(anonymous) 0x806eb3…fe164f
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
208
lifetime
Volume
$582
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$117
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-26
last 07-03 19:35
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
72% — —
Politics
28% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +47 $45 98¢ $46 +$1 07-03 13:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +863 $27 2¢ $20 $-7 07-03 19:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +13 $13 96¢ $13 +$0 07-03 19:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +354 $16 4¢ $13 $-3 07-03 19:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 06-23 19:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4 $4 88¢ $4 $-0 06-23 19:23
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +209 $6 1¢ $3 $-3 06-22 14:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +22 $4 12¢ $3 $-1 07-02 19:20
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-15 21:41
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +8 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-15 21:41
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-22 14:09
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +11 $1 8¢ $1 $-0 06-15 21:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +433 $14 0¢ $1 $-13 06-28 06:58
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +1 $0 88¢ $0 +$0 06-17 13:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $-0 84¢ $0 +$1 07-01 21:01
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes +11 $1 3¢ $0 $-0 06-15 21:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1 $1 16¢ $0 $-1 06-30 18:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 $0 76¢ $0 $-0 07-03 19:13