Realized P&L
-$11.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.67K
Hit rate
67.8%
Resolved
8,511
Trades
56,669
lifetime
Volume
$2.49M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$12.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 20:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 285 days
Categories
Other
50% 52% -$485
Politics
30% 56% +$1,928
Crypto
13% 60% -$8,845
Sports
6% 48% -$4,841
Tech
1% 52% +$247
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$78
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 983 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992 No +1,613 $1,029 93¢ $1.5K +$471 07-31 06:43
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +5,023 $556 22¢ $1.1K +$549 10-29 22:53
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,215 $1,013 78¢ $947 -$66 10-30 14:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $610 92¢ $915 +$305 05-18 00:05
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +761 $718 99¢ $750 +$32 10-11 18:19
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +761 $382 86¢ $651 +$269 09-29 21:22
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +641 $535 96¢ $616 +$81 09-29 18:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +610 $518 96¢ $589 +$71 10-21 21:45
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? Yes +620 $336 89¢ $551 +$215 10-23 04:18
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +458 $274 92¢ $423 +$149 10-18 15:37
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +403 $335 98¢ $397 +$62 10-18 18:48
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +489 $245 77¢ $376 +$132 09-30 10:45
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +341 -$491 99¢ $338 +$829 10-25 16:31
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +339 $268 98¢ $331 +$63 09-29 19:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -400 -$264 82¢ $-330 -$66 07-11 14:33
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +316 $229 98¢ $311 +$82 10-13 15:45
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +300 $286 100¢ $300 +$13 10-12 21:19
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +273 $260 93¢ $255 -$5 10-11 18:55
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by december 31 2027 Yes +345 $184 66¢ $229 +$46 08-14 23:12
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +268 $216 84¢ $226 +$10 09-30 10:45
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +579 $337 39¢ $226 -$112 08-27 04:10
will the us announce a diesel export ban by october 31 No +191 $108 100¢ $190 +$82 09-23 18:40
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +250 -$13 74¢ $185 +$198 09-28 20:52
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +211 $102 84¢ $178 +$76 09-30 10:53
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +225 $102 76¢ $171 +$69 09-30 11:54
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026? No +150 $142 100¢ $149 +$8 10-18 15:18
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? No +149 $136 99¢ $147 +$12 10-18 15:47
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +196 $102 72¢ $142 +$40 05-19 15:45
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +163 $99 84¢ $137 +$38 09-29 19:33
will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669 No +140 $115 98¢ $137 +$22 07-25 11:09