Medium-Bassoon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.62K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

1,426

Trades

4,612

lifetime

Volume

$251.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-27 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 252 days

Categories

Other

96% 88% +$5,483

Politics

3% 68% +$91

Tech

1% 86% +$25

Crypto

0% 100% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	17	$3.0K	2,999	1,999	+1,000	Yes	-$272	03-04 08:44
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	5	$2.9K	2,426	1,008	+1,418	No	-$12	10-06 15:52
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	5	$2.8K	2,086	2,003	+83	No	+$26	10-07 13:57
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	3	$2.8K	1,815	1,010	+805	No	-$5	10-16 05:30
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	11	$2.6K	1,301	1,301	+0	No	+$33	06-07 20:49
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?	13	$2.5K	1,351	1,351	+0	Yes	+$143	10-05 21:21
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	19	$2.1K	2,895	1,478	+1,418	No	+$18	08-27 20:32
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 40 64	9	$2.0K	1,494	1,969	-475	No	+$67	03-08 21:41
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$1	07-02 15:19
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 165 189	4	$1.9K	961	1,561	-600	No	+$11	03-09 16:08
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	31	$1.9K	2,924	2,924	+0	No	-$25	07-30 19:16
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	6	$1.8K	918	918	+0	Yes	+$22	06-12 20:00
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$1.7K	1,714	0	+1,714	No	+$9	10-12 14:58
will russia target kyiv on august 19 2026 20260810162903054	7	$1.7K	1,752	151	+1,601	Yes	+$81	08-19 20:56
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?	3	$1.7K	1,702	0	+1,702	Yes	+$4	10-12 09:50
will russia target kyiv on october 15 2026	1	$1.7K	1,693	0	+1,693	Yes	+$2	10-15 07:14
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	5	$1.7K	1,003	1,003	+0	Yes	+$116	10-23 09:42
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	4	$1.6K	802	1,402	-600	No	+$1	10-07 13:03
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	3	$1.6K	1,592	500	+1,092	No	+$6	10-14 14:03
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	8	$1.6K	1,334	326	+1,008	No	+$20	08-18 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	11	$1.6K	1,578	600	+978	No	+$58	08-21 22:17
cs2 gl1 3dmax 2026 09 27	12	$1.5K	1,443	910	+533	GamerLegion	-$23	09-27 14:31
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	6	$1.5K	1,525	600	+925	No	+$54	10-10 07:20
dota2 rt avi 2026 09 26	22	$1.5K	1,052	1,052	+0	Rostik Team	-$40	09-26 19:44
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	2	$1.5K	0	2,400	-2,400	Yes	-$907	03-30 05:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$1.5K	775	775	+0	No	+$70	06-01 03:05
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	29	$1.4K	2,402	1,500	+902	No	+$5	08-20 21:28
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?	6	$1.4K	1,620	0	+1,620	No	+$194	07-31 22:48
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	8	$1.4K	754	1,254	-500	No	+$13	09-18 04:15
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?	5	$1.4K	714	714	+0	Yes	+$48	10-04 10:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 16:20:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	1¢	$5	0xacdab1…
10-27 09:38:26	Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 - Map 2 Winner	K27	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xcdbfca…
10-27 09:35:39	Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 - Map 2 Winner	K27	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc623ad…
10-27 06:10:39	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$2	0xe3d4cf…
10-26 20:30:45	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x40504b…
10-26 20:01:59	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xb3a9ad…
10-26 19:47:59	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x1f5346…
10-26 19:47:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0xb0052c…
10-26 19:47:21	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0xf379d8…
10-26 19:45:59	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	99¢	$162	0x0f77cd…
10-26 19:45:36	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xca986a…
10-26 19:45:30	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x955225…
10-26 19:42:45	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xb54e9a…
10-26 19:42:17	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x2d956f…
10-26 19:10:09	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	267	0¢	$1	0xe18ff8…
10-26 18:36:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc1228c…
10-26 18:30:27	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x30150e…
10-26 18:17:27	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xbf95ca…
10-26 18:16:32	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x2f9cc4…
10-26 18:16:24	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0xad73c7…
10-26 07:35:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	1¢	$5	0xe1f154…
10-25 20:48:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x3794d6…
10-25 06:47:47	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5ac498…
10-25 06:47:44	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf906e6…
10-25 06:47:44	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1d276e…
10-25 06:47:38	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8dcd94…
10-25 06:42:06	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	234	99¢	$232	0x6d3a9a…
10-25 06:41:56	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	950	95¢	$900	0x7052ad…
10-25 06:34:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	2¢	$9	0x82fe83…
10-25 06:34:00	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0xa8e65e…
10-25 06:17:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0xb93e82…
10-24 16:43:45	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x05d37e…
10-24 16:43:39	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x7ea732…
10-24 16:43:08	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0x15cde8…
10-24 14:37:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0xee1b2f…
10-24 14:37:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	351	6¢	$22	0xda6e47…
10-24 14:34:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	30¢	$38	0x27a82c…
10-24 06:12:29	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0xd1bb3b…
10-24 03:31:38	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x08721f…
10-24 03:31:35	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	95¢	$196	0x47fe1c…
10-24 03:30:59	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	212	95¢	$200	0x9766d2…
10-24 03:30:50	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	678	88¢	$600	0xdc371b…
10-24 03:05:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x3338d8…
10-24 02:32:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xde6a38…
10-23 20:09:38	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	340	99¢	$337	0xe72056…
10-23 18:03:33	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0x095bea…
10-23 17:49:14	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd0c893…
10-23 17:20:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x02aee4…
10-23 16:43:39	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xad6676…
10-23 14:37:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x541933…
10-23 09:42:23	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	280	86¢	$241	0x7d5f23…
10-23 09:24:32	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	556	90¢	$500	0x4ce52a…
10-23 09:24:18	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	90¢	$150	0xe65b87…
10-23 08:19:05	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	78¢	$75	0xebe9da…
10-23 08:18:14	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	906	77¢	$700	0xe09b41…
10-23 04:52:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0xd211d7…
10-22 21:02:44	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$5	0xae359e…
10-22 18:07:42	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	0¢	$0	0x114f02…
10-22 16:43:12	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	341	0¢	$0	0xf417f7…
10-22 16:43:08	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	390	0¢	$1	0x3c9ced…
10-22 16:30:20	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	153	0¢	$0	0x215faf…
10-22 16:22:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0xc6be0a…
10-22 16:10:14	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	159	0¢	$0	0x8084e6…
10-22 16:10:03	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	346	0¢	$1	0x07910c…
10-22 16:09:35	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd08888…
10-22 15:56:14	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xd17933…
10-22 15:56:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0x5d2d27…
10-22 09:38:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf87bbb…
10-22 09:12:54	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0xd90ad2…
10-22 09:09:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x7a925c…
10-22 08:08:32	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xedae07…
10-22 07:41:39	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xde515c…
10-21 23:53:32	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0x2b9748…
10-21 23:05:17	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x642925…
10-21 23:02:41	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x67be99…
10-21 23:00:51	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	706	99¢	$700	0x743da9…
10-21 17:52:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x57c9f1…
10-21 15:53:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0xd03be5…
10-21 12:18:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x94692c…
10-21 10:17:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x739519…
10-21 10:12:00	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	0¢	$0	0xe5317b…
10-21 08:45:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x652514…
10-21 08:02:14	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x0535ec…
10-21 08:02:08	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x68df31…
10-21 08:02:06	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xa54388…
10-21 08:01:57	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	392	0¢	$0	0x495fb6…
10-20 17:12:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	177	1¢	$2	0xfc0296…
10-20 16:13:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$10	0x608cc8…
10-20 15:03:41	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x5b471c…
10-20 11:24:03	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xeb2779…
10-20 07:18:52	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x6b9634…
10-20 07:18:32	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x3804c3…
10-20 07:18:22	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	587	85¢	$500	0x7b6530…
10-20 05:49:00	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	221	92¢	$203	0x2f316d…
10-20 05:47:50	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	221	91¢	$200	0x907f81…
10-19 19:56:30	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0x062fbe…
10-19 19:56:20	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x701d62…
10-19 19:11:56	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xd84ca9…
10-19 19:11:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$3	0xb0a258…
10-19 19:11:44	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$21	0x2d98ae…