Irritating-Hierarchy — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$110

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved (90d)

392

Trades (90d)

1,133

4,402 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$57.1K

$133.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$70

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-30 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 256 days

Categories

Other

96% 86% +$932

Politics

2% 83% +$109

Crypto

1% 70% -$1

Sports

1% 75% -$21

Tech

0% 80% -$7

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-40	-$39	99¢	$-39	-$1	04-28 16:56
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+22	$20	94¢	$21	+$1	10-11 11:21
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	+10	$10	97¢	$10	$0	10-30 08:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	5	$646	360	360	+0	Yes	-$73	08-29 15:19
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 24 878	25	$529	390	265	+125	Yes	+$46	01-24 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on June 17?	4	$488	251	250	+1	No	-$12	06-17 20:53
Will the US strike Somalia next?	9	$476	273	273	+0	Yes	+$10	02-10 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 20?	4	$446	447	0	+447	No	+$1	06-20 17:54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 19?	4	$446	447	0	+447	No	+$1	06-19 12:37
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on June 19?	4	$446	447	0	+447	No	+$1	06-19 05:54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 17?	3	$446	447	0	+447	No	+$1	06-17 21:54
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 20?	2	$444	447	0	+447	No	+$3	06-20 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on June 17?	5	$416	418	0	+418	No	+$1	06-17 20:53
will russia strike kyiv on february 3 2026	9	$400	230	260	-30	Yes	+$83	02-02 23:41
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 61°F or below on June 14?	2	$395	396	0	+396	No	+$1	06-14 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 14?	2	$395	396	0	+396	No	+$1	06-14 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 14?	2	$392	396	0	+396	No	+$4	06-14 16:55
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 15?	5	$392	396	0	+396	No	+$4	06-15 15:54
highest temperature in nyc on february 17 2026 44 45f	7	$373	218	218	+0	No	+$61	02-17 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 5?	3	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-05 22:53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26?	4	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-26 19:06
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 3?	2	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	08-03 23:55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 6?	6	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-06 17:55
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on September 1?	2	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	09-01 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 15?	4	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-15 18:54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 14?	2	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-14 21:55
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 3?	5	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-03 18:54
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on October 18?	7	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-18 17:53
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 12?	5	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-12 21:54
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 12?	5	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-12 18:59
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 20?	3	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-20 20:55
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 9?	5	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-09 18:51
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 3?	3	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-03 17:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:54:39	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xbf5c52…
10-30 09:27:31	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x66110e…
10-30 09:26:46	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	60	22¢	$13	0x34e058…
10-30 09:21:54	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xaf39a0…
10-30 08:55:22	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x63078e…
10-29 21:48:42	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xa0207f…
10-29 20:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x972316…
10-29 20:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac4116…
10-29 20:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd7c1e…
10-29 20:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeca89a…
10-29 20:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x923e8f…
10-29 20:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88a89a…
10-29 20:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x34e776…
10-29 20:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6c5f2b…
10-29 20:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaf2655…
10-29 19:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x06888d…
10-29 17:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3af9fc…
10-29 17:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x8b17f8…
10-29 17:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	254	100¢	$254	0x367a41…
10-29 06:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	BUY	360	99¢	$356	0x908881…
10-28 20:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 28?	No	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0xb4b8db…
10-28 19:57:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 28?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xad6208…
10-28 19:52:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xf93246…
10-28 19:52:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ecf98…
10-28 19:52:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf9bbe5…
10-28 19:52:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe25ddd…
10-28 19:52:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa69ffd…
10-28 19:52:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x98cc32…
10-28 19:52:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5363bf…
10-28 19:52:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x497d99…
10-28 19:52:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x36e214…
10-28 19:52:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x348ee1…
10-28 19:52:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0beecb…
10-28 19:52:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf75fb9…
10-28 19:52:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x982793…
10-28 19:52:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4d4d85…
10-28 19:39:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0xb6b840…
10-28 19:39:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0b23df…
10-28 19:39:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf54324…
10-28 19:38:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xcc3381…
10-28 19:32:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x448046…
10-28 19:24:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f41ef…
10-28 19:20:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4163d…
10-28 19:19:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x69ce1d…
10-28 19:19:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56f9ea…
10-28 19:18:47	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x660aae…
10-28 19:18:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b49a2…
10-28 19:18:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xace5e4…
10-28 19:15:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x905457…
10-28 19:10:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd07a36…
10-28 19:10:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x620286…
10-28 19:10:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4e2b91…
10-28 19:10:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc64d25…
10-28 19:01:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17c799…
10-28 19:01:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7776a1…
10-28 19:00:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe1fbf6…
10-28 18:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x0cbf55…
10-28 18:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf08259…
10-28 18:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa91ee5…
10-28 18:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc35b73…
10-28 18:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0331bb…
10-28 18:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0291d9…
10-28 18:53:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xccee73…
10-28 18:52:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd79975…
10-28 18:51:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf7a7e0…
10-27 21:04:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$222	0xb32544…
10-27 20:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xac71b2…
10-27 20:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc2ad39…
10-27 20:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4757ba…
10-27 20:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa37d81…
10-27 19:58:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x214447…
10-27 19:58:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd5c2e…
10-27 19:58:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xe1c206…
10-27 19:57:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f670e…
10-27 19:57:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd2a216…
10-27 19:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6adef0…
10-27 19:55:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$81	0x4a0eb7…
10-27 19:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfaf740…
10-27 19:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc7e5b5…
10-27 18:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x32f759…
10-27 18:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 27?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x518328…
10-27 18:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 27?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x6e3456…
10-27 15:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6efb82…
10-26 20:28:14	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xb85e50…
10-26 19:06:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	343	100¢	$343	0x6d328a…
10-26 18:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 26?	No	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0x3ef55a…
10-26 18:53:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x142ef8…
10-26 18:53:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcb332c…
10-26 18:53:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8952e6…
10-26 18:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa4b73d…
10-26 18:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5a91a4…
10-26 18:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x463868…
10-26 18:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x34b2f9…
10-26 17:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3bac25…
10-26 17:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x458a2c…
10-26 17:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x0bc401…
10-26 17:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x962be5…
10-26 17:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xecfa3c…
10-26 17:52:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xb90058…
10-26 15:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd1bc7c…