Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?
open
Total volume
$120
Trades
48
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$1,007
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-10 16:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $2 | $28 | $26 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $1 | $1 | +$0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $6 | $5 | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | $13 | $11 |
| Median | 5 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Below median | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $14 | $14 |
| unranked | 6 | $4 | $1 | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enchanting-Cable 0x84a2…c7cf | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-27 10:57 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +25 | $1 | $3 | 7 | 08-07 15:22 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 08-04 00:06 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-27 10:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +12 | $1 | $2 | 8 | 07-23 16:17 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 08-10 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-10 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +1 | $-0 | $3 | 2 | 07-20 17:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 16:30:58 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x614ed3… |
| 08-10 16:30:58 | (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x614ed3… |
| 08-07 15:22:15 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x93f2d2… |
| 08-07 15:22:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x93f2d2… |
| 08-04 08:45:41 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…fbd9 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x79f0ed… |
| 08-04 08:45:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x79f0ed… |
| 08-04 08:44:26 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0719c0… |
| 08-04 08:44:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0719c0… |
| 08-04 08:44:26 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…fbd9 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0719c0… |
| 08-04 00:06:09 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 14 | 96¢ | $13 | 0xb28b21… |
| 08-04 00:06:09 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…fbd9 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb28b21… |
| 08-02 01:54:18 | (anonymous) 0xdf1a…e414 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x438e6e… |
| 08-02 01:54:18 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x438e6e… |
| 07-30 11:10:18 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d022b… |
| 07-30 11:10:18 | Wicked-Counterforce 0x997e…0d8e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d022b… |
| 07-27 10:57:57 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0xd2126d… |
| 07-27 10:57:57 | Enchanting-Cable 0x84a2…c7cf | Yes | BUY | 14 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd2126d… |
| 07-26 20:17:03 | (anonymous) 0x0c70…14a8 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x107d6e… |
| 07-26 20:17:03 | Whimsical-Imitation 0x2cc7…2385 | No | SELL | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0x107d6e… |
| 07-26 20:17:03 | Enchanting-Cable 0x84a2…c7cf | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x107d6e… |
| 07-23 16:17:36 | Whimsical-Imitation 0x2cc7…2385 | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x12a4d4… |
| 07-23 16:17:36 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x12a4d4… |
| 07-23 16:17:36 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x12a4d4… |
| 07-20 17:54:57 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe78580… |
| 07-20 17:54:57 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe78580… |
| 07-20 17:54:57 | (anonymous) 0x0c70…14a8 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xe78580… |
| 07-15 16:52:35 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9872a6… |
| 07-15 16:52:35 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x9872a6… |
| 07-08 06:31:14 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7b660b… |
| 07-08 06:31:14 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x7b660b… |
| 07-08 06:30:56 | Whimsical-Imitation 0x2cc7…2385 | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xdcd411… |
| 07-08 06:30:56 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xdcd411… |
| 06-30 08:40:52 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x711012… |
| 06-30 08:40:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x711012… |
| 06-25 13:01:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x5d1e2a… |
| 06-25 13:01:13 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x5d1e2a… |
| 06-25 12:57:38 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xdfdda6… |
| 06-25 12:57:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xdfdda6… |
| 06-07 11:18:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x70ee99… |
| 06-07 11:18:10 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x70ee99… |
| 06-07 11:17:06 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x5605eb… |
| 06-07 11:17:06 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x5605eb… |
| 05-31 17:36:28 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | SELL | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xe849df… |
| 05-31 17:36:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe849df… |
| 05-31 17:36:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xe849df… |
| 05-31 17:36:28 | Miserable-Reinscription 0x9bdb…a90d | Yes | SELL | 85 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xe849df… |
| 05-28 16:38:16 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x778f20… |
| 05-28 16:38:16 | Whimsical-Imitation 0x2cc7…2385 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x778f20… |