Realized P&L (7d)
-$319
Unrealized P&L
-$177
Hit rate
38.2%
Resolved (7d)
38
Trades (7d)
249
12,161 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.84K
$126.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$392
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 23:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 275 days
Categories
Politics
50% 28% +$1,697
Other
34% 27% -$151
Crypto
15% 27% +$229
Sports
1% 37% -$24
Tech
0% 21% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 215 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,439 $95 5¢ $68 -$27 10-28 14:05
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,500 $34 4¢ $63 +$29 10-27 22:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +3,400 $69 1¢ $42 -$27 10-31 18:01
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,000 $36 1¢ $42 +$6 08-01 14:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +6,020 $147 1¢ $33 -$114 10-27 09:36
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +100 $30 28¢ $28 -$2 11-01 22:45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -100 -$32 18¢ $-18 +$14 05-12 18:02
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,996 $12 1¢ $18 +$6 10-29 08:39
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +47 $15 30¢ $14 -$1 10-30 10:36
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? Yes +1,200 $61 1¢ $14 -$47 11-02 17:35
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -76 -$21 12¢ $-9 +$11 06-06 10:09
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +200 $14 4¢ $9 -$5 10-27 11:09
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +101 $10 7¢ $7 -$3 09-02 15:38
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +7,190 $14 0¢ $7 -$7 07-13 21:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +100 $9 7¢ $7 -$2 10-24 16:22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? No +100 $8 6¢ $6 -$2 11-01 18:42
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +188 $6 3¢ $5 -$1 10-27 11:13
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No +200 $6 0¢ $1 -$5 10-27 10:53