Upbeat-Advance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$352

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.7%

Resolved

Trades

5,835

lifetime

Volume

$79.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 21:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

65% 31% $-246

Other

31% 17% $-105

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 222 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iraq by february 28	72	$6.1K	98,110	8,560	+89,550	open	—	03-05 16:04
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	12	$2.7K	7,035	7,035	+0	open	—	04-08 17:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	20	$2.0K	9,253	6,726	+2,527	open	—	06-16 08:27
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	12	$1.9K	999	1,800	-800	open	—	06-14 21:36
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	27	$1.2K	4,087	2,995	+1,092	open	—	06-21 13:03
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	19	$1.2K	2,907	2,175	+732	open	—	06-14 21:43
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	24	$1.1K	811	811	+0	open	—	03-23 00:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	21	$1.0K	4,002	3,742	+260	open	—	04-09 20:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$999	500	500	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 19:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	14	$967	3,300	1,300	+2,000	open	—	05-31 15:50
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	15	$865	15,689	8,344	+7,345	open	—	06-02 22:22
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	5	$841	600	1,000	-400	open	—	05-26 18:46
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	27	$796	20,806	10,706	+10,100	open	—	04-13 14:28
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	11	$771	649	449	+200	open	—	07-21 22:46
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	18	$756	760	250	+510	open	—	03-30 17:56
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	6	$699	67,300	300	+67,000	open	—	04-17 15:09
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	20	$657	700	700	+0	open	—	08-01 13:40
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	159	$591	12,236	1,100	+11,136	open	—	03-26 07:33
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	12	$580	530	330	+200	open	—	04-16 00:57
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	24	$577	759	759	+0	open	—	04-02 18:28
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	33	$571	8,895	4,218	+4,677	open	—	03-20 08:25
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	15	$550	571	571	+0	open	—	04-03 03:26
will iran strike israel on march 10	46	$539	6,258	2,358	+3,900	open	—	03-17 01:17
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	19	$534	941	941	+0	open	—	07-07 18:22
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	2	$524	600	0	+600	open	—	05-24 05:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$500	500	0	+500	Yes	+$0	05-09 08:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$496	403,000	0	+403,000	open	—	03-03 22:48
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	15	$483	750	550	+200	open	—	03-28 06:29
will masoud pezeshkian sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950072	8	$451	460	460	+0	open	—	06-17 21:32
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	150	$444	4,796	685	+4,110	open	—	05-31 21:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 21:16:07	iran successfully targets shipping on august 9 2026 20260729163314529	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xbdec13…
08-09 20:38:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x3c6f50…
08-09 20:17:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x3a2440…
08-09 18:49:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	4,000	2¢	$60	0x2ab579…
08-09 18:42:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	2¢	$80	0x44a79c…
08-09 17:56:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$31	0x6a9938…
08-09 17:49:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	463	4¢	$17	0xf31ab7…
08-09 16:58:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc879e8…
08-09 15:58:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0x52c3dd…
08-09 15:56:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xb740aa…
08-09 15:55:04	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x88afd1…
08-09 15:54:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	600	12¢	$72	0x8277bc…
08-09 15:53:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	17¢	$85	0x6c6640…
08-09 15:51:52	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	500	57¢	$286	0xb31ab6…
08-09 15:47:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x113a03…
08-09 15:46:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xc7562a…
08-09 15:45:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x7be954…
08-09 14:53:55	will kai or speed have more in game deaths 20260808192817373	Kai	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x9d292f…
08-08 21:00:27	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30 145	Yes	BUY	133	3¢	$4	0x9d759d…
08-07 23:34:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x0b0183…
08-07 23:05:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x822092…
08-07 16:45:52	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0xb3f8e2…
08-06 17:14:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	Yes	BUY	239	5¢	$11	0x766abc…
08-06 13:35:06	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30 145	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xd7344a…
08-06 09:38:08	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xeeed46…
08-06 06:48:56	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x82d4d3…
08-06 06:48:18	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	Yes	BUY	155	5¢	$7	0xa74700…
08-06 04:59:08	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x35068e…
08-06 04:16:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x8373cd…
08-06 04:14:32	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0xa69147…
08-05 14:38:15	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x8ecbdc…
08-05 13:04:29	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	BUY	39	35¢	$14	0x011ab4…
08-05 13:00:14	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x227259…
08-05 13:00:08	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x8b12a8…
08-05 12:59:21	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xd525e1…
08-05 05:24:33	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x26f39f…
08-05 04:50:26	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0x595016…
08-05 02:12:17	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	BUY	83	9¢	$7	0x18b817…
08-04 21:00:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0xa72888…
08-04 20:27:44	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	200	40¢	$79	0xabba83…
08-04 17:27:57	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xcf8419…
08-04 12:18:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	2,930	1¢	$21	0x7f87b1…
08-04 11:58:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9491e1…
08-04 11:58:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe3ea57…
08-04 11:56:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1ec761…
08-04 11:54:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xe6ebb9…
08-04 11:54:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xe56295…
08-04 11:45:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x85c55a…
08-04 11:35:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x5fe161…
08-04 11:18:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x497620…
08-04 11:18:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8c124a…
08-04 04:19:08	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in july 20260626154217423	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xf8c99c…
08-03 18:57:12	will ahmad vahidi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044266	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb824cc…
08-03 16:50:51	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$24	0x73abc8…
08-03 16:43:21	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	BUY	58	8¢	$5	0xf268cf…
08-03 16:42:44	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x1b6f46…
08-03 16:41:41	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	BUY	91	8¢	$7	0xda775a…
08-03 16:40:45	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xe31d7c…
08-03 15:31:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x052268…
08-03 15:31:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	1,972	1¢	$12	0x2217eb…
08-03 15:00:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0x933120…
08-03 14:57:00	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30 145	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x08ae3d…
08-03 14:03:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	848	1¢	$5	0xbd0ff4…
08-03 13:30:20	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x63d55b…
08-03 13:13:38	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	Yes	BUY	197	7¢	$14	0x432ed2…
08-03 13:13:00	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x5e160f…
08-03 09:49:53	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in july 20260626154217423	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xe3923e…
08-03 09:40:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0xc6e25d…
08-03 09:39:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	1,152	1¢	$7	0xc18407…
08-03 09:25:50	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x9d5364…
08-03 09:01:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x169bb4…
08-03 08:39:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0x934e80…
08-03 08:29:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	3,223	0¢	$10	0x4feebe…
08-03 02:44:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	783	1¢	$5	0x7bb28c…
08-03 02:44:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc3eea5…
08-03 01:46:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0xcbfd0b…
08-03 01:43:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	2,000	1¢	$14	0xf529e5…
08-03 01:42:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x9f65ce…
08-03 01:42:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	2,042	1¢	$14	0xf1383a…
08-02 21:48:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	1,795	1¢	$16	0x094a23…
08-02 21:48:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	8,205	1¢	$74	0x7ee078…
08-02 21:47:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	2,000	2¢	$32	0x0edc4c…
08-02 21:36:33	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xde5388…
08-02 20:21:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	10,915	0¢	$11	0x38cffa…
08-02 20:19:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x62cc6a…
08-02 20:17:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	3,248	0¢	$3	0x0e057f…
08-02 20:16:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	21,761	0¢	$22	0xa02856…
08-02 17:39:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	7,885	0¢	$24	0x4e694a…
08-02 17:23:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	562	0¢	$2	0x883df4…
08-02 17:20:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5df224…
08-02 17:10:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	1,453	0¢	$4	0x01e1bc…
08-02 07:41:47	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x6d7a37…
08-02 07:41:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	2,000	1¢	$26	0x8adf40…
08-02 07:40:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	2,763	2¢	$44	0xa6bf45…
08-02 07:35:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x85fb5e…
08-02 07:32:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	2,200	2¢	$35	0x509171…
08-02 07:24:54	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	688	0¢	$1	0x8aa63f…
08-02 07:18:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	534	2¢	$9	0x84ec62…
08-02 07:17:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	2,429	2¢	$39	0xd5dff9…
08-02 07:17:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x16cffb…