Irritating-Hierarchy — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

4,498 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$402

$141.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$432

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-05 20:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 262 days

Categories

Other

96% 86% +$947

Politics

2% 83% +$111

Crypto

1% 71% -$1

Sports

1% 75% -$21

Tech

0% 83% -$5

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 5?	No	—	+230	$230	100¢	$230	+$0	11-05 20:30
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 5?	No	—	+154	$154	100¢	$154	+$0	11-05 19:54
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-40	-$39	99¢	$-40	-$1	04-28 16:56
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes		+10	$9	93¢	$9	$0	11-05 16:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	5	$646	360	360	+0	Yes	-$73	08-29 15:19
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 24 878	25	$529	390	265	+125	Yes	+$46	01-24 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on June 17?	4	$488	251	250	+1	No	-$12	06-17 20:53
Will the US strike Somalia next?	9	$476	273	273	+0	Yes	+$10	02-10 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 20?	4	$446	447	0	+447	No	+$1	06-20 17:54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 19?	4	$446	447	0	+447	No	+$1	06-19 12:37
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on June 19?	4	$446	447	0	+447	No	+$1	06-19 05:54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 17?	3	$446	447	0	+447	No	+$1	06-17 21:54
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 20?	2	$444	447	0	+447	No	+$3	06-20 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on June 17?	5	$416	418	0	+418	No	+$1	06-17 20:53
will russia strike kyiv on february 3 2026	9	$400	230	260	-30	Yes	+$83	02-02 23:41
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 61°F or below on June 14?	2	$395	396	0	+396	No	+$1	06-14 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 14?	2	$395	396	0	+396	No	+$1	06-14 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 14?	2	$392	396	0	+396	No	+$4	06-14 16:55
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 15?	5	$392	396	0	+396	No	+$4	06-15 15:54
highest temperature in nyc on february 17 2026 44 45f	7	$373	218	218	+0	No	+$61	02-17 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	11	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-30 16:03
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 5?	3	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-05 22:53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26?	4	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-26 19:06
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 3?	2	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	08-03 23:55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 6?	6	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-06 17:55
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on September 1?	2	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	09-01 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 15?	4	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-15 18:54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 14?	2	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-14 21:55
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 3?	5	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-03 18:54
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on October 18?	7	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-18 17:53
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 12?	5	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-12 21:54
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 12?	5	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-12 18:59
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 20?	3	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-20 20:55
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 9?	5	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	10-09 18:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 20:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 5?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x62a83d…
11-05 20:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 5?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x43ccdb…
11-05 19:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf075d…
11-05 19:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 5?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xc03b68…
11-05 19:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x357528…
11-05 17:25:12	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	17	57¢	$10	0x7fce17…
11-05 16:43:33	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x36de6c…
11-04 21:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xea8175…
11-04 20:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf245f…
11-04 20:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x672065…
11-04 20:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 4?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x66db25…
11-04 20:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 4?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xeb8827…
11-04 20:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 4?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x65b3ee…
11-03 23:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 3?	No	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0xce9508…
11-03 18:53:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 3?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x8d5fa1…
11-03 18:53:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x102727…
11-03 18:53:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfe6c6c…
11-03 18:53:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf543a3…
11-03 18:52:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 3?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x35e3bd…
11-03 18:52:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x75b2e4…
11-03 18:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on November 3?	No	BUY	350	100¢	$349	0x96692a…
11-03 18:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on November 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca1099…
11-03 06:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on November 3?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$67	0x29a74c…
11-03 06:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on November 3?	No	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0xb7cf9e…
11-03 02:32:58	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4bf900…
11-03 00:58:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 2?	No	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0x46ed2a…
11-02 21:08:45	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x82b2ef…
11-02 19:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 2?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x9fb609…
11-02 19:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 2?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x5c518a…
11-02 19:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbdc654…
11-02 19:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 2?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x696227…
11-02 19:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 2?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd74dca…
11-02 19:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 2?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x9f1860…
11-02 18:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5ded24…
11-02 18:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 2?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x571001…
11-02 18:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 45°F or below on November 2?	No	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0x6cd73b…
11-02 09:34:52	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xd06dcd…
11-01 19:56:52	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xde6127…
11-01 17:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on November 1?	No	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0xaa8015…
11-01 17:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on November 1?	No	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0x689772…
11-01 17:52:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 1?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x965bce…
11-01 16:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on November 1?	No	BUY	360	99¢	$357	0x3b0e0f…
11-01 04:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on November 1?	No	BUY	360	99¢	$357	0x053a0c…
10-31 20:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	217	99¢	$215	0x266284…
10-31 20:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 31?	No	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0x5b795f…
10-31 20:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9907d0…
10-31 20:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x366ce9…
10-31 20:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 31?	No	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0xf2e068…
10-31 16:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe26996…
10-31 16:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2553a…
10-31 12:22:30	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xaf1b69…
10-31 12:19:57	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe5d651…
10-31 10:34:54	Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x556c0e…
10-31 10:20:55	Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2f87f9…
10-31 06:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on October 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc8f290…
10-31 05:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on October 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x082110…
10-31 05:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on October 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8972a8…
10-31 05:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on October 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xeaa222…
10-30 22:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8c6589…
10-30 22:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc9f967…
10-30 22:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf1ea8f…
10-30 22:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb4b6bc…
10-30 21:32:06	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0xf373ed…
10-30 16:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x03c545…
10-30 16:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xabd4e8…
10-30 15:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x9efb76…
10-30 15:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7e065b…
10-30 15:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 67°F or below on October 30?	No	BUY	348	100¢	$347	0x7fbd9c…
10-30 15:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 67°F or below on October 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x18635d…
10-30 15:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$49	0xfac504…
10-30 15:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x180d1e…
10-30 15:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52569e…
10-30 15:55:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xab6dfc…
10-30 15:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4a2031…
10-30 15:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdc0d34…
10-30 15:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb59686…
10-30 15:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x053f78…
10-30 15:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x49306d…
10-30 15:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe17ebe…
10-30 15:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 67°F or below on October 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x75951c…
10-30 15:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d3b7d…
10-30 15:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ac259…
10-30 15:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc5d13e…
10-30 15:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 67°F or below on October 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x21f560…
10-30 13:12:15	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x8ff085…
10-30 11:02:16	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	SELL	68	8¢	$6	0x74866d…
10-30 09:54:39	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xbf5c52…
10-30 09:27:31	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x66110e…
10-30 09:26:46	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	60	22¢	$13	0x34e058…
10-30 09:21:54	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xaf39a0…
10-30 08:55:22	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x63078e…
10-29 21:48:42	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xa0207f…
10-29 20:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x972316…
10-29 20:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac4116…
10-29 20:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd7c1e…
10-29 20:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeca89a…
10-29 20:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x923e8f…
10-29 20:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88a89a…
10-29 20:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x34e776…
10-29 20:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6c5f2b…