Empty-Monitoring — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.16K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

1,999

Trades

8,098

lifetime

Volume

$753.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

$110

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-29 22:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 210 days

Categories

Other

89% 62% -$1,824

Politics

7% 71% +$115

Sports

4% 60% +$682

Crypto

0% 43% -$94

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No		+111	$108	99¢	$110	+$2	10-27 12:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Eddie Howe be the next head coach of the England national team?	7	$5.4K	3,136	3,136	+0	open	—	10-08 05:26
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	15	$5.0K	3,067	3,067	+0	open	—	10-29 12:11
cs2 vit fut 2026 06 11	16	$4.8K	2,631	2,631	+0	Vitality	+$107	06-11 14:44
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	8	$4.7K	4,110	710	+3,400	Yes	+$77	10-29 16:16
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	24	$4.5K	3,030	3,010	+20	Yes	+$335	09-01 16:43
cs2 g2 big5 2026 06 08	35	$4.3K	2,348	2,348	+0	G2	+$87	06-08 20:06
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	17	$3.9K	2,750	2,750	+0	No	+$590	10-23 20:52
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	24	$3.5K	3,848	2,590	+1,258	Yes	+$997	10-29 21:05
cs2 navi lgc 2026 06 12	22	$3.4K	1,797	1,797	+0	Natus Vincere	+$112	06-12 16:37
cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07	15	$3.4K	1,784	1,784	+0	Spirit	+$57	06-07 18:28
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	13	$3.4K	3,118	599	+2,519	Yes	+$233	08-16 18:32
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	29	$3.4K	3,154	2,054	+1,100	No	-$275	05-21 12:30
cs2 mouz lgc 2026 06 11	24	$3.3K	1,835	1,835	+0	MOUZ	+$55	06-11 13:44
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?	5	$3.2K	1,628	1,628	+0	No	+$37	06-25 10:24
cs2 prv mnte 2026 06 12	13	$3.2K	1,610	1,610	+0	Monte	+$35	06-12 14:27
cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20	10	$3.2K	1,620	1,620	+0	FURIA	+$35	06-20 15:35
cs2 tyloo lgc 2026 06 09	20	$3.1K	1,672	1,672	+0	Legacy	+$44	06-09 16:11
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	20	$3.1K	1,568	1,568	+0	No	+$12	08-28 11:55
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	12	$3.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$18	10-07 20:29
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?	13	$3.0K	2,323	1,063	+1,260	Yes	+$239	09-01 21:16
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	15	$2.8K	1,499	1,499	+0	FaZe	+$65	05-27 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?	25	$2.8K	1,427	1,427	-0	Yes	+$14	05-13 18:37
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	48	$2.8K	2,275	1,285	+990	Yes	+$20	06-24 06:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	6	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	09-20 11:23
cs2 100t leo2 2026 06 18	31	$2.6K	1,772	1,772	+0	100 Thieves	-$553	06-18 19:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$2.6K	1,700	2,000	-300	No	-$87	05-07 19:32
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO5) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals Playoffs	8	$2.5K	1,349	1,349	+0	M80	+$176	05-29 05:13
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	24	$2.5K	1,648	1,648	+0	ex-RUBY	-$17	05-27 18:10
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs against All authority (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	21	$2.5K	1,298	1,298	+0	Ursa	+$73	05-25 10:29
Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs	5	$2.4K	2,100	2,100	+0	cancelled	-$290	09-10 18:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:52:40	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd461b6…
10-29 22:52:40	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xbc2058…
10-29 22:28:13	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	87¢	$173	0xc13e3c…
10-29 21:05:04	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	99¢	$235	0x93082a…
10-29 20:54:16	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,020	100¢	$1,019	0x895967…
10-29 20:50:09	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	306	99¢	$303	0xa9f1a3…
10-29 20:47:46	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	No	SELL	344	0¢	$0	0x0381dd…
10-29 20:45:48	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	255	94¢	$239	0xde0f0b…
10-29 20:45:48	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x1bd016…
10-29 20:42:58	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	No	SELL	46	1¢	$0	0xb86304…
10-29 19:28:21	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1ebd2b…
10-29 19:03:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0x96c3cd…
10-29 17:18:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0xede1ba…
10-29 17:18:04	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0x29cf11…
10-29 16:52:29	Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	Yes	BUY	797	100¢	$796	0x3fc2e3…
10-29 16:16:07	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xeaf965…
10-29 16:16:07	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	2,237	100¢	$2,229	0x009dc1…
10-29 15:52:07	Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	220	96¢	$211	0x75be40…
10-29 14:56:26	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	95	76¢	$72	0x25e9a5…
10-29 14:35:04	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe62d70…
10-29 14:35:04	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	1,066	99¢	$1,060	0x203370…
10-29 14:25:26	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	274	83¢	$226	0x9555c5…
10-29 14:25:26	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x867250…
10-29 14:25:26	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x5d081e…
10-29 13:21:11	Israeli Knesset election annulled?	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0xb15bb5…
10-29 12:15:14	Israeli Knesset election annulled?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xb41778…
10-29 12:11:52	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,071	96¢	$1,034	0xd67d18…
10-29 11:45:19	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	658	96¢	$629	0x7a25fc…
10-29 11:38:10	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	SELL	840	99¢	$828	0x22a435…
10-29 10:28:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	830	99¢	$822	0xfadf3e…
10-29 09:20:17	Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xef0188…
10-29 09:18:58	Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	152	91¢	$139	0xb8a3ae…
10-29 09:16:46	Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	320	76¢	$244	0x6ac958…
10-29 09:16:46	Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x5887c2…
10-29 08:28:02	Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	207	87¢	$180	0xb4da04…
10-29 08:15:25	Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	120	79¢	$95	0xcad1ff…
10-29 07:11:38	Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0x4b6495…
10-29 07:11:35	Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x926203…
10-29 07:11:35	Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	106	89¢	$95	0x5f8e68…
10-29 07:11:34	Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xb6e392…
10-29 07:11:10	Will Together win 7-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	23	89¢	$21	0x5306e1…
10-29 07:11:10	Will Together win 7-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	277	88¢	$244	0x4e6577…
10-28 23:06:46	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xc6b878…
10-28 22:45:56	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	295	96¢	$284	0xb18663…
10-28 21:09:31	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	99¢	$87	0x3d023c…
10-28 20:47:07	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xd18984…
10-28 20:46:46	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	85¢	$509	0xe5171d…
10-28 20:02:49	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x41a94e…
10-28 19:59:31	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	316	100¢	$314	0x7e0538…
10-28 19:56:19	Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	265	54¢	$143	0x3acc66…
10-28 17:59:58	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	106	40¢	$42	0xbb745d…
10-28 11:01:56	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	330	61¢	$201	0xb0e5ac…
10-28 11:01:26	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	450	77¢	$346	0x4dc3a2…
10-28 11:01:26	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	48	77¢	$37	0x37f465…
10-28 11:01:26	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	782	77¢	$602	0x15a3e7…
10-28 11:00:43	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	119	77¢	$92	0x9a09f6…
10-28 10:18:23	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x261d07…
10-28 09:43:01	Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xf94b1b…
10-28 09:15:38	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	255	100¢	$255	0x52e375…
10-28 09:10:16	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	456	58¢	$265	0x3dabcf…
10-28 09:06:56	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	212	49¢	$103	0x4ad0d6…
10-28 08:52:37	Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	420	97¢	$406	0xdb657f…
10-28 08:17:20	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	357	85¢	$302	0xe2620b…
10-28 08:17:11	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	311	84¢	$263	0x5a8648…
10-28 08:13:58	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	650	100¢	$649	0xdbeedc…
10-28 06:06:23	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	368	100¢	$368	0xc6b0c0…
10-27 23:15:14	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	SELL	383	17¢	$64	0x824aa0…
10-27 22:35:18	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	580	100¢	$579	0x8fdf6f…
10-27 21:23:57	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x18f867…
10-27 21:17:44	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xc2bcbf…
10-27 21:12:32	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	383	52¢	$199	0xe2f305…
10-27 20:55:27	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf9176a…
10-27 20:55:23	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x30817c…
10-27 20:20:08	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	830	79¢	$656	0xde70ae…
10-27 17:16:08	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	500	92¢	$458	0xafc7eb…
10-27 14:20:11	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	508	91¢	$462	0xddf0a4…
10-27 14:20:11	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	84	91¢	$76	0xb742a9…
10-27 14:15:05	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x5dfd17…
10-27 14:15:05	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	96	91¢	$88	0x3d207a…
10-27 14:00:11	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	264	95¢	$251	0xc574b0…
10-27 13:55:08	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0x38dec8…
10-27 13:50:50	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	100¢	$229	0x2a016d…
10-27 13:50:50	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$69	0x1852f6…
10-27 13:49:30	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x42a28c…
10-27 13:46:42	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	69	1¢	$1	0x489f24…
10-27 12:23:42	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0x33127c…
10-27 11:47:03	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	650	70¢	$453	0x718fa8…
10-27 09:39:15	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	86	60¢	$51	0x3f424d…
10-27 08:20:29	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	337	82¢	$276	0xca0787…
10-27 04:57:24	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0x738d12…
10-27 01:28:48	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,332	97¢	$1,291	0xe8a5cb…
10-27 01:13:21	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	75	84¢	$63	0x8cd5b3…
10-27 01:13:21	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	625	83¢	$522	0x44d815…
10-26 23:10:15	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	179	0¢	$0	0xf90e6e…
10-26 22:20:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	190	32¢	$61	0xee45eb…
10-26 22:20:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	172	32¢	$55	0xe2b084…
10-26 22:20:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xde63b4…
10-26 22:20:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0xb9648d…
10-26 22:20:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	32¢	$9	0x1ec4a2…
10-26 22:20:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x102098…