Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
4,304
lifetime
Volume
$27.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$32
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 06-14 12:42
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
59%
Politics
41%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 392 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +15 $18 94¢ $14 $-4 06-14 15:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -12 $-7 94¢ $-12 $-4 06-14 15:51
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +5 $7 95¢ $5 $-2 06-14 14:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1 $2 99¢ $-1 $-3 06-08 13:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 $-1 06-14 11:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-14 14:33
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -0 $0 99¢ $-0 $-0 06-08 23:57
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-11 00:47
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -0 $0 99¢ $-0 $-0 06-08 10:44
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $-0 06-13 15:06
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-13 23:40
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $-0 06-13 21:13
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-14 06:33
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 06-11 14:26
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $-0 06-14 03:43
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 06-13 22:51