Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$295

Unrealized P&L

+$125

Hit rate

76.6%

Resolved

172

Trades

574

lifetime

Volume

$45.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

$455

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-23 05:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

71% 80% +$1,201

Politics

29% 62% -$907

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	+167	$90	99¢	$166	+$76	09-15 18:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	+110	$90	99¢	$109	+$19	09-05 12:48
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+68	$50	92¢	$63	+$13	06-24 15:28
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	+64	$50	96¢	$61	+$11	10-22 21:41
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+55	$50	99¢	$55	+$5	10-06 11:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	19	$2.6K	2,547	1,852	+695	Yes	-$276	03-12 16:16
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	11	$1.6K	923	922	+1	No	+$131	03-27 02:47
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	14	$1.2K	748	540	+208	No	+$63	03-31 20:25
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	10	$1.1K	741	575	+165	No	+$87	04-07 21:18
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$833	599	513	+86	No	+$76	03-29 13:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	9	$801	3,994	0	+3,994	Yes	-$801	04-07 22:59
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	7	$784	531	321	+210	No	+$24	03-29 00:04
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	7	$712	431	431	+0	No	+$112	03-25 17:57
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	7	$704	396	396	+0	No	+$50	03-14 11:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$695	493	493	+0	No	-$5	03-29 00:15
will russia enter krasnoiarske by march 31	8	$682	501	244	+257	No	+$41	03-31 05:11
will russia capture toretske by march 31 2026	8	$660	396	344	+52	No	+$46	03-29 16:06
will uae strike iran by march 31	5	$649	444	280	+164	No	+$43	03-27 00:05
will russia enter rizdvianka by february 28	5	$559	598	154	+444	No	+$186	02-24 09:54
will russia enter verkhnia tersa by february 28	6	$558	503	200	+303	No	+$93	02-18 19:16
will russia enter verkhnia tersa by march 31 2026	7	$543	449	224	+224	No	+$108	03-29 15:42
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	6	$541	305	305	+0	No	+$51	03-14 10:28
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	5	$528	373	213	+160	No	+$8	03-30 15:41
will russia enter bilytske by february 28	7	$510	2,556	1,806	+750	Yes	-$330	02-25 18:42
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 9 2026	6	$507	493	134	+359	No	+$111	03-17 08:54
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?	3	$506	304	301	+3	No	+$69	04-03 02:53
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	4	$495	286	286	+0	No	+$59	03-14 17:48
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	3	$487	293	292	+1	No	+$68	04-05 16:56
will russia enter vozdvyzhivka by march 31	6	$464	445	162	+282	No	+$126	03-28 20:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	7	$459	530	114	+416	No	+$173	04-19 18:30
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	2	$448	286	285	+1	No	+$99	03-17 19:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	5	$446	649	0	+649	Yes	-$446	04-07 21:12
will russia enter shevchenko by march 31	8	$441	256	256	+0	No	+$27	03-24 18:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$430	288	284	+4	Yes	+$30	04-03 06:47
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	3	$430	242	242	+0	No	+$30	03-14 17:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:34:45	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	SELL	1,298	7¢	$90	0xdcd69d…
10-22 21:50:59	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0xa9624f…
10-22 21:45:56	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	BUY	881	11¢	$100	0x21d2fb…
10-22 21:41:47	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xd1de78…
10-06 11:47:00	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xfdd4df…
09-15 18:10:18	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	167	54¢	$90	0x510f1f…
09-05 12:48:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	110	82¢	$90	0xd74b11…
08-31 10:43:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	66	0¢	$0	0x4dc93b…
08-28 22:10:55	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x2da1eb…
08-27 10:32:24	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 27, 2026?	No	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0xad0173…
08-18 17:46:30	will russia target kyiv on august 18 2026 20260810162903053	No	SELL	97	0¢	$0	0xc552ca…
08-18 14:53:18	will russia enter borova by september 30	No	BUY	31	85¢	$27	0x8fef75…
08-16 13:29:18	will russia enter mykhailivka by august 31	No	BUY	139	90¢	$125	0xc4654d…
08-16 13:28:36	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0x29a3ae…
08-16 13:21:37	will russia enter borova by september 30	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xbe8051…
08-16 13:18:42	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x61370d…
08-16 12:46:33	will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by september 30	No	BUY	158	76¢	$120	0xe8ef0a…
08-15 23:54:18	will russia target kyiv on august 16 2026 20260810162903051	No	SELL	132	1¢	$1	0x47de21…
08-14 08:06:45	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	No	SELL	538	10¢	$54	0x8a782c…
08-13 09:13:48	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xf6198e…
08-12 16:28:30	will russia target kyiv on august 13 2026 20260810162903048	No	BUY	99	50¢	$50	0x4e85d1…
08-12 16:06:03	will russia target kyiv on august 16 2026 20260810162903051	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xdcaa00…
08-12 16:05:39	will russia target kyiv on august 17 2026 20260810162903052	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x710caa…
08-12 16:05:31	will russia target kyiv on august 18 2026 20260810162903053	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa1d90a…
08-12 16:04:58	will russia target kyiv on august 25 2026 20260810162903060	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xded74d…
08-12 16:03:09	will russia target kyiv on august 16 2026 20260810162903051	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x1c6e68…
08-12 16:02:42	will russia target kyiv on august 17 2026 20260810162903052	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xcef9d4…
08-12 16:02:24	will russia target kyiv on august 18 2026 20260810162903053	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xde8df9…
08-12 16:02:09	will russia target kyiv on august 19 2026 20260810162903054	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x69ba23…
08-12 16:02:03	will russia target kyiv on august 20 2026 20260810162903055	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x0dfb0a…
08-12 16:01:52	will russia target kyiv on august 22 2026 20260810162903057	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x1a5921…
08-12 16:01:39	will russia target kyiv on august 31 2026 20260810162903066	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x92244e…
08-12 16:01:19	will russia target kyiv on august 30 2026 20260810162903065	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x693152…
08-12 16:01:12	will russia target kyiv on august 28 2026 20260810162903063	No	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x270a34…
08-12 16:01:07	will russia target kyiv on august 27 2026 20260810162903062	No	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x2d8ccf…
08-12 15:58:12	will russia target kyiv on august 25 2026 20260810162903060	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x5a95ca…
08-12 15:58:03	will russia target kyiv on august 26 2026 20260810162903061	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x14313d…
08-12 15:57:52	will russia target kyiv on august 18 2026 20260810162903053	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x3f5860…
08-12 15:57:43	will russia target kyiv on august 15 2026 20260810162903050	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xd355a7…
08-12 15:57:27	will russia target kyiv on august 14 2026 20260810162903049	No	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xcee116…
08-12 15:56:52	will russia target kyiv on august 17 2026 20260810162903052	No	BUY	80	62¢	$50	0xba3dc6…
08-12 15:56:39	will russia target kyiv on august 16 2026 20260810162903051	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x362218…
08-10 23:52:09	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	104	72¢	$75	0x78daae…
08-10 23:39:31	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x43ab0a…
08-10 19:30:13	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xce5bde…
08-03 23:58:47	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	No	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xa27ac4…
07-29 12:24:30	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	79	64¢	$50	0x93c75b…
07-29 12:24:00	will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	No	SELL	51	100¢	$50	0x1bde65…
07-26 01:45:42	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232	No	BUY	249	40¢	$99	0x60cccd…
07-26 01:45:22	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0xc9e856…
07-26 01:42:03	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by august 31 2026 20260722051644333	No	BUY	67	89¢	$60	0xd390a0…
07-26 01:40:40	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	No	BUY	391	31¢	$120	0xce9cfe…
07-26 01:40:16	moscow air traffic suspended by july 31 20260720155944304	No	BUY	142	84¢	$120	0x2abf11…
07-23 13:15:07	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	BUY	64	93¢	$60	0x5cfd61…
07-21 09:18:30	Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	63	96¢	$60	0x45c2c6…
07-21 09:17:51	Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xb44476…
07-21 09:17:00	Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	93¢	$60	0x5fea24…
07-20 17:41:49	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	331	30¢	$100	0x047a0c…
07-19 11:20:34	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x25aa58…
07-19 11:19:34	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0xcd47c3…
07-19 10:59:15	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	197	61¢	$120	0x91a06f…
07-08 20:14:19	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 2026 20260706174556070	No	BUY	156	77¢	$120	0x7a2a4c…
07-08 07:09:56	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	136	88¢	$120	0xd48302…
07-06 11:40:47	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	128	94¢	$120	0x505a56…
07-06 11:32:23	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	No	BUY	128	94¢	$120	0x6a54e8…
07-05 11:19:47	will russia enter borova by september 30	No	BUY	53	66¢	$35	0x695097…
07-05 11:16:01	will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	No	BUY	130	93¢	$120	0xdae9d2…
07-05 11:11:40	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	No	BUY	169	71¢	$120	0xa43a38…
07-05 11:05:47	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x4888a0…
07-04 19:01:40	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xf58bd0…
07-04 18:49:40	will ukraine re enter kamianske by september 30	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x026fb9…
07-04 15:52:35	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	No	BUY	154	78¢	$120	0x657efc…
06-30 15:32:05	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0x50ab27…
06-27 02:11:50	will russia capture verkhnia tersa by july 31	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x066a44…
06-26 23:26:35	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x332d28…
06-25 05:19:32	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xd15a10…
06-24 15:28:52	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xf3f4ea…
06-24 15:28:41	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x8b3dab…
06-24 15:18:43	will russia capture verkhnia tersa by july 31	No	BUY	140	86¢	$120	0x8bbc56…
06-24 15:16:28	will ukraine agree to cede territory to russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xb98acb…
06-24 15:16:07	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2fc1ca…
06-24 15:14:53	Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x5c6c64…
06-24 15:07:50	will russia capture toretske by july 31 2026	No	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0xa1e134…
04-19 18:30:26	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0x68e281…
04-17 13:37:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0xe0a374…
04-13 16:53:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x364663…
04-12 20:31:03	Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?	No	SELL	115	7¢	$8	0xac0a6a…
04-08 09:59:45	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	435	16¢	$70	0x05ed5a…
04-07 22:59:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,803	4¢	$100	0x48cfdc…
04-07 22:37:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	180	78¢	$140	0x2cb9d7…
04-07 22:36:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x3da297…
04-07 22:36:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	45	78¢	$35	0x981971…
04-07 22:36:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x3eaf88…
04-07 22:36:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	311	32¢	$100	0xa3e52d…
04-07 22:23:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	34	78¢	$26	0x714401…
04-07 21:56:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	123	80¢	$98	0x7f23f5…
04-07 21:56:11	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x736b7a…
04-07 21:24:57	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xe579da…
04-07 21:24:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x904847…
04-07 21:21:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0x32e1bb…