Realized P&L
-$194
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
54.8%
Resolved
151
Trades
12,217
lifetime
Volume
$127.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$611
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 00:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
53% 35% $-298
Sports
24% 64% +$106
Politics
18% 46% $-17
Tech
2% 33% +$21
Crypto
2%
Pop-Culture
1% 50% $-6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 379 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? No -40 $-34 88¢ $-35 $-1 06-16 09:40
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027? No -40 $-35 88¢ $-35 +$0 06-25 18:22
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -30 $-26 92¢ $-28 $-2 06-16 09:39
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +40 $11 54¢ $21 +$10 06-05 23:37
Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026? No -20 $-18 99¢ $-20 $-2 06-15 18:43
Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -20 $-19 99¢ $-20 $-1 06-11 19:46
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -20 $-19 98¢ $-20 $-1 06-11 19:29
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? No -20 $-19 98¢ $-20 $-1 06-12 15:24
Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -20 $-17 98¢ $-20 $-3 06-17 09:23
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No -20 $-18 97¢ $-19 $-1 06-13 12:49
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 +$0 06-15 18:43
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 $-0 06-12 16:34
Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +20 $10 96¢ $19 +$9 06-12 08:30
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $5M before 2027? No -20 $-18 96¢ $-19 $-1 06-12 16:34
Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 $-1 06-11 19:46
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 $-0 06-12 15:25
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -20 $-17 96¢ $-19 $-2 06-14 17:24
Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -20 $-19 95¢ $-19 $-1 06-11 19:45
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? No -20 $-19 94¢ $-19 $-0 06-12 15:25
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No -20 $-19 94¢ $-19 +$0 06-12 15:24
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? No -20 $-18 94¢ $-19 $-1 06-13 12:49
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? No -20 $-18 93¢ $-19 $-0 06-12 16:34
Will Susan Rice be arrested before 2027? No -20 $-19 92¢ $-18 +$0 06-23 05:14
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? No -20 $-19 92¢ $-18 +$0 06-12 15:25
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -20 $-17 92¢ $-18 $-1 06-16 09:39
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? No -20 $-19 91¢ $-18 +$1 06-12 15:24
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No -20 $-17 91¢ $-18 $-2 06-26 04:43
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -20 $-17 91¢ $-18 $-1 06-14 17:21
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-15 90¢ $-18 $-4 06-26 05:44
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No -20 $-16 90¢ $-18 $-2 07-07 12:17