Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$38
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
13,946
lifetime
Volume
$80.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$82
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 07-20 23:58
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
52%
Politics
48%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 404 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +65 $77 96¢ $62 $-15 07-20 23:58
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +15 $30 96¢ $14 $-15 07-20 23:21
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -2 $3 96¢ $-2 $-5 07-20 23:35
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +2 $3 98¢ $2 $-1 07-20 13:01
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 $-0 07-18 07:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 07-14 15:31
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 07-20 18:11
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 07-01 10:03
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 07-17 07:49
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 89¢ $0 $-0 07-17 23:11
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 07-19 01:55
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 07-20 10:15
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 $-0 07-20 21:01
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $-0 07-18 11:37
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 07-20 17:58
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 07-19 04:45