Realized P&L (90d)
-$4.98K
Unrealized P&L
-$249
Hit rate
51.8%
Resolved (90d)
507
Trades (90d)
3,037
12,275 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$39.7K
$128.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$420
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 00:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 281 days
Categories
Politics
50% 28% +$1,703
Other
34% 27% -$170
Crypto
15% 27% +$230
Sports
1% 37% -$24
Tech
0% 21% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November? Yes +150 $101 66¢ $99 -$2 11-09 00:10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +594 $74 10¢ $56 -$18 11-08 21:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +6,020 $147 1¢ $45 -$102 10-27 09:36
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,000 $36 1¢ $42 +$6 08-01 14:02
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +386 $53 8¢ $31 -$22 10-14 06:26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +500 $29 4¢ $22 -$6 11-07 13:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? Yes +50 $22 40¢ $20 -$1 11-08 23:51
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 15, 2026? No +615 $34 2¢ $15 -$19 11-08 02:28
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? No +451 $16 3¢ $15 -$1 11-08 15:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November? Yes +50 $15 29¢ $14 -$1 11-08 23:52
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +47 $15 25¢ $12 -$3 10-30 10:36
Will Iran target Iraq by November 15, 2026? Yes +9 $7 85¢ $8 +$1 11-08 20:17
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +7,190 $14 0¢ $7 -$7 07-13 21:15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +200 $14 3¢ $6 -$9 10-27 11:09
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -76 -$21 6¢ $-5 +$16 06-06 10:09
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October? No +15 $11 30¢ $4 -$7 10-28 21:32
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +188 $6 2¢ $4 -$2 10-27 11:13
Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026? Yes +50 $4 7¢ $4 -$1 10-24 18:36
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,996 $12 0¢ $3 -$9 10-29 08:39
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? No +400 $29 1¢ $3 -$26 11-05 19:33
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +101 $10 2¢ $2 -$8 09-02 15:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? No +594 $26 0¢ $2 -$24 11-06 17:18
Will Nicki Minaj be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +97 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 10-31 17:15