Realized P&L
-$65
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
71.8%
Resolved
1,540
Trades
1,958
lifetime
Volume
$6.76K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$155
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-30
last 10-27 03:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Other
72% 65% -$153
Sports
11% 53% +$14
Crypto
11% 85% +$73
Politics
5% 77% +$3
Tech
1% 50% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 10-14 12:01
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$1 06-11 00:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 10-16 04:07
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 79¢ $6 +$1 10-20 22:01
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $5 73¢ $6 +$1 10-15 08:16
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-19 09:16
will ethereum dip to 1900 in october 2026 No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-15 06:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-20 12:37
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 10-17 22:31
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-19 02:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-21 06:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7 $5 72¢ $5 +$0 10-19 01:31
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 76¢ $5 +$0 10-26 23:16
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-16 05:07
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 10-17 22:16
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-26 04:15
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-23 02:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 07-14 02:15
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 10-19 12:31
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-25 22:37
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-23 16:46
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-19 14:46
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-21 05:01
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 10-25 03:37
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 10-26 04:01
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-14 01:01
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-17 21:07
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-21 22:37
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 10-23 03:07
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $0 10-14 11:31