Realized P&L (90d)
-$5.04K
Unrealized P&L
-$335
Hit rate
51.5%
Resolved (90d)
509
Trades (90d)
3,036
12,286 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$39.1K
$128.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$278
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 08:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 283 days
Categories
Politics
50% 28% +$1,509
Other
34% 27% -$170
Crypto
15% 27% +$224
Sports
1% 37% -$24
Tech
0% 21% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November? Yes +150 $101 30¢ $46 -$56 11-09 00:10
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,000 $36 1¢ $42 +$6 08-01 14:02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +1,194 $100 3¢ $41 -$59 11-10 08:08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +6,020 $147 0¢ $27 -$120 10-27 09:36
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +386 $53 7¢ $27 -$26 10-14 06:26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +500 $29 3¢ $17 -$12 11-07 13:31
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +62 $10 21¢ $13 +$3 11-10 08:04
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +47 $15 28¢ $13 -$2 10-30 10:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? Yes +50 $22 22¢ $11 -$11 11-08 23:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +200 $14 3¢ $6 -$8 10-27 11:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November? Yes +50 $15 11¢ $5 -$10 11-08 23:52
Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026? Yes +50 $4 10¢ $5 +$1 10-24 18:36
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,996 $12 0¢ $5 -$7 10-29 08:39
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -76 -$21 6¢ $-5 +$16 06-06 10:09
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October? No +15 $11 26¢ $4 -$7 10-28 21:32
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +100 $2 3¢ $3 +$1 11-10 08:11
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +101 $10 2¢ $2 -$8 09-02 15:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +188 $6 1¢ $2 -$4 10-27 11:13
Will Dana F. White Jr be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +182 $6 1¢ $1 -$5 11-09 21:52
Will Nicki Minaj be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +97 $5 1¢ $1 -$4 10-31 17:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? No +594 $26 0¢ $1 -$25 11-06 17:18