Realized P&L
-$194
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
54.8%
Resolved
151
Trades
8,874
lifetime
Volume
$98.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$647
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
51% 35% $-298
Sports
26% 64% +$106
Politics
18% 46% $-17
Tech
2% 33% +$21
Crypto
2%
Pop-Culture
1% 50% $-6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 379 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -40 $-39 100¢ $-40 $-1 06-09 17:06
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? No -40 $-34 88¢ $-35 $-1 06-16 09:40
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027? No -40 $-35 77¢ $-31 +$4 06-25 18:22
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -30 $-26 92¢ $-27 $-1 06-16 09:39
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +40 $11 61¢ $24 +$13 06-05 23:37
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? No -20 $-20 100¢ $-20 $-0 06-09 17:05
Will Ventuals launch a token by June 30 2026? No -20 $-19 100¢ $-20 $-1 06-12 15:24
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June? No -20 $-20 100¢ $-20 $-0 06-05 17:46
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026? No -20 $-19 100¢ $-20 $-1 06-10 18:21
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No -20 $-17 100¢ $-20 $-3 06-26 04:42
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -20 $-20 100¢ $-20 $-0 06-03 18:53
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-19 100¢ $-20 $-1 06-09 17:06
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-17 99¢ $-20 $-3 06-16 09:38
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-19 99¢ $-20 $-1 06-11 19:29
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July? No -20 $-18 99¢ $-20 $-1 06-25 18:21
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -20 $-19 99¢ $-20 $-1 06-23 18:39
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -20 $-19 99¢ $-20 $-0 06-27 17:19
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-19 99¢ $-20 $-1 06-12 15:23
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-19 98¢ $-20 $-1 06-12 16:34
Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026? No -20 $-18 98¢ $-20 $-2 06-15 18:43
Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -20 $-19 97¢ $-19 $-0 06-11 19:46
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -20 $-19 97¢ $-19 $-0 06-11 19:29
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30? No -20 $-17 96¢ $-19 $-2 06-25 18:23
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No -20 $-18 96¢ $-19 $-2 06-26 04:42
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 $-0 06-12 15:25
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 $-0 06-12 15:24
Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 $-1 06-11 19:46
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No -20 $-19 95¢ $-19 $-0 06-12 15:24
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026? No -20 $-19 95¢ $-19 +$0 06-15 18:43
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $5M before 2027? No -20 $-18 95¢ $-19 $-1 06-12 16:34