Realized P&L
-$7.82K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.95K
Hit rate
17.0%
Resolved
1,498
Trades
9,020
lifetime
Volume
$222.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$11.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-14
last 10-27 00:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Other
54% 31% -$4,174
Politics
32% 30% -$1,601
Sports
8% 8% -$1,354
Tech
6% 19% -$652
Crypto
0% 44% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 267 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +1,445 $935 90¢ $1.3K +$373 07-28 01:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,466 $1,122 82¢ $1.2K +$80 07-29 09:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +994 $443 88¢ $880 +$437 07-27 23:14
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +750 $650 97¢ $731 +$81 09-04 01:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +689 $540 86¢ $596 +$56 07-29 12:22
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +600 $466 88¢ $525 +$59 07-29 22:03
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 No +458 $280 100¢ $458 +$177 08-08 06:09
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +400 $367 95¢ $380 +$13 07-28 19:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +400 $290 94¢ $375 +$85 07-28 05:46
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +400 $342 90¢ $358 +$16 07-29 02:29
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +410 $283 86¢ $355 +$72 07-28 21:45
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +350 $142 98¢ $345 +$202 07-29 11:56
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +350 $244 92¢ $320 +$76 07-29 23:12
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +400 $236 80¢ $318 +$82 07-28 19:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,466 $356 18¢ $264 -$92 07-29 14:06
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +450 $243 53¢ $239 -$4 08-23 08:21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +450 $212 47¢ $212 -$1 08-26 21:10
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +200 $170 100¢ $200 +$30 07-26 09:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +200 $188 96¢ $192 +$4 08-03 23:34
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +192 $144 100¢ $191 +$47 08-22 10:13
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +200 $140 94¢ $189 +$49 07-28 21:50
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +200 $166 94¢ $187 +$21 07-29 11:19
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +200 $156 92¢ $184 +$28 07-29 07:43
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +200 $136 90¢ $181 +$45 07-28 17:10
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +239 $162 74¢ $176 +$13 08-16 01:15
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +200 $177 83¢ $167 -$10 09-04 09:08
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +160 $149 99¢ $158 +$9 08-17 15:42
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +200 $178 74¢ $148 -$30 10-12 23:36
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +150 $123 97¢ $145 +$22 08-02 15:42
Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No +150 $138 96¢ $145 +$7 08-03 09:15