Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $5M before 2027?
open
Total volume
$188
Trades
31
Unique wallets
11
Liquidity
$1,023
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-10
last 07-30 16:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $113 | $113 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $3 | $113 | $110 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 3 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | +78 | $75 | $151 | 7 | 07-30 16:21 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +24 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-04 16:26 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +24 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 07-19 01:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +22 | $1 | $2 | 4 | 07-29 09:08 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-19 01:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-28 12:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ebc…793a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 14:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 16:21:38 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x93562c… |
| 07-30 16:21:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x93562c… |
| 07-30 16:21:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf66b43… |
| 07-30 16:21:35 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xf66b43… |
| 07-30 12:07:54 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xad1ada… |
| 07-30 12:07:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xad1ada… |
| 07-29 09:08:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa4bf37… |
| 07-29 09:08:35 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xa4bf37… |
| 07-29 09:08:35 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa4bf37… |
| 07-19 01:22:42 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x69cb3e… |
| 07-19 01:22:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x69cb3e… |
| 07-19 01:22:42 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | BUY | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0x69cb3e… |
| 07-19 01:22:42 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x69cb3e… |
| 07-19 01:22:27 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | BUY | 36 | 95¢ | $34 | 0xf3ed5d… |
| 07-19 01:22:27 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 36 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xf3ed5d… |
| 07-15 22:44:38 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | BUY | 43 | 96¢ | $41 | 0xc11be9… |
| 07-15 22:44:38 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc11be9… |
| 07-15 22:44:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc11be9… |
| 07-04 16:26:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 16 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x94d05f… |
| 07-04 16:26:10 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x94d05f… |
| 07-04 16:26:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x94d05f… |
| 06-28 12:10:25 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x05205a… |
| 06-28 12:10:25 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x05205a… |
| 06-28 12:06:37 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6c5ed1… |
| 06-28 12:06:37 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6c5ed1… |
| 06-28 12:00:22 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9aa654… |
| 06-28 12:00:22 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9aa654… |
| 06-12 16:34:34 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x3d97ad… |
| 06-12 16:34:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x3d97ad… |
| 06-10 14:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x2ebc…793a | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x4e2ad9… |
| 06-10 14:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4e2ad9… |