Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$183

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-11 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

74% 50% -$244

Politics

22% 100% +$61

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No		-30	-$7	2¢	$-0	+$6	06-12 14:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	10	$699	362	362	+0	No	+$12	06-25 03:33
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 23, 2026?	14	$532	507	419	+88	No	-$352	08-24 11:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$396	460	460	+0	Yes	-$11	08-14 09:48
Fed rate hike in 2026?	7	$346	317	317	+0	Yes	-$35	08-14 15:35
will russia target kyiv on august 19 2026 20260810162903054	4	$333	249	249	-0	Yes	+$161	08-19 20:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	8	$316	1,675	1,675	+0	No	+$37	07-08 18:15
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	2	$141	381	381	+0	open	—	08-23 18:09
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	2	$85	182	182	+0	No	-$65	06-29 21:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$80	0	268	-268	No	+$80	01-04 20:09
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$70	153	153	+0	England	-$30	07-11 23:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$53	0	152	-152	Yes	+$53	01-04 20:08
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	2	$51	99	0	+99	Yes	+$49	01-06 18:51
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$50	500	0	+500	No	-$50	01-06 04:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$47	100	100	+0	No	+$3	08-13 00:55
will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	3	$45	37	20	+17	No	-$13	08-11 19:35
will russia target kyiv on august 21 2026 20260810162903056	2	$31	37	37	+0	No	-$17	08-20 12:05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	2	$30	19	19	+0	Yes	+$3	06-21 13:10
will russia target kyiv on august 20 2026 20260810162903055	3	$27	15	15	+0	Yes	+$2	08-19 21:01
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	09-11 14:38
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	3	$22	64	64	+0	open	—	08-23 18:10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-18 09:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$11	59	0	+59	No	-$11	09-11 14:52
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$7	0	30	-30	open	—	06-12 14:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	06-18 12:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	106	0	+106	No	-$2	01-06 04:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 14:52:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	59	19¢	$11	0xb0c44e…
09-11 14:38:40	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x1d2ab9…
09-01 15:16:22	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xe019c2…
08-24 11:17:33	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	3¢	$3	0x5729e6…
08-24 10:41:19	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x921063…
08-24 10:41:12	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	3¢	$3	0xfe776b…
08-24 10:40:55	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x156cae…
08-23 18:11:22	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xcac82a…
08-23 18:10:48	Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x8e9cdc…
08-23 18:10:48	Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	16¢	$5	0x456fbe…
08-23 18:10:12	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	80¢	$64	0xc8edb2…
08-23 18:09:45	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	381	18¢	$69	0x0359e5…
08-23 18:09:03	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x811921…
08-23 18:06:04	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x8c750e…
08-23 18:04:40	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	80¢	$60	0x6faea4…
08-22 09:14:10	will russia target kyiv on august 23 2026 20260810162903058	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x5413bd…
08-22 09:13:54	will russia target kyiv on august 23 2026 20260810162903058	Yes	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0xb69615…
08-22 09:13:40	will russia target kyiv on august 23 2026 20260810162903058	Yes	BUY	28	92¢	$25	0xea8260…
08-22 09:13:30	will russia target kyiv on august 23 2026 20260810162903058	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x0c464d…
08-22 09:13:24	will russia target kyiv on august 23 2026 20260810162903058	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x7bd043…
08-21 00:26:45	Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	19¢	$12	0x818ac5…
08-20 12:05:54	will russia target kyiv on august 21 2026 20260810162903056	Yes	SELL	37	20¢	$7	0x87bb72…
08-19 21:16:57	will russia target kyiv on august 21 2026 20260810162903056	Yes	BUY	37	65¢	$24	0xe95cf8…
08-19 21:01:09	will russia target kyiv on august 20 2026 20260810162903055	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xdc37fa…
08-19 20:58:07	will russia target kyiv on august 19 2026 20260810162903054	Yes	SELL	249	99¢	$247	0x08aa70…
08-19 20:53:39	will russia target kyiv on august 19 2026 20260810162903054	Yes	BUY	46	30¢	$14	0x820a61…
08-19 19:40:36	will russia target kyiv on august 20 2026 20260810162903055	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x5f255d…
08-19 19:36:12	will russia target kyiv on august 20 2026 20260810162903055	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x1ca834…
08-19 18:14:28	will russia target kyiv on august 19 2026 20260810162903054	Yes	BUY	150	22¢	$33	0xadb177…
08-19 12:32:55	will russia target kyiv on august 19 2026 20260810162903054	Yes	BUY	53	73¢	$39	0x62b20e…
08-14 15:35:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	317	49¢	$155	0x9b663c…
08-14 14:46:31	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	381	19¢	$72	0x7ab69b…
08-14 09:48:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	26¢	$52	0xb2f12b…
08-13 00:55:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0xbd5726…
08-11 19:35:54	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	Yes	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x437fff…
08-10 22:09:31	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x0988f0…
08-10 09:43:46	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x4fb1ec…
08-02 03:08:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xbb2bb4…
07-30 01:12:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x130719…
07-14 14:54:47	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x939e3b…
07-14 14:48:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa983a2…
07-14 14:33:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x50a028…
07-14 14:15:47	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	51¢	$32	0xc133e2…
07-14 12:30:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x563326…
07-13 20:09:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0xcd705a…
07-11 23:13:13	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	SELL	153	13¢	$20	0xbb9530…
07-11 21:05:55	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	153	33¢	$50	0xd61ea7…
07-08 18:15:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	375	22¢	$83	0x2df610…
06-29 21:23:08	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	182	6¢	$10	0x0075b2…
06-25 03:33:26	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	140	99¢	$139	0xae0abc…
06-24 18:18:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xbff49b…
06-24 08:55:11	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0x8f6ae8…
06-24 06:18:17	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x358e95…
06-24 06:18:13	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x277242…
06-24 06:18:04	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2f71be…
06-24 06:18:01	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x61d8ad…
06-24 06:17:55	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xee8705…
06-21 15:07:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0xed521a…
06-21 13:10:16	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	19	86¢	$16	0xa275f7…
06-18 17:02:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	128	21¢	$27	0x2f3940…
06-18 17:01:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x7aaf85…
06-18 17:00:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xdf8864…
06-18 12:25:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	60	38¢	$23	0x1ae16e…
06-18 12:12:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x4c670d…
06-18 12:05:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	16¢	$50	0x2db79d…
06-18 09:51:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7a67ef…
06-17 16:15:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x77a586…
06-17 16:14:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x7f48dc…
06-17 16:13:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x89163f…
06-17 16:13:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0xa4058f…
06-17 14:28:53	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x8aa079…
06-12 20:02:01	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	182	41¢	$75	0x39e17c…
06-12 14:33:51	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	30	23¢	$7	0x7d0fb8…
06-12 14:33:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	4¢	$44	0xfd5a98…
06-09 18:39:45	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0xab02da…
06-08 19:37:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$52	0x7c6113…
06-08 19:33:22	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xec13df…
05-25 22:16:32	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	362	95¢	$343	0xec23d0…
01-06 18:51:07	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	90	51¢	$46	0xadb1e2…
01-06 18:50:55	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x597601…
01-06 04:37:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb7618e…
01-06 04:37:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xbbc422…
01-06 04:27:21	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xb427ff…
01-04 20:09:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	268	30¢	$80	0x4ba666…
01-04 20:08:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	152	35¢	$53	0x7783ed…