Will Russia target Kyiv on August 20, 2026?
Yes won
Total volume
$1,418
Trades
110
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-08-20
First seen
2026-08-12
last 08-20 06:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+16.8¢
(top1%: 88% YES on $199
vs crowd: 71% YES on $1.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $103 | $99 | +$4 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 14 | $707 | $160 | +$547 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $25 | $78 | $53 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $41 | $12 | +$29 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $176 | $23 | +$152 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $482 | $150 | +$332 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $19 | $5 | +$14 |
| Median | 3 | $5 | $2 | +$3 |
| Below median | 6 | $17 | $16 | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $114 | $26 | +$89 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $63 | $117 | $54 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empty-Monitoring 0x2546…5155 | Yes | +392 | $358 | $358 | 9 | 08-19 21:43 |
| Yummy-Winter 0xb17d…59ae | Yes | +200 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 08-13 09:17 |
| Light-Front 0xb26c…0eb0 | No | +133 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-13 09:17 |
| Upbeat-Advance 0x1851…ae47 | Yes | +115 | $109 | $109 | 5 | 08-19 21:00 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +102 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 08-19 17:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | +100 | $19 | $19 | 4 | 08-19 20:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +86 | $41 | $41 | 6 | 08-20 06:00 |
| Timely-Photo 0xf01a…f231 | Yes | +72 | $71 | $71 | 1 | 08-20 06:00 |
| Shady-Hardcover 0x04f6…311a | Yes | +69 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 08-18 22:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ff2…7c02 | No | +67 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 08-12 16:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | Yes | +65 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 08-20 06:02 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +60 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 08-19 20:56 |
| Hurtful-Nuke 0xd886…1746 | No | +53 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 08-19 20:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xfab1…f0cc | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-20 06:02 |
| Traumatic-Bakery 0xac76…9359 | No | +47 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 08-19 19:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +40 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 08-19 19:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x11b5…8c02 | No | +40 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 08-19 19:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x1bb4…89f9 | No | +37 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-19 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xc291…976a | No | +35 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 08-19 18:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ca1…d68f | No | +33 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-19 21:01 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-20 06:00 |
| Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | +21 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 08-18 22:15 |
| Woeful-Reset 0x6cbd…e951 | No | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-19 19:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xb141…aa3b | Yes | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 08-18 06:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xb141…aa3b | No | +20 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 08-19 10:55 |
| Hurtful-Nuke 0xd886…1746 | Yes | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 08-19 19:06 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 08-18 16:27 |
| Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-19 19:51 |
| Grimy-Twist 0xcc2c…0a2c | No | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-20 06:00 |
| Timely-Photo 0xf01a…f231 | No | +20 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 08-18 06:49 |
| Regal-Typhoon 0x40f2…a57c | No | +20 | -$2 | $5 | 6 | 08-19 20:57 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-19 21:00 |
| Irritating-Hierarchy 0xef03…1fbf | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-19 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e47…08bc | Yes | +9 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 08-19 10:55 |
| Lavish-Graffiti 0x9b94…99ae | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 08-19 17:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 06:02:04 | (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 100¢ | $65 | 0x11fe7a… |
| 08-20 06:02:04 | Medium-Bassoon 0xb816…9e90 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x11fe7a… |
| 08-20 06:02:04 | (anonymous) 0xfab1…f0cc | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x11fe7a… |
| 08-20 06:00:19 | Grimy-Twist 0xcc2c…0a2c | No | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x62b651… |
| 08-20 06:00:19 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x62b651… |
| 08-20 06:00:19 | Timely-Photo 0xf01a…f231 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 99¢ | $71 | 0x62b651… |
| 08-20 06:00:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x62b651… |
| 08-20 03:32:10 | Medium-Bassoon 0xb816…9e90 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x23b2ad… |
| 08-20 03:32:10 | (anonymous) 0x7125…f603 | No | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x23b2ad… |
| 08-19 21:43:57 | Empty-Monitoring 0x2546…5155 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 97¢ | $47 | 0xc564d1… |
| 08-19 21:43:57 | (anonymous) 0x28b7…05fd | Yes | SELL | 49 | 97¢ | $47 | 0xc564d1… |
| 08-19 21:01:27 | (anonymous) 0x3ca1…d68f | No | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe921a5… |
| 08-19 21:01:27 | Empty-Monitoring 0x2546…5155 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0xe921a5… |
| 08-19 21:01:09 | (anonymous) 0x06c6…577b | Yes | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xdc37fa… |
| 08-19 21:01:09 | (anonymous) 0x1bb4…89f9 | No | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdc37fa… |
| 08-19 21:00:36 | Empty-Monitoring 0x2546…5155 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 97¢ | $23 | 0x6dd632… |
| 08-19 21:00:36 | (anonymous) 0x1bb4…89f9 | No | BUY | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6dd632… |
| 08-19 21:00:36 | Upbeat-Advance 0x1851…ae47 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0x6dd632… |
| 08-19 21:00:34 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcf25db… |
| 08-19 21:00:34 | Upbeat-Advance 0x1851…ae47 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xcf25db… |
| 08-19 20:57:34 | Selfish-First 0x0fa3…cf2e | Yes | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x6f1c50… |
| 08-19 20:57:34 | Upbeat-Advance 0x1851…ae47 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x6f1c50… |
| 08-19 20:57:22 | Regal-Typhoon 0x40f2…a57c | No | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xea525f… |
| 08-19 20:57:22 | Upbeat-Advance 0x1851…ae47 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xea525f… |
| 08-19 20:56:19 | Upbeat-Advance 0x1851…ae47 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0x4649c2… |
| 08-19 20:56:19 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x4649c2… |
| 08-19 20:56:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x4649c2… |
| 08-19 20:56:10 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xab6726… |
| 08-19 20:56:10 | Hurtful-Nuke 0xd886…1746 | No | BUY | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xab6726… |
| 08-19 20:56:10 | Wicked-Flour 0x7ee6…6eb1 | No | SELL | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xab6726… |
| 08-19 20:54:21 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x028585… |
| 08-19 20:54:21 | Irritating-Hierarchy 0xef03…1fbf | Yes | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x028585… |
| 08-19 19:51:39 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | BUY | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x785c19… |
| 08-19 19:51:39 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x785c19… |
| 08-19 19:51:39 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x785c19… |
| 08-19 19:51:39 | Empty-Monitoring 0x2546…5155 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 90¢ | $95 | 0x785c19… |
| 08-19 19:51:39 | Wicked-Flour 0x7ee6…6eb1 | No | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x785c19… |
| 08-19 19:51:39 | Hurtful-Nuke 0xd886…1746 | No | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x785c19… |
| 08-19 19:42:07 | (anonymous) 0x11b5…8c02 | No | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xf12d4e… |
| 08-19 19:42:07 | Empty-Monitoring 0x2546…5155 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xf12d4e… |
| 08-19 19:40:36 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x5f255d… |
| 08-19 19:40:36 | Woeful-Reset 0x6cbd…e951 | No | BUY | 21 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x5f255d… |
| 08-19 19:40:36 | Regal-Typhoon 0x40f2…a57c | No | SELL | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x5f255d… |
| 08-19 19:40:36 | (anonymous) 0x06c6…577b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0x5f255d… |
| 08-19 19:36:12 | (anonymous) 0x06c6…577b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x1ca834… |
| 08-19 19:36:12 | Regal-Typhoon 0x40f2…a57c | No | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x1ca834… |
| 08-19 19:23:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xe10152… |
| 08-19 19:23:07 | Wicked-Flour 0x7ee6…6eb1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xe10152… |
| 08-19 19:23:07 | Empty-Monitoring 0x2546…5155 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 82¢ | $33 | 0xe10152… |
| 08-19 19:16:21 | Traumatic-Bakery 0xac76…9359 | No | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x7e5931… |
| 08-19 19:16:21 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x7e5931… |
| 08-19 19:16:21 | Wicked-Flour 0x7ee6…6eb1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x7e5931… |
| 08-19 19:12:52 | Wicked-Flour 0x7ee6…6eb1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x6b8c64… |
| 08-19 19:12:52 | Traumatic-Bakery 0xac76…9359 | No | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x6b8c64… |
| 08-19 19:06:34 | Hurtful-Nuke 0xd886…1746 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x485ba8… |
| 08-19 19:06:34 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x485ba8… |
| 08-19 19:06:34 | (anonymous) 0x7125…f603 | No | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x485ba8… |
| 08-19 18:59:45 | (anonymous) 0x11b5…8c02 | No | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x0c7851… |
| 08-19 18:59:45 | Hurtful-Nuke 0xd886…1746 | No | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x0c7851… |
| 08-19 18:59:45 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | BUY | 25 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x0c7851… |
| 08-19 18:59:45 | Medium-Bassoon 0xb816…9e90 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 84¢ | $55 | 0x0c7851… |
| 08-19 18:30:04 | (anonymous) 0xc291…976a | No | BUY | 18 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x6d2fa8… |
| 08-19 18:30:04 | Wicked-Flour 0x7ee6…6eb1 | No | SELL | 18 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x6d2fa8… |
| 08-19 18:13:40 | Empty-Monitoring 0x2546…5155 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x39bcef… |
| 08-19 18:13:40 | Wicked-Flour 0x7ee6…6eb1 | No | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x39bcef… |
| 08-19 18:01:46 | Wicked-Flour 0x7ee6…6eb1 | No | SELL | 17 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xd410be… |
| 08-19 18:01:46 | Traumatic-Bakery 0xac76…9359 | No | BUY | 17 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xd410be… |
| 08-19 17:49:03 | Regal-Typhoon 0x40f2…a57c | No | SELL | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xce0ab2… |
| 08-19 17:49:03 | Wicked-Flour 0x7ee6…6eb1 | No | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xce0ab2… |
| 08-19 17:46:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x0f97f6… |
| 08-19 17:46:57 | Empty-Monitoring 0x2546…5155 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 92¢ | $77 | 0xf71b3c… |
| 08-19 17:46:57 | Lavish-Graffiti 0x9b94…99ae | No | BUY | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xf71b3c… |
| 08-19 17:46:57 | Regal-Typhoon 0x40f2…a57c | No | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf71b3c… |
| 08-19 17:46:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 66 | 9¢ | $6 | 0xf71b3c… |
| 08-19 17:46:57 | Empty-Monitoring 0x2546…5155 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0x0f97f6… |
| 08-19 17:45:04 | Wicked-Flour 0x7ee6…6eb1 | No | SELL | 18 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x2f4434… |
| 08-19 17:45:04 | (anonymous) 0xc291…976a | No | BUY | 18 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x2f4434… |
| 08-19 10:55:37 | (anonymous) 0xb141…aa3b | No | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xb88f80… |
| 08-19 10:55:37 | (anonymous) 0x0e47…08bc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 57¢ | $4 | 0xb88f80… |
| 08-19 10:55:37 | Lavish-Graffiti 0x9b94…99ae | No | BUY | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb88f80… |
| 08-19 10:55:19 | (anonymous) 0x0e47…08bc | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x0d18d6… |
| 08-19 10:55:19 | (anonymous) 0xb141…aa3b | No | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x0d18d6… |
| 08-19 01:10:55 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0x15a5ec… |
| 08-19 01:10:55 | (anonymous) 0x28b7…05fd | Yes | BUY | 25 | 40¢ | $10 | 0x15a5ec… |
| 08-19 01:10:55 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | BUY | 15 | 60¢ | $9 | 0x15a5ec… |
| 08-19 01:09:36 | (anonymous) 0x28b7…05fd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0xd822bf… |
| 08-19 01:09:36 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0xd822bf… |
| 08-19 00:55:54 | (anonymous) 0x28b7…05fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x7fa365… |
| 08-19 00:55:54 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x7fa365… |
| 08-18 22:15:01 | (anonymous) 0xb141…aa3b | No | BUY | 13 | 53¢ | $7 | 0xbacb29… |
| 08-18 22:15:01 | Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | BUY | 12 | 66¢ | $8 | 0xbacb29… |
| 08-18 22:15:01 | Wicked-Flour 0x7ee6…6eb1 | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0xbacb29… |
| 08-18 22:15:01 | Shady-Hardcover 0x04f6…311a | Yes | BUY | 69 | 36¢ | $25 | 0xbacb29… |
| 08-18 22:15:01 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 24 | 66¢ | $16 | 0xbacb29… |
| 08-18 21:24:58 | Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | BUY | 9 | 66¢ | $6 | 0xb8c97c… |
| 08-18 21:24:58 | (anonymous) 0x28b7…05fd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xb8c97c… |
| 08-18 18:58:25 | Heavenly-Entertainment 0x59cc…2963 | No | SELL | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0x6e7ea6… |
| 08-18 18:58:25 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0x6e7ea6… |
| 08-18 18:58:04 | Selfish-First 0x0fa3…cf2e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x006e13… |
| 08-18 18:58:04 | Heavenly-Entertainment 0x59cc…2963 | No | BUY | 15 | 68¢ | $10 | 0x006e13… |