Grimy-Twist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.3%

Resolved

16,224

Trades

63,014

lifetime

Volume

$1.46M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 10-09 03:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 191 days

Categories

Other

63% 61% -$15,301

Politics

23% 64% -$939

Sports

8% 53% -$2,665

Crypto

5% 86% -$596

Tech

1% 52% -$235

Pop-Culture

0% 48% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1324 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	6	$15.4K	7,901	7,901	+0	No	+$5	04-19 18:39
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$9.6K	9,610	0	+9,610	No	+$10	03-04 18:27
Will 6–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	6	$7.4K	7,420	0	+7,420	No	+$7	04-23 09:39
highest temperature in helsinki on april 24 2026 12c	2	$5.0K	5,002	0	+5,002	Yes	+$5	04-25 01:18
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 12c	2	$5.0K	5,002	0	+5,002	Yes	+$5	04-21 15:04
highest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 33c	2	$5.0K	5,002	0	+5,002	Yes	+$5	04-23 19:30
highest temperature in moscow on april 24 2026 5c	2	$5.0K	5,002	0	+5,002	Yes	+$5	04-25 01:17
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$15	04-22 07:44
mlb tor laa 2026 04 22 total 8pt5	3	$5.0K	4,988	0	+4,988	Over	+$5	04-22 23:26
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	13	$5.0K	2,502	2,502	+0	No	-$22	04-12 11:27
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	4	$4.5K	2,502	2,502	+0	No	-$488	04-12 11:20
will trump say where are you during inter miami events on thursday	3	$4.2K	4,185	0	+4,185	Yes	+$8	03-06 01:02
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 20 2026	6	$3.9K	3,922	0	+3,922	Yes	+$4	04-21 00:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	23	$2.9K	2,347	995	+1,352	No	+$19	05-31 18:08
nba phx okc 2026 04 22 rebounds dillon brooks 3pt5	2	$2.6K	2,614	0	+2,614	Yes	+$3	04-23 05:16
chatgpt outage by april 24	2	$2.5K	2,502	0	+2,502	Yes	+$3	04-07 15:21
Will Trump say "Genius" this week? (April 20 - 26)	2	$2.5K	2,502	0	+2,502	Yes	+$3	04-23 22:28
chatgpt outage by april 10 942	4	$2.5K	2,502	0	+2,502	Yes	+$3	04-07 15:20
will trump say russia during fox interview on wednesday	2	$2.5K	2,502	0	+2,502	Yes	+$3	04-15 12:35
nba min den 2026 04 18 spread home 6pt5	3	$2.5K	2,502	0	+2,502	Nuggets	+$3	04-18 23:42
bitcoin above 73800 on april 16 2026 10am et	6	$2.5K	2,502	0	+2,502	No	+$3	04-16 16:14
will trump say salary cap during college football roundtable 533	4	$2.5K	2,502	0	+2,502	Yes	+$3	03-07 00:01
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?	5	$2.5K	2,502	0	+2,502	Yes	+$3	03-07 20:08
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	2	$2.5K	2,502	0	+2,502	Yes	+$3	04-23 16:56
fl1 lor olm 2026 04 18 corners total 8pt5	2	$2.5K	2,525	0	+2,525	Under	+$25	04-18 18:56
cricpsl kar pes 2026 04 09 toss winner	2	$2.5K	2,502	0	+2,502	Karachi Kings	+$3	04-09 15:47
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 10 2026	1	$2.5K	2,502	0	+2,502	No	+$3	04-11 06:26
will trump say charlie or kirk 5 times during tpusa events on april 17	1	$2.5K	2,502	0	+2,502	No	+$3	04-18 04:43
lol wb jdg 2026 04 18 game1 kill over 28pt5	1	$2.5K	2,502	0	+2,502	Under	+$3	04-18 15:12
mlb ari nym 2026 04 09 total 8pt5	1	$2.5K	2,502	0	+2,502	Under	+$3	04-10 02:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 03:23:08	VALORANT Champions 2026: Tier 2 Team to Qualify?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x9b3e52…
08-21 22:00:51	will russia enter dobropillia by september 30	Yes	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0xfc6df9…
08-21 22:00:51	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate primary by 9–12%?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0xf3d46e…
08-21 22:00:51	houthis successfully target shipping by september 15 2026	No	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x5436e8…
08-21 22:00:51	will russia target kyiv on august 21 2026 20260810162903056	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x3e78ea…
08-21 22:00:49	Will Cuauhtli Fernando Badillo Moreno win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xbecdb2…
08-21 22:00:49	Will Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x955154…
08-21 22:00:48	will the next claude opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20261231	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xe2d7dd…
08-21 22:00:48	valorant champions 2026 tier 2 team to qualify	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xc53748…
08-21 22:00:48	github com critical incident by august 31 2026	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x96e576…
08-21 22:00:46	will iran target iraq by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xfb4a49…
08-21 22:00:46	will mutiny score at least 40 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x9dbbd6…
08-21 22:00:46	Will Sinawo Thambo be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x849ea7…
08-21 22:00:45	rockstar confirms gta vi gameplay leaked	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x671910…
08-21 22:00:43	will the liberals l be in the next swedish government	Yes	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0xd160b5…
08-21 22:00:43	will iran target jordan by september 15 2026	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x3a11e0…
08-20 22:10:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 21?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x8f8bb6…
08-20 22:10:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 21?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x59eead…
08-20 22:10:33	Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x52e045…
08-20 20:22:10	will the sweden democrats sd be in the next swedish government	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xc88b2b…
08-20 20:22:10	github git operations critical incident by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x64a411…
08-20 20:22:09	dxy up or down on august 20 2026	Up	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xec5dd4…
08-20 20:22:09	Will "To Catch a Cheater" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xc2b2ed…
08-20 20:22:09	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x42138a…
08-20 20:22:09	will trump pardon anyone by september 30	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x0c8313…
08-20 20:22:07	Will "To Catch a Cheater" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xe6bc23…
08-20 19:33:33	israel military action against syria by august 31 2026	No	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0x724800…
08-20 19:33:33	will iran target kuwait by september 15 2026	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x4888dd…
08-20 19:33:31	Will Uroš Medić fight Joaquin Buckley next?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xc5af99…
08-20 19:33:31	Will Monster Hunter Outlanders win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xa2aa66…
08-20 19:33:30	will natalie harp publicly insult jon ossoff by august 31	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xa5de03…
08-20 19:33:30	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x711210…
08-20 19:08:12	Will "Love Is Blind: UK: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x98c6cb…
08-20 18:51:22	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0x89c912…
08-20 18:51:21	will iran target bahrain by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x34d98e…
08-20 18:51:19	will slovan bratislava qualify for the league phase of the 2026 27 uefa champions league 20260724201627093	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xe40ef1…
08-20 18:43:36	Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x49e299…
08-20 18:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xe40461…
08-20 18:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 22?	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x86197d…
08-20 18:43:34	israel military action against syria by september 15 2026	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x4ee3d8…
08-20 18:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xf92f40…
08-20 18:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 20?	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xf4ab9f…
08-20 18:43:33	will mrbeast say grocery store during his next youtube video 20260818	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xed85c1…
08-20 18:43:31	Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0xabcb8f…
08-20 18:43:31	Will Republicans win the Georgia Governor election and Democrats win the Georgia Senate election?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x687134…
08-20 18:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 20?	No	SELL	19	51¢	$9	0xe655ac…
08-20 18:43:30	Will Hoodwink Be the Most Picked Hero at The International 2026?	No	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xd8ad7b…
08-20 18:43:30	Will "The Last House" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	14	83¢	$12	0xd726fd…
08-20 18:43:28	Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xdfbe68…
08-20 18:43:28	Will CDU win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xbef7f9…
08-20 18:43:28	github git operations critical incident by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xa6470c…
08-20 18:43:28	Will Raimundo Moreira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x44876d…
08-20 18:43:27	Will Nqabayomzi Kwankwa be the next mayor of Buffalo City?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xc7c11c…
08-20 18:43:25	Will the National Rally group hold 12 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xdf0ab5…
08-20 18:43:25	Will the National Rally group hold 11 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xbf924a…
08-20 18:43:25	another frontier math problem solved by september 30 2026 20260817131147479	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x63adc9…
08-20 18:43:24	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xe243f8…
08-20 18:43:24	Will Gracinha Caiado win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x6d73f1…
08-20 18:43:24	Will Yash Patel win Big Brother season 28?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x18ae30…
08-20 18:43:22	Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x4d4b1d…
08-20 18:43:22	will russia target kyiv by august 22 2026	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x2d9f8f…
08-20 18:43:21	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be at least 12 hours?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x90ebc3…
08-20 18:43:21	Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x8044f9…
08-20 18:43:21	Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x4262ce…
08-20 18:43:19	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xb04b41…
08-20 18:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xa3b93d…
08-20 18:43:19	will mamdani say heat or weather during his announcement 20260831	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x99c841…
08-20 18:43:19	Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x55351c…
08-20 18:43:18	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x80c4ba…
08-20 18:43:18	github git operations critical incident by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x495217…
08-20 18:43:16	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xebbea0…
08-20 18:43:16	Will Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xc3494c…
08-20 18:43:16	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x40aa71…
08-20 18:43:16	Will Canna Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x380503…
08-20 18:43:15	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xda087d…
08-20 18:43:15	Will the National Rally group hold 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x0d5824…
08-20 18:43:13	github com critical incident by september 15 2026	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x720c67…
08-20 18:43:13	Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x380e36…
08-20 18:43:12	will mrbeast say red line during his next youtube video 20260818	Yes	SELL	32	5¢	$2	0x7b050c…
08-20 18:43:12	will iran target jordan by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	22	39¢	$8	0x6ed298…
08-20 18:43:12	Will Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi be the next mayor of eThekwini?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x4d8cbb…
08-20 18:43:10	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	16¢	$5	0x1fa58a…
08-20 10:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 21?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0xb7974e…
08-20 10:18:58	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 20?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x7e680f…
08-20 10:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 21?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$0	0xd655b2…
08-20 10:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0xabfd70…
08-20 10:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 21?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xa139a5…
08-20 10:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 21?	No	SELL	1	52¢	$0	0x7c78b4…
08-20 10:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 21?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xa1afa5…
08-20 10:18:55	xauusd up or down on august 20 2026	Up	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x884972…
08-20 10:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 21?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x73b881…
08-20 10:18:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 21?	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0xc836e0…
08-20 10:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 20?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x20efa8…
08-20 10:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 22?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x12d017…
08-20 10:18:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 21?	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x089f07…
08-20 10:18:52	googl up or down on august 20 2026	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xf25399…
08-20 10:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0xe05eb0…
08-20 10:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 22?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x2442e2…
08-20 10:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xdc81b4…
08-20 10:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 20?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x2edda3…