Realized P&L
+$1.48K
Unrealized P&L
-$337
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved
1,842
Trades
12,388
lifetime
Volume
$129.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$277
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-15 10:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 285 days
Categories
Politics
50% 28% +$1,438
Other
34% 28% -$157
Crypto
15% 27% +$224
Sports
1% 37% -$24
Tech
0% 21% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November? Yes +150 $101 44¢ $66 -$35 11-09 00:10
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,000 $36 1¢ $42 +$6 08-01 14:02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +2,857 $123 1¢ $34 -$88 11-15 10:19
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +386 $53 7¢ $27 -$26 10-14 06:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +6,020 $147 0¢ $21 -$126 10-27 09:36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +500 $29 3¢ $13 -$16 11-07 13:31
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +7,190 $14 0¢ $11 -$4 07-13 21:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? Yes +50 $22 22¢ $11 -$11 11-08 23:51
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +47 $15 21¢ $10 -$5 10-30 10:36
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3,156 $14 0¢ $8 -$6 11-11 09:35
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by November 30, 2026? Yes +56 $10 13¢ $7 -$3 11-13 17:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November? Yes +50 $15 14¢ $7 -$8 11-08 23:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +200 $14 3¢ $5 -$9 10-27 11:09
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -76 -$21 6¢ $-5 +$16 06-06 10:09
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +188 $6 2¢ $3 -$3 10-27 11:13
Will Dana F. White Jr be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +182 $6 1¢ $2 -$4 11-09 21:52
Will Nicki Minaj be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +97 $5 2¢ $2 -$3 10-31 17:15
Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026? Yes +50 $4 4¢ $2 -$3 10-24 18:36
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +101 $10 1¢ $1 -$9 09-02 15:38