Irritating-Hierarchy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.01K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

93.6%

Resolved

1,606

Trades

4,329

lifetime

Volume

$132.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$66

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-26 20:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 253 days

Categories

Other

96% 86% +$928

Politics

2% 83% +$109

Crypto

1% 70% -$1

Sports

1% 75% -$21

Tech

0% 80% -$7

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-40	-$39	99¢	$-40	-$1	04-28 16:56
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+22	$20	92¢	$20	+$0	10-11 11:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	+6	$6	100¢	$6	+$0	10-23 11:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	5	$646	360	360	+0	Yes	-$73	08-29 15:19
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 24 878	25	$529	390	265	+125	Yes	+$46	01-24 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on June 17?	4	$488	251	250	+1	No	-$12	06-17 20:53
Will the US strike Somalia next?	9	$476	273	273	+0	Yes	+$10	02-10 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 20?	4	$446	447	0	+447	No	+$1	06-20 17:54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 19?	4	$446	447	0	+447	No	+$1	06-19 12:37
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on June 19?	4	$446	447	0	+447	No	+$1	06-19 05:54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 17?	3	$446	447	0	+447	No	+$1	06-17 21:54
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 20?	2	$444	447	0	+447	No	+$3	06-20 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on June 17?	5	$416	418	0	+418	No	+$1	06-17 20:53
will russia strike kyiv on february 3 2026	9	$400	230	260	-30	Yes	+$83	02-02 23:41
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 61°F or below on June 14?	2	$395	396	0	+396	No	+$1	06-14 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 14?	2	$395	396	0	+396	No	+$1	06-14 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 14?	2	$392	396	0	+396	No	+$4	06-14 16:55
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 15?	5	$392	396	0	+396	No	+$4	06-15 15:54
highest temperature in nyc on february 17 2026 44 45f	7	$373	218	218	+0	No	+$61	02-17 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 5?	3	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-05 22:53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26?	4	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-26 19:06
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 3?	2	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	08-03 23:55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 6?	6	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-06 17:55
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on September 1?	2	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	09-01 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 15?	4	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-15 18:54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 14?	2	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-14 21:55
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 3?	5	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-03 18:54
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on October 18?	7	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-18 17:53
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 12?	5	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-12 21:54
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 12?	5	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-12 18:59
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 20?	3	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-20 20:55
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 9?	5	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-09 18:51
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 3?	3	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-03 17:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:28:14	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xb85e50…
10-26 19:06:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	343	100¢	$343	0x6d328a…
10-26 18:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 26?	No	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0x3ef55a…
10-26 18:53:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x142ef8…
10-26 18:53:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcb332c…
10-26 18:53:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8952e6…
10-26 18:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa4b73d…
10-26 18:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5a91a4…
10-26 18:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x463868…
10-26 18:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x34b2f9…
10-26 17:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3bac25…
10-26 17:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x458a2c…
10-26 17:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x0bc401…
10-26 17:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x962be5…
10-26 17:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xecfa3c…
10-26 17:52:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xb90058…
10-26 15:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd1bc7c…
10-26 15:55:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf280f2…
10-26 15:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3c279c…
10-26 15:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x009e35…
10-26 15:54:47	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x383eee…
10-26 04:47:54	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xfb9fee…
10-26 04:40:36	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xbe2d20…
10-25 22:56:29	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x750adc…
10-25 22:56:15	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x10f22a…
10-25 22:55:56	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xf45c10…
10-25 22:54:32	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7bb0e9…
10-25 19:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x9b9c03…
10-25 19:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x6a6b55…
10-25 19:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xd20153…
10-25 19:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc75ce3…
10-25 19:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on October 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x974a2d…
10-25 19:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0x2c15b2…
10-25 18:55:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 25?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$190	0xdcc782…
10-25 18:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	352	100¢	$351	0xa2b986…
10-25 18:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe23149…
10-25 18:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4fa3a7…
10-25 18:53:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 25?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4582d3…
10-25 18:53:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 25?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe88a66…
10-25 18:52:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 25?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcc23a6…
10-25 18:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 25?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x6e2a83…
10-25 18:52:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfca941…
10-25 18:52:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xff0bfc…
10-25 18:52:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x138182…
10-25 18:52:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd31eed…
10-24 22:23:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 24?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$181	0x93d82b…
10-24 22:23:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 24?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x61ceef…
10-24 22:23:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 24?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x0111a5…
10-24 22:21:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 24?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x931c69…
10-24 22:12:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 24?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xfa48f1…
10-24 22:02:50	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 24?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xac3bce…
10-24 21:58:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e0c2d…
10-24 21:57:23	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 24?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6388e0…
10-24 21:57:20	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49d898…
10-24 21:57:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 24?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0a9333…
10-24 21:57:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 24?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0a8cc4…
10-24 20:59:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 24?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbd2046…
10-24 20:59:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 24?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x00ae8f…
10-24 20:59:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 24?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1b5f02…
10-24 20:59:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd02c23…
10-24 20:58:20	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x958322…
10-24 20:58:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 24?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x0cd083…
10-24 20:58:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 24?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x786835…
10-24 18:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 24?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc55ffd…
10-24 18:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea2f2e…
10-24 17:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 24?	No	BUY	261	100¢	$261	0xb7f0a7…
10-24 16:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 24?	No	BUY	258	100¢	$258	0x031755…
10-24 16:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x61dd7a…
10-24 16:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 24?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xd06726…
10-24 02:35:06	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	85	16¢	$14	0xa89fe0…
10-23 20:57:11	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 23?	No	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0x3578fe…
10-23 20:27:47	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 23?	No	BUY	226	99¢	$224	0xf8b869…
10-23 19:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	360	99¢	$356	0x5d7f95…
10-23 18:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 23?	No	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0xa7967f…
10-23 18:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 23?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x42bb2f…
10-23 18:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 23?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe794dd…
10-23 18:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x191868…
10-23 15:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x88bbfe…
10-23 15:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 23?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb64f41…
10-23 11:09:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x7b0d17…
10-22 22:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 22?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6542db…
10-22 21:58:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 22?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0bbf36…
10-22 21:55:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 22?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x7a4b09…
10-22 21:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 22?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x26e45c…
10-22 21:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 22?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0x48e4da…
10-22 20:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 22?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x91fa2a…
10-22 20:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5e31a…
10-22 20:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 22?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x07e61f…
10-22 19:54:32	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	85	60¢	$51	0x358e12…
10-22 17:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 22?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x766316…
10-22 17:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc0f464…
10-22 17:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe0e203…
10-22 15:55:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 22?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1c4748…
10-22 15:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x91df54…
10-22 15:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 22?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x1d7be7…
10-22 15:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 22?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$61	0x758e54…
10-22 14:41:57	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	80	47¢	$38	0xd27893…
10-22 14:41:30	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd19801…
10-22 14:38:21	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0x27f1c4…
10-21 22:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 21?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x54594c…