Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1bb9…9de75c
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$67
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,989
lifetime
Volume
$67.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$2.70K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 23:28
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
68% — —
Politics
17% — —
Tech
16% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +1,667 $1,511 90¢ $1.5K $-20 06-09 07:05
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? No +299 $268 97¢ $290 +$22 06-07 19:45
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +233 $215 95¢ $221 +$6 06-02 18:51
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +195 $98 63¢ $123 +$25 06-09 17:21
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +112 $100 95¢ $106 +$7 06-04 21:00
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-99 99¢ $-99 +$0 06-09 22:28
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -100 $-99 98¢ $-98 +$0 06-05 20:40
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -97 $-96 99¢ $-97 $-1 06-05 00:16
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +40 $32 91¢ $36 +$5 06-06 16:11
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? No +40 $32 82¢ $33 +$1 05-30 03:51
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -54 $-37 49¢ $-27 +$10 06-09 12:41
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +516 $39 4¢ $23 $-16 06-09 23:09
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +142 $10 11¢ $15 +$5 06-08 07:49
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? Yes +18 $4 80¢ $14 +$10 05-30 03:48
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +34 $8 36¢ $12 +$5 06-09 12:52
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +13 $7 91¢ $12 +$5 06-06 22:33
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +10 $1 36¢ $4 +$2 05-29 03:14