10:19:01 | Muted-Princess 0xba77…f4dc | No | SELL | 31 | 89¢ | $28 | 0x0cfdd9… |
| 06-19 10:19:01 | Bare-Supernatural 0xe02f…5591 | No | SELL | 17 | 89¢ | $15 | 0x0cfdd9… |
| 06-19 10:19:01 | Muted-Princess 0xba77…f4dc | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x0ac5ca… |
| 06-19 10:19:01 | Icy-Demand 0x7094…53f1 | No | BUY | 58 | 89¢ | $52 | 0x294600… |
| 06-19 10:19:01 | (anonymous) 0x1f45…c479 | No | SELL | 34 | 89¢ | $30 | 0x294600… |
| 06-19 10:19:01 | Untidy-Inheritance 0xc595…fb09 | No | SELL | 41 | 89¢ | $36 | 0x0ac5ca… |
| 06-19 10:18:04 | Whole-Highrise 0x3ffa…c2b3 | No | SELL | 16 | 89¢ | $14 | 0x0397e1… |
| 06-19 10:18:04 | Homely-Transcript 0x8f5a…a30a | Yes | SELL | 69 | 11¢ | $8 | 0x0397e1… |
| 06-19 10:18:04 | Impartial-Checking 0x6afd…a5a1 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xa599fb… |
| 06-19 10:18:04 | Absolute-Trick 0x5e9b…6551 | No | SELL | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x0397e1… |
| 06-19 10:18:04 | Impartial-Checking 0x6afd…a5a1 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x39bd47… |
| 06-19 10:18:04 | Negligible-Terracotta 0xd4d0…439c | No | SELL | 42 | 89¢ | $37 | 0x0397e1… |
| 06-19 10:18:04 | Taut-Bin 0xad8f…15ea | No | SELL | 36 | 89¢ | $32 | 0xa599fb… |
| 06-19 10:18:04 | Absolute-Trick 0x5e9b…6551 | No | SELL | 25 | 89¢ | $22 | 0x03155b… |
| 06-19 10:18:04 | Leafy-Mean 0x63f1…94c5 | No | SELL | 39 | 89¢ | $35 | 0x25cd24… |
| 06-19 10:18:04 | Impartial-Checking 0x6afd…a5a1 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x25cd24… |
| 06-19 10:18:04 | Impartial-Checking 0x6afd…a5a1 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x03155b… |
| 06-19 10:18:04 | Intent-Painting 0xfe94…9baf | No | SELL | 41 | 89¢ | $36 | 0x39bd47… |
| 06-19 10:16:55 | Growing-Champagne 0xfd1d…4b32 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x5f1637… |
| 06-19 10:16:55 | Zesty-Law 0x9257…784f | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5f1637… |
| 06-19 10:16:55 | (anonymous) 0x423e…0ad0 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 11¢ | $9 | 0x5f1637… |
| 06-19 10:16:55 | (anonymous) 0x93df…61ee | Yes | SELL | 36 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x5f1637… |
| 06-19 10:16:07 | (anonymous) 0x5e1e…f5b4 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x739d72… |
| 06-19 10:16:07 | (anonymous) 0x2a29…7205 | No | SELL | 51 | 89¢ | $45 | 0x739d72… |
| 06-19 10:16:07 | (anonymous) 0xc0d6…68b5 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x739d72… |
| 06-19 10:13:23 | Lumbering-Team 0x82e4…9375 | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x1eac4e… |
| 06-19 10:13:23 | Costly-Speaker 0x1fed…1000 | No | SELL | 13 | 89¢ | $12 | 0x5de42c… |
| 06-19 10:13:23 | Costly-Speaker 0x1fed…1000 | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x179006… |
| 06-19 10:13:23 | (anonymous) 0x441c…b522 | No | BUY | 48 | 89¢ | $43 | 0x5de42c… |
| 06-19 10:13:23 | Proper-Rancher 0xdb5d…9034 | No | SELL | 49 | 89¢ | $44 | 0x2ca6c8… |
| 06-19 10:13:23 | (anonymous) 0x8238…9e50 | No | BUY | 49 | 89¢ | $44 | 0x2ca6c8… |
| 06-19 10:13:23 | (anonymous) 0xbabd…57d1 | No | BUY | 48 | 89¢ | $43 | 0x1eac4e… |
| 06-19 10:13:23 | Joyful-Sunshine 0xd2b1…6e9c | No | BUY | 51 | 89¢ | $45 | 0xc403cc… |
| 06-19 10:13:23 | Lumbering-Team 0x82e4…9375 | No | SELL | 35 | 89¢ | $31 | 0x5de42c… |
| 06-19 10:13:23 | Worthwhile-Improvement 0x1bae…962d | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x179006… |
| 06-19 10:13:23 | (anonymous) 0x9e8f…d79b | No | SELL | 46 | 89¢ | $41 | 0x1eac4e… |
| 06-19 10:13:23 | Costly-Speaker 0x1fed…1000 | No | SELL | 51 | 89¢ | $45 | 0xc403cc… |
| 06-19 10:12:50 | Celebrated-Page 0x6b09…a195 | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x4beb35… |