Realized P&L
-$352
Unrealized P&L
-$60
Hit rate
28.7%
Resolved
19
Trades
4,442
lifetime
Volume
$54.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$386
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 22:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
61% 31% $-246
Other
36% 17% $-105
Crypto
3%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 222 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +3,053 $92 $75 $-17 06-09 20:29
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,557 $83 $65 $-18 06-09 20:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +586 $60 11¢ $62 +$2 06-09 20:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +352 $56 12¢ $42 $-14 06-08 07:32
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +181 $45 18¢ $34 $-11 06-09 20:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +152 $23 12¢ $19 $-4 06-08 09:20
Will Vilgefortz die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? No -167 $-9 11¢ $-18 $-9 05-29 20:35
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -76 $-21 24¢ $-18 +$2 06-06 10:09
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -203 $-14 $-12 +$1 05-30 08:17
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes -288 $-10 $-11 $-1 06-06 07:55
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes -1,000 $-28 $-10 +$19 05-31 09:40
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? Yes +1,000 $20 $7 $-13 05-29 17:17
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes -299 $-9 $-7 +$2 05-31 11:34
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? Yes -283 $-5 $-4 +$1 06-05 07:48
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? Yes -100 $-3 $-2 +$1 05-31 12:01
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? Yes -102 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-06 07:51