(anonymous) 0x5f42bf…82e101
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
8,488
lifetime
Volume
$53.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$85
28 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 06-30 12:55
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
54% — —
Politics
46% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 404 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +54 $60 94¢ $51 $-9 06-30 15:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +11 $11 100¢ $11 $-0 06-14 21:56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +10 $19 95¢ $10 $-10 06-30 14:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -6 $-2 100¢ $-6 $-4 06-08 13:44
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -4 $-1 96¢ $-4 $-3 06-30 15:55
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +1 $2 97¢ $1 $-1 06-30 12:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 $-1 06-27 18:59
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $-0 06-30 00:25
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-22 23:58
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-30 15:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-13 09:45
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-29 20:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-24 16:22
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-14 17:34
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-15 04:37
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-03 22:27
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-27 16:51
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-27 09:23
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -0 $1 100¢ $-0 $-1 06-08 22:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-21 08:13
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 06-28 12:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-18 02:19
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-03 04:02
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-29 12:04
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-19 11:19
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-07 21:24
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-22 02:14
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 $-0 06-26 18:58