Wicked-Counterforce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$84

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

1,139

Trades

2,187

lifetime

Volume

$386

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 11-05 22:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Other

60% 20% +$35

Sports

21% 19% +$34

Politics

12% 26% +$15

Crypto

3% 9% -$1

Tech

2% 25% +$0

Pop-Culture

2% 25% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	+0	-$1	98¢	$0	+$2	07-09 20:03
Will Lerone Murphy be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5	$0	0¢	$0	$0	05-22 15:58
Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+5	$0	0¢	$0	$0	05-19 06:12
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+5	$0	0¢	$0	$0	05-20 21:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will St. Louis Shock win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	4	$9	30	30	+0	No	+$8	07-20 07:56
will canvas valuation hit high 45b by december 31	5	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	06-30 16:33
Will Dominic Solanke be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	4	$5	10	10	+0	No	+$4	05-23 04:19
Will Borna Sosa record the most red cards in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	2	$5	5	5	+0	No	+$5	05-22 06:48
Will Jio Platforms be the largest Indian company?;	6	$5	28	28	+0	open	—	07-12 20:09
Will Santiago Hezze record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?	2	$4	5	5	+0	No	+$4	05-25 01:57
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?	2	$4	17	17	+0	open	—	10-30 04:58
Will Gunnar Henderson lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?	4	$4	35	35	+0	No	+$3	07-10 11:45
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026	3	$4	20	20	+0	No	+$3	06-27 04:07
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026?	3	$3	10	10	+0	No	+$3	07-30 11:10
Will Mohamed Salah play in Serie A next?	2	$3	30	30	+0	No	+$3	08-03 12:59
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?	2	$3	10	10	+0	No	+$3	06-24 00:33
Will North Carolina win the 2026 College World Series?	2	$3	10	10	+0	No	+$3	06-15 20:32
Will Uruguay (16) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	3	$3	10	9	+1	Yes	+$4	06-24 13:46
Will Lindsey Graham be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	4	$3	30	30	+0	open	—	07-19 02:07
Will Don Mattingly be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?	2	$3	6	6	+0	Yes	+$3	07-28 01:23
Will MrBeast hit 135 billion views by July 31?	2	$3	10	10	+0	No	+$2	06-23 08:48
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026?	2	$3	8	8	+0	No	+$2	07-03 11:37
Will Kyler Murray be traded?	2	$3	5	5	+0	No	+$2	07-02 05:27
Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?	3	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	08-22 07:36
Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 5%?	3	$2	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	05-27 11:00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	3	$2	10	10	+0	No	+$2	07-09 15:40
NHL: Stanley Cup Winner USA or Canada?	6	$2	25	17	+8	USA	+$1	05-30 00:33
Will Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company?	3	$2	23	23	+0	open	—	07-18 05:58
Will Ilia Topuria be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	3	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	05-24 06:40
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 29, 2026?	2	$2	10	5	+5	No	+$2	07-08 22:07
Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$2	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	06-06 00:24
Over $1B crypto hack value in 2026?	7	$2	16	16	-0	Yes	+$2	07-04 08:00
Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	2	$2	5	5	+0	No	+$2	05-18 15:38
Will Plasma reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	3	$2	10	10	+0	open	—	10-15 10:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 22:21:37	Will Kyle Busch be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x5af20e…
11-05 22:21:22	Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.25% and 2.99%?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd6c451…
11-05 22:21:22	Will 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb71c48…
11-05 22:21:21	Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2026 NFC West?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xcdd98e…
11-05 22:21:21	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + Labour?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xcd6b82…
11-05 22:21:21	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori + NZF?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc24f37…
11-05 22:21:21	Will Khamzat Chimaev be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x707f46…
11-05 22:21:21	Will Rand Paul be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x6c02ab…
11-05 22:21:21	Will Carlo Calenda be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5db7ba…
11-05 22:21:21	Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x5772fe…
11-05 22:21:21	Will Kyle Busch be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x4d3df8…
11-05 22:21:21	Will Thiago Martins win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x408ea9…
11-05 22:21:21	Will Atlético de San Luis win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x129ef9…
11-05 22:21:19	Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xfa80fc…
11-05 22:21:19	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 2.50%?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xab269b…
11-05 22:21:19	Will Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x99685d…
11-05 22:21:19	Will Kamala Harris be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x949621…
11-05 22:21:19	Will Beto O’Rourke be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x8ac932…
11-05 22:21:19	Will O'Neil Cruz win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x887e4d…
11-05 22:21:19	Will Rahm Emanuel be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x40cf50…
11-05 22:21:19	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x2bfc72…
11-05 22:21:19	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x0a1c48…
11-05 22:21:19	Will Michelle Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x004e21…
11-05 22:21:18	Will Guido Crosetto be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xdd27ed…
11-05 22:21:18	Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xbca86d…
11-05 22:21:18	Will Stephen A. Smith be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb7fe20…
11-05 22:21:18	Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xaf64fa…
11-05 22:21:18	Will Puebla win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xa9be63…
11-05 22:21:18	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x965a85…
11-05 22:21:18	Will Steve Bannon be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x6ef1e6…
11-05 22:21:18	Will Oprah Winfrey be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x4b0e63…
11-05 22:21:18	Will Brooke Rollins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x288574…
11-05 22:21:18	Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x23ff89…
11-05 22:21:18	Will Maruti Suzuki India Ltd be the largest Indian company?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x23c91a…
11-05 22:21:18	Will world GDP growth be 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x0cabd8…
11-05 22:21:16	Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xdc278f…
11-05 22:21:16	Will Jesse Jackson be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xbe935d…
11-05 22:21:16	Will Gina Raimondo be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xa1bdd3…
11-05 22:21:16	Will Hindustan Unilever Ltd be the largest Indian company?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x9f15e0…
11-05 22:21:16	Will James Van Der Beek be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x70dc82…
11-05 22:21:15	Will Jamieson Greer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xdddb37…
11-05 22:21:15	Will Tom Brady be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xbd4228…
11-05 22:21:15	Will OpenAI raise between $30B and $40B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x8c737a…
11-05 22:21:15	Will Strava’s market cap be at least $15B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x5203e2…
11-05 22:21:15	Will David Brekalo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x05116f…
11-05 22:21:13	Will Roy Cooper be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xe11609…
11-05 22:21:13	Will Joe Kent be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xb4b417…
11-05 22:21:13	Will Greg Abbott be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x2b3a0a…
11-05 22:21:13	Will Life Insurance Corporation of India be the largest Indian company?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x145878…
11-05 22:21:12	Will Pat Noonan win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xe6e603…
11-05 22:21:12	Will Chelsea Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xdd76fb…
11-05 22:21:12	Will OpenAI raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xd039c7…
11-05 22:21:12	Will Larsen & Toubro Ltd be the largest Indian company?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x8fa228…
11-05 22:21:12	Will Axis Bank Ltd be the largest Indian company?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x7626ee…
11-05 22:21:12	Will Adani Power Ltd be the largest Indian company?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x65b586…
11-05 22:21:12	Will Warren Buffett be 3rd richest person on December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x29bd93…
11-05 22:21:12	Will Infosys Ltd be the largest Indian company?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x1d6319…
11-05 22:21:12	Will Bradley Carnell win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x14c1e8…
11-05 22:21:12	Will Strava’s market cap be between $5B and $7B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x06bd96…
11-04 02:09:36	Will there be between 100m and 105m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x510987…
10-30 04:58:48	Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?	Yes	SELL	17	22¢	$4	0x3226c2…
10-29 17:54:47	Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x2bd892…
10-25 05:46:26	Will Jensen Huang be 3rd richest person on December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xfbf4eb…
10-21 08:52:41	Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf18f65…
10-21 08:32:23	Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x11891e…
10-16 04:29:40	Will Stefan Frei win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x79b65a…
10-15 10:02:26	Will Plasma reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x751b03…
10-13 09:26:41	Will Brad Ausmus be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x8ded80…
09-18 00:23:55	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x2e487a…
09-11 03:04:52	Will KT Rolster Challengers win LCK CL 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x1a82ed…
09-07 23:15:19	Will Estudiantes LP win Copa Libertadores?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xd63e22…
09-07 17:44:46	Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x5c231d…
09-01 21:01:18	Will Jason Bateman – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xa876ab…
09-01 21:01:09	Will Jason Bateman – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xdf2da3…
08-30 13:41:55	Will Danelik Galazan win Big Brother Argentina 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xb9f6a1…
08-29 04:39:55	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xaabfc8…
08-22 17:53:49	Will the Republican Party win the CA-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xa071e5…
08-22 07:36:28	Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0xa9fabb…
08-22 07:15:54	Will Petar Musa win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x8f2fe1…
08-18 15:26:49	Will Philip Zinckernagel win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x436c60…
08-15 13:24:42	Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x334daf…
08-13 04:24:52	Will Maxx Crosby play for Atlanta Falcons next?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8f8a36…
08-12 22:10:03	Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for St. Louis CITY SC next?	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0x491142…
08-08 06:20:21	Will Phil Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xb5e372…
08-05 00:46:06	Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.6% and 1.8%?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xefea3d…
08-03 12:59:24	Will Mohamed Salah play in Serie A next?	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x2d0372…
08-01 23:14:48	Pro Football: Will OBJ sign with a team in 2026?	No	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x5b73d4…
07-31 14:25:18	Will Maxx Crosby play for Pittsburgh Steelers next?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf460f5…
07-31 05:35:18	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x6e40e5…
07-30 11:10:20	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + NZF?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xec7b41…
07-30 11:10:20	Will Liam Lawson win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xb73745…
07-30 11:10:20	Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xac7995…
07-30 11:10:20	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x4c6562…
07-30 11:10:20	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be less than 3.00%?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x474056…
07-30 11:10:18	Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Atlanta United FC next?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xff1adb…
07-30 11:10:18	Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xfc57e9…
07-30 11:10:18	Will Vancouver Canucks be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xf85163…
07-30 11:10:18	Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf3ec17…
07-30 11:10:18	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xf342cf…
07-30 11:10:18	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Maori?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe6c45e…