Realized P&L
-$56
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
80.5%
Resolved
16
Trades
5,775
lifetime
Volume
$101.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$500
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 06-30 12:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
80% 71% +$23
Other
18% 0% $-60
Tech
2%
Sports
1% 57% $-19
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 177 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +151 $142 96¢ $145 +$4 06-24 22:29
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +225 $120 59¢ $133 +$12 06-29 21:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +100 $83 86¢ $86 +$4 06-13 00:49
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -53 $-61 99¢ $-52 +$8 06-12 16:24
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +43 $35 81¢ $35 +$0 06-27 00:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -32 $35 100¢ $-32 $-67 06-19 00:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +15 $-30 66¢ $10 +$40 06-28 05:04
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +6 $-50 100¢ $6 +$56 06-14 21:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -10 $39 $-0 $-39 06-22 02:41