Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$104,263
$1,526 in 24h
Trades
1,408
Unique wallets
385
Liquidity
$67,367
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-10 17:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.3¢
(top1%: 7% YES on $2.6K
vs crowd: 2% YES on $57.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $227 | $7.9K | $7.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 29 | $294 | $21.5K | $21.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 155 | $193 | $21.6K | $21.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 183 | $661 | $5.2K | $4.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $174 | $2.4K | $2.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $102 | $5.2K | $5.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $14 | $193 | $179 |
| Median | 49 | $29 | $4.9K | $4.8K |
| Below median | 126 | $55 | $15.2K | $15.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 19 | $161 | $2.8K | $2.6K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 23 | $312 | $3.8K | $3.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $104 | $634 | $530 |
| unranked | 132 | $425 | $21.0K | $20.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +8,350 | $8,043 | $11,411 | 35 | 07-04 14:18 |
| Plush-Robotics 0xe7ef…b402 | No | +5,158 | $5,000 | $5,000 | 1 | 07-01 07:21 |
| Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | +3,788 | $3,637 | $3,637 | 11 | 06-30 16:28 |
| Murky-Overview 0xcc00…0115 | Yes | +3,230 | $100 | $100 | 22 | 07-04 14:18 |
| Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | +1,787 | $1,728 | $1,728 | 12 | 07-10 17:02 |
| Melodic-Salary 0xc04a…8046 | Yes | +1,691 | $72 | $138 | 24 | 07-10 11:26 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +1,684 | $1,583 | $3,691 | 13 | 06-29 01:06 |
| Closed-Abundance 0x199f…b36a | Yes | +1,667 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-03 15:07 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +1,172 | $1,125 | $8,004 | 79 | 07-06 14:41 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,085 | $37 | $212 | 29 | 07-02 22:46 |
| Heavenly-Cassava 0x753c…e3ad | No | +1,032 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 07-02 15:50 |
| Unwieldy-Stamp 0x506b…b0fe | Yes | +1,000 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-01 12:06 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | Yes | +940 | $38 | $38 | 11 | 06-22 21:51 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | +920 | $875 | $1,599 | 13 | 06-30 14:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | +840 | $799 | $799 | 5 | 06-28 13:31 |
| Total-Final 0xb071…15cb | No | +781 | $750 | $1,250 | 2 | 06-21 16:48 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +750 | $17 | $118 | 26 | 07-03 01:41 |
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +690 | $655 | $655 | 13 | 06-10 03:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd7f2…d2e0 | Yes | +630 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-18 22:58 |
| Puny-Husband 0x7e47…ecf7 | Yes | +629 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-15 16:25 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +544 | $522 | $522 | 6 | 06-20 15:38 |
| Inconsequential-Peanut 0xfa28…bf30 | No | +435 | $408 | $408 | 1 | 06-02 00:13 |
| Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | +434 | $16 | $16 | 9 | 06-23 03:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x2468…4826 | Yes | +433 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 06-06 19:32 |
| Icy-Right 0x0f5b…6846 | No | +420 | $401 | $1,630 | 11 | 06-30 22:54 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +367 | $349 | $349 | 1 | 06-05 16:01 |
| Frail-Bonding 0xcf59…43df | Yes | +333 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-02 18:00 |
| Wavy-Stonework 0x4d5f…ddf5 | Yes | +318 | $16 | $26 | 2 | 06-11 18:23 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +305 | $12 | $12 | 6 | 06-30 22:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a31…dd3d | No | +300 | $287 | $947 | 18 | 07-01 16:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdbd…9a73 | No | +300 | $288 | $870 | 10 | 07-03 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x59b2…a9ac | No | +300 | $290 | $290 | 4 | 07-01 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xddd1…02b9 | No | +300 | $289 | $289 | 3 | 06-23 19:15 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +295 | $279 | $691 | 12 | 06-28 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +254 | $-12 | $212 | 54 | 06-30 16:28 |
| Distorted-Dude 0xe36f…cd91 | No | +224 | $208 | $208 | 5 | 06-03 11:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x7820…fa12 | No | +203 | $197 | $197 | 1 | 07-02 03:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xb20e…867d | No | +200 | $190 | $962 | 7 | 07-02 02:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7b9…6be2 | No | +200 | $194 | $194 | 1 | 07-03 12:57 |
| Willing-Rainy 0x09ae…004e | Yes | +200 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 06-18 05:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x488f…16f7 | No | +200 | $194 | $253 | 4 | 07-01 16:38 |
| Soggy-Hazel 0x75d1…c4d0 | No | +200 | $194 | $194 | 2 | 06-12 23:53 |
| Pungent-Leader 0x9739…159f | Yes | +182 | $9 | $9 | 6 | 06-05 05:07 |
| Motherly-Gallon 0xd557…8175 | Yes | +180 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-04 00:33 |
| Pesky-Cummerbund 0xdea1…3d9f | Yes | +167 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-05 16:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x2710…03cb | No | +150 | $144 | $629 | 8 | 07-01 16:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x9921…0082 | Yes | +143 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 13:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | +132 | $126 | $632 | 11 | 07-06 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf81b…048f | No | +131 | $126 | $941 | 19 | 07-01 15:34 |
| Whole-Study-Originality 0xfb75…d717 | Yes | +126 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-30 15:09 |
| Fortunate-Vine 0x3f73…3cc3 | Yes | +120 | $1 | $17 | 9 | 07-01 11:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x0944…010f | No | +118 | $113 | $113 | 3 | 06-18 13:29 |
| Failing-Appearance 0x5415…2159 | Yes | +116 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-01 19:10 |
| Worried-Burden 0xe6d1…b57b | Yes | +110 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-29 13:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x4760…936f | Yes | +108 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 17:09 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +106 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x35fd…27cc | Yes | +100 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-28 04:39 |
| Physical-Ligand 0x9b74…4f15 | Yes | +94 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-02 02:49 |
| Quick-Witted-Passenger 0x7089…7351 | Yes | +74 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-01 20:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 17:02:52 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xdbb1ce… |
| 07-10 17:02:52 | Meager-Administration 0x6663…bb78 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xdbb1ce… |
| 07-10 11:26:32 | Melodic-Salary 0xc04a…8046 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xfee82e… |
| 07-10 11:26:32 | Stunning-Cyclone 0xaa5b…aa78 | No | BUY | 77 | 97¢ | $75 | 0xfee82e… |
| 07-10 09:58:13 | Meager-Administration 0x6663…bb78 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xd1ef92… |
| 07-10 09:58:13 | Melodic-Salary 0xc04a…8046 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd1ef92… |
| 07-10 06:49:56 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x3435e1… |
| 07-10 06:49:56 | Trained-Programming 0xae2a…8bfd | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x3435e1… |
| 07-10 02:47:35 | Trained-Programming 0xae2a…8bfd | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xf21727… |
| 07-10 02:47:35 | Melodic-Salary 0xc04a…8046 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf21727… |
| 07-10 01:41:40 | Untried-Prostacyclin 0x239b…3998 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf0e739… |
| 07-10 01:41:40 | Melodic-Salary 0xc04a…8046 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf0e739… |
| 07-09 22:02:22 | Sturdy-Mortise 0x6c28…97c7 | No | SELL | 53 | 97¢ | $52 | 0x5151f7… |
| 07-09 22:02:22 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 53 | 97¢ | $52 | 0x5151f7… |
| 07-09 19:26:08 | (anonymous) 0x8b8b…e980 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x95cd06… |
| 07-09 19:26:08 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x95cd06… |
| 07-09 17:57:25 | Sturdy-Mortise 0x6c28…97c7 | No | BUY | 53 | 97¢ | $52 | 0xe1e4f4… |
| 07-09 17:57:25 | Melodic-Salary 0xc04a…8046 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xe1e4f4… |
| 07-09 16:43:07 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 29 | 97¢ | $28 | 0x0d5fc4… |
| 07-09 16:43:07 | Identical-Inverse 0x5c98…a58b | No | SELL | 29 | 97¢ | $28 | 0x0d5fc4… |
| 07-09 12:25:46 | (anonymous) 0x8b8b…e980 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x9300f4… |
| 07-09 12:25:46 | Melodic-Salary 0xc04a…8046 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9300f4… |
| 07-09 09:17:37 | Shameful-Id 0x26fc…53e4 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x024bce… |
| 07-09 09:17:37 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x024bce… |
| 07-09 08:00:56 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 53 | 97¢ | $51 | 0xb79462… |
| 07-09 08:00:56 | Plush-Representation 0x4ba6…4f07 | No | SELL | 53 | 97¢ | $51 | 0xb79462… |
| 07-09 03:58:11 | Melodic-Salary 0xc04a…8046 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x5e8234… |
| 07-09 03:58:11 | Plush-Representation 0x4ba6…4f07 | No | BUY | 53 | 97¢ | $51 | 0x5e8234… |
| 07-09 01:08:16 | Delicious-Leader 0x79d2…61ce | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x448559… |
| 07-09 01:08:16 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x448559… |
| 07-08 20:57:46 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 600 | 97¢ | $580 | 0x4b7812… |
| 07-08 20:57:46 | Junior-Bee 0xa39f…01c8 | No | SELL | 600 | 97¢ | $580 | 0x4b7812… |
| 07-08 16:09:46 | Pretty-Bribery 0xf2d8…3e34 | No | SELL | 54 | 97¢ | $52 | 0xd99d2d… |
| 07-08 16:09:46 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 54 | 97¢ | $52 | 0xd99d2d… |
| 07-08 11:07:35 | Melodic-Salary 0xc04a…8046 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xd778cb… |
| 07-08 11:07:35 | Pretty-Bribery 0xf2d8…3e34 | No | BUY | 54 | 97¢ | $52 | 0xd778cb… |
| 07-07 17:26:05 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 960 | 97¢ | $928 | 0x33f94f… |
| 07-07 17:26:05 | Trim-Human 0x1f85…a51b | No | SELL | 960 | 97¢ | $928 | 0x33f94f… |
| 07-07 12:58:07 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x9b2c6e… |
| 07-07 12:58:07 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x9b2c6e… |
| 07-06 14:41:52 | (anonymous) 0x5215…bf8b | No | BUY | 37 | 97¢ | $36 | 0x240bdf… |
| 07-06 14:41:52 | (anonymous) 0x9c0c…d6ed | No | SELL | 1,500 | 97¢ | $1,451 | 0x240bdf… |
| 07-06 14:41:52 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 463 | 97¢ | $447 | 0x240bdf… |
| 07-06 13:31:46 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf3c99e… |
| 07-06 13:31:46 | (anonymous) 0x5215…bf8b | No | BUY | 19 | 97¢ | $18 | 0xf3c99e… |
| 07-06 13:31:46 | Sparkling-Ladle 0x8c48…d40e | No | SELL | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0xf3c99e… |
| 07-06 13:25:14 | (anonymous) 0xb017…fb2d | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xfb8014… |
| 07-06 13:25:14 | (anonymous) 0x3cf0…c7e9 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xfb8014… |
| 07-06 12:47:29 | (anonymous) 0xe6d2…b154 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xe09db8… |
| 07-06 12:47:29 | (anonymous) 0xb017…fb2d | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xe09db8… |
| 07-06 12:46:37 | Trim-Pumpkinseed-Profit 0x8b33…b817 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x83ca0d… |
| 07-06 12:46:37 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x83ca0d… |
| 07-06 12:23:55 | (anonymous) 0xf613…778e | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xec4663… |
| 07-06 12:23:55 | (anonymous) 0xb017…fb2d | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xec4663… |
| 07-06 12:12:32 | (anonymous) 0xb017…fb2d | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xaeb6c8… |
| 07-06 12:12:32 | (anonymous) 0xd521…0eb4 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xaeb6c8… |
| 07-06 12:09:58 | (anonymous) 0xb017…fb2d | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xe7bfb7… |
| 07-06 12:09:58 | (anonymous) 0x7874…dafd | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xe7bfb7… |
| 07-06 11:25:02 | (anonymous) 0x065a…118d | No | SELL | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0x7b6612… |
| 07-06 11:25:02 | (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | BUY | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0x7b6612… |
| 07-06 10:44:44 | (anonymous) 0x21d1…2476 | No | SELL | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x3bc141… |
| 07-06 10:44:44 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3bc141… |
| 07-06 10:44:44 | (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x3bc141… |
| 07-06 08:26:35 | (anonymous) 0xb017…fb2d | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x839f70… |
| 07-06 08:26:35 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0x839f70… |
| 07-06 08:26:35 | Sparkling-Ladle 0x8c48…d40e | No | BUY | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0x839f70… |
| 07-06 07:22:52 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0x464997… |
| 07-06 07:22:52 | (anonymous) 0x065a…118d | No | BUY | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0x464997… |
| 07-06 05:46:07 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xcb9eb2… |
| 07-06 05:46:07 | Trim-Pumpkinseed-Profit 0x8b33…b817 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xcb9eb2… |
| 07-06 02:43:14 | (anonymous) 0x21d1…2476 | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0xed2047… |
| 07-06 02:43:14 | Whimsical-Cope 0x7e06…18bc | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xed2047… |
| 07-06 02:43:14 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xed2047… |
| 07-05 16:34:29 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | Yes | SELL | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x552fdf… |
| 07-05 16:34:29 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x552fdf… |
| 07-05 16:34:29 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x552fdf… |
| 07-05 16:34:29 | Untrue-Kill 0x3363…f9ca | No | SELL | 38 | 97¢ | $37 | 0x552fdf… |
| 07-05 10:33:25 | Untrue-Kill 0x3363…f9ca | No | BUY | 38 | 97¢ | $37 | 0xec4b9a… |
| 07-05 10:33:25 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 38 | 97¢ | $37 | 0xec4b9a… |
| 07-04 18:55:49 | Dangerous-Sphynx 0xb95e…dc45 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x5e3b2c… |
| 07-04 18:55:49 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5e3b2c… |
| 07-04 14:18:32 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | BUY | 1,569 | 97¢ | $1,521 | 0xb8e2ce… |
| 07-04 14:18:32 | (anonymous) 0x1fde…b559 | No | SELL | 57 | 97¢ | $55 | 0xb8e2ce… |
| 07-04 14:18:32 | Murky-Overview 0xcc00…0115 | Yes | BUY | 415 | 3¢ | $13 | 0xb8e2ce… |
| 07-04 14:18:32 | Necessary-Scope 0x9d99…4439 | No | SELL | 97 | 97¢ | $94 | 0xb8e2ce… |
| 07-04 14:18:32 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 97¢ | $969 | 0xb8e2ce… |
| 07-04 12:55:28 | Murky-Overview 0xcc00…0115 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdedf26… |
| 07-04 12:55:28 | Dangerous-Sphynx 0xb95e…dc45 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xdedf26… |
| 07-04 12:12:47 | (anonymous) 0xc409…4d2a | Yes | SELL | 300 | 3¢ | $9 | 0x7ea3d2… |
| 07-04 12:12:47 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7ea3d2… |
| 07-04 12:12:47 | (anonymous) 0xfccf…12e0 | No | SELL | 51 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x7ea3d2… |
| 07-04 12:12:47 | Murky-Overview 0xcc00…0115 | Yes | BUY | 218 | 3¢ | $7 | 0x7ea3d2… |
| 07-03 20:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | Yes | SELL | 42 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4e3c1e… |
| 07-03 20:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4e3c1e… |
| 07-03 20:16:43 | Apprehensive-Genius 0x8a90…b9be | No | SELL | 48 | 97¢ | $47 | 0x4e3c1e… |
| 07-03 17:43:28 | (anonymous) 0xa305…dd13 | No | SELL | 34 | 97¢ | $33 | 0xc379ce… |
| 07-03 17:43:28 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc379ce… |
| 07-03 15:06:19 | (anonymous) 0xbbc0…ca0c | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x69d5fa… |
| 07-03 15:06:19 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x69d5fa… |
| 07-03 13:41:58 | (anonymous) 0xa305…dd13 | No | BUY | 34 | 97¢ | $33 | 0x01322d… |