Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$40,662
$1,526 in 24h
Trades
767
Unique wallets
248
Liquidity
$67,367
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-19 12:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+3.8¢
(top1%: 8% YES on $1.8K
vs crowd: 4% YES on $23.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $149 | $4.1K | $4.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 14 | $237 | $3.2K | $3.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 106 | $129 | $11.4K | $11.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 114 | $399 | $3.6K | $3.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $136 | $1.6K | $1.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $86 | $2.1K | $2.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $10 | $10 | +$0 |
| Median | 22 | $22 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
| Below median | 86 | $49 | $5.4K | $5.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 13 | $143 | $842 | $699 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 18 | $164 | $2.6K | $2.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $104 | $539 | $435 |
| unranked | 85 | $200 | $7.4K | $7.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closed-Abundance 0x199f…b36a | Yes | +1,667 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-03 15:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +1,500 | $50 | $150 | 51 | 06-17 05:31 |
| Melodic-Salary 0xc04a…8046 | Yes | +1,416 | $63 | $129 | 16 | 06-16 02:57 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,288 | $46 | $196 | 27 | 06-12 23:53 |
| Total-Final 0xb071…15cb | No | +1,042 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-08 01:50 |
| Unwieldy-Stamp 0x506b…b0fe | Yes | +1,000 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-01 12:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbb1…2f98 | No | +742 | $712 | $712 | 1 | 06-10 02:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | +740 | $703 | $703 | 4 | 06-05 15:07 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | +730 | $694 | $694 | 4 | 06-18 22:58 |
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +690 | $655 | $655 | 13 | 06-10 03:00 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +684 | $623 | $2,731 | 12 | 06-14 21:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xd7f2…d2e0 | Yes | +630 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-18 22:58 |
| Puny-Husband 0x7e47…ecf7 | Yes | +629 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-15 16:25 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +501 | $473 | $3,158 | 46 | 06-19 11:45 |
| Inconsequential-Peanut 0xfa28…bf30 | No | +435 | $408 | $408 | 1 | 06-02 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x2468…4826 | Yes | +433 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 06-06 19:32 |
| Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | +380 | $14 | $14 | 8 | 06-14 21:27 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | Yes | +375 | $15 | $15 | 6 | 06-18 20:23 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +367 | $349 | $349 | 1 | 06-05 16:01 |
| Frail-Bonding 0xcf59…43df | Yes | +333 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-02 18:00 |
| Icy-Right 0x0f5b…6846 | No | +323 | $309 | $843 | 5 | 06-14 00:50 |
| Wavy-Stonework 0x4d5f…ddf5 | Yes | +318 | $16 | $26 | 2 | 06-11 18:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdbd…9a73 | No | +300 | $288 | $288 | 3 | 06-18 22:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x1846…aefe | No | +300 | $288 | $288 | 4 | 06-19 11:45 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +250 | $238 | $238 | 1 | 06-16 02:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fa8…06c4 | No | +250 | $235 | $718 | 10 | 06-16 12:56 |
| Distorted-Dude 0xe36f…cd91 | No | +224 | $208 | $208 | 5 | 06-03 11:23 |
| Offbeat-Sisterinlaw 0xc0cd…0aa9 | No | +216 | $205 | $205 | 1 | 06-06 19:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xea13…8b60 | No | +200 | $192 | $192 | 1 | 06-19 11:45 |
| Willing-Rainy 0x09ae…004e | Yes | +200 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 06-18 05:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xee1a…e579 | No | +200 | $190 | $475 | 4 | 06-18 18:24 |
| Soggy-Hazel 0x75d1…c4d0 | No | +200 | $194 | $194 | 2 | 06-12 23:53 |
| Pungent-Leader 0x9739…159f | Yes | +182 | $9 | $9 | 6 | 06-05 05:07 |
| Motherly-Gallon 0xd557…8175 | Yes | +180 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-04 00:33 |
| Pesky-Cummerbund 0xdea1…3d9f | Yes | +167 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-05 16:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xddd1…02b9 | No | +150 | $146 | $146 | 1 | 06-12 23:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x2710…03cb | No | +150 | $144 | $144 | 2 | 06-18 19:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x9921…0082 | Yes | +143 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 13:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xf81b…048f | No | +131 | $126 | $387 | 12 | 06-19 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x0944…010f | No | +118 | $113 | $113 | 3 | 06-18 13:29 |
| Failing-Appearance 0x5415…2159 | Yes | +116 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-01 19:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x4760…936f | Yes | +108 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 17:09 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +106 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 23:41 |
| Idle-Privilege 0x5b7b…8552 | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-04 02:50 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +100 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-16 02:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x35fd…27cc | Yes | +100 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-28 04:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b64…7ffd | No | +98 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 06-17 15:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…379b | No | +94 | $91 | $91 | 3 | 06-18 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xa38a…3b2f | No | +94 | $83 | $938 | 17 | 06-10 02:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | +89 | $86 | $106 | 2 | 06-18 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3e1f…36f1 | Yes | +73 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-12 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x6af4…34aa | No | +66 | $63 | $63 | 2 | 06-18 17:09 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +60 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 00:24 |
| Sneaky-Chair 0x040d…1a5e | Yes | +56 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-10 12:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 06-12 23:29 |
| Fortunate-Vine 0x3f73…3cc3 | Yes | +48 | $-1 | $15 | 6 | 06-19 12:08 |
| Quick-Witted-Passenger 0x7089…7351 | Yes | +43 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-01 13:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 12:08:02 | Fortunate-Vine 0x3f73…3cc3 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x357a38… |
| 06-19 12:08:02 | (anonymous) 0x82f1…7467 | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x357a38… |
| 06-19 12:05:52 | Fortunate-Vine 0x3f73…3cc3 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x631914… |
| 06-19 12:05:52 | Messy-Formamide 0xc7b8…4769 | No | BUY | 36 | 96¢ | $35 | 0x631914… |
| 06-19 11:45:02 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 247 | 96¢ | $237 | 0xbb8388… |
| 06-19 11:45:02 | (anonymous) 0xea13…8b60 | No | BUY | 200 | 96¢ | $192 | 0xbb8388… |
| 06-19 11:45:02 | (anonymous) 0x1846…aefe | No | BUY | 47 | 96¢ | $45 | 0xbb8388… |
| 06-19 11:31:38 | (anonymous) 0x1846…aefe | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x7cdc4f… |
| 06-19 11:31:38 | Generous-Virtue 0x75f1…5dab | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x7cdc4f… |
| 06-19 08:21:02 | (anonymous) 0x1846…aefe | No | BUY | 43 | 96¢ | $41 | 0x89159a… |
| 06-19 08:21:02 | Fair-Meantime 0xd7ca…ca95 | No | SELL | 43 | 96¢ | $41 | 0x89159a… |
| 06-19 06:29:29 | Generous-Virtue 0x75f1…5dab | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x7dd15d… |
| 06-19 06:29:29 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x7dd15d… |
| 06-19 02:14:43 | Fair-Meantime 0xd7ca…ca95 | No | BUY | 43 | 96¢ | $41 | 0x165160… |
| 06-19 02:14:43 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 43 | 96¢ | $41 | 0x165160… |
| 06-19 00:29:08 | Ajar-Wont 0x3e0d…185c | No | SELL | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x8f0922… |
| 06-19 00:29:08 | (anonymous) 0xf81b…048f | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x8f0922… |
| 06-19 00:29:08 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x8f0922… |
| 06-18 22:58:47 | Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | BUY | 375 | 96¢ | $360 | 0x4b1a6a… |
| 06-18 22:58:47 | (anonymous) 0xfdbd…9a73 | No | BUY | 150 | 96¢ | $144 | 0x4b1a6a… |
| 06-18 22:58:47 | (anonymous) 0xf81b…048f | No | BUY | 105 | 96¢ | $101 | 0x4b1a6a… |
| 06-18 22:58:47 | (anonymous) 0xd7f2…d2e0 | Yes | BUY | 630 | 4¢ | $25 | 0x4b1a6a… |
| 06-18 20:23:47 | Ajar-Wont 0x3e0d…185c | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xa5447a… |
| 06-18 20:23:47 | Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | Yes | BUY | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa5447a… |
| 06-18 19:43:31 | Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x40d6c7… |
| 06-18 19:43:31 | (anonymous) 0xd380…0700 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x40d6c7… |
| 06-18 19:13:05 | Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x4bcad7… |
| 06-18 19:13:05 | (anonymous) 0x2710…03cb | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x4bcad7… |
| 06-18 18:24:19 | Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xab1696… |
| 06-18 18:24:19 | (anonymous) 0xee1a…e579 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xab1696… |
| 06-18 18:14:01 | Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x2c2234… |
| 06-18 18:14:01 | (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x2c2234… |
| 06-18 18:02:55 | Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | Yes | BUY | 150 | 4¢ | $6 | 0xf84910… |
| 06-18 18:02:55 | (anonymous) 0xee1a…e579 | No | BUY | 150 | 96¢ | $144 | 0xf84910… |
| 06-18 18:00:20 | (anonymous) 0x52e4…2168 | No | SELL | 51 | 96¢ | $49 | 0x1c121e… |
| 06-18 18:00:20 | Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | No | BUY | 51 | 96¢ | $49 | 0x1c121e… |
| 06-18 17:09:56 | (anonymous) 0xf81b…048f | No | BUY | 86 | 95¢ | $82 | 0x6a0c6b… |
| 06-18 17:09:56 | (anonymous) 0x6af4…34aa | No | BUY | 22 | 95¢ | $21 | 0x6a0c6b… |
| 06-18 17:09:56 | (anonymous) 0x4760…936f | Yes | BUY | 108 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x6a0c6b… |
| 06-18 16:22:22 | Gray-Use 0xf13a…105b | No | SELL | 44 | 95¢ | $42 | 0x870a67… |
| 06-18 16:22:22 | (anonymous) 0x6af4…34aa | No | BUY | 44 | 95¢ | $42 | 0x870a67… |
| 06-18 13:29:49 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 93 | 96¢ | $89 | 0x744e3f… |
| 06-18 13:29:49 | (anonymous) 0x0944…010f | No | BUY | 47 | 96¢ | $45 | 0x744e3f… |
| 06-18 13:29:49 | (anonymous) 0x39c6…67ea | No | BUY | 46 | 96¢ | $44 | 0x744e3f… |
| 06-18 13:05:07 | (anonymous) 0x34bc…5c44 | No | BUY | 46 | 96¢ | $44 | 0x52b6a9… |
| 06-18 13:05:07 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 46 | 96¢ | $44 | 0x52b6a9… |
| 06-18 10:41:35 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x18b02d… |
| 06-18 10:41:35 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x18b02d… |
| 06-18 09:36:32 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 145 | 96¢ | $139 | 0xa246ba… |
| 06-18 09:36:32 | (anonymous) 0x0608…ff08 | Yes | SELL | 145 | 4¢ | $6 | 0xa246ba… |
| 06-18 08:22:05 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 44 | 96¢ | $42 | 0xaeaf79… |
| 06-18 08:22:05 | Gray-Use 0xf13a…105b | No | BUY | 44 | 96¢ | $42 | 0xaeaf79… |
| 06-18 08:15:38 | (anonymous) 0x34bc…5c44 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x840929… |
| 06-18 08:15:38 | (anonymous) 0x7e33…fe0b | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x840929… |
| 06-18 08:14:22 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb9c3a5… |
| 06-18 08:14:22 | (anonymous) 0x7e33…fe0b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb9c3a5… |
| 06-18 08:07:47 | (anonymous) 0x7e33…fe0b | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd34ddc… |
| 06-18 08:07:47 | (anonymous) 0x34bc…5c44 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd34ddc… |
| 06-18 08:06:53 | (anonymous) 0x7e33…fe0b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xfca91a… |
| 06-18 08:06:53 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xfca91a… |
| 06-18 07:49:59 | Agonizing-Dancer 0xb900…4d10 | No | SELL | 62 | 96¢ | $60 | 0x9824dd… |
| 06-18 07:49:59 | (anonymous) 0x0944…010f | No | BUY | 62 | 96¢ | $60 | 0x9824dd… |
| 06-18 06:40:01 | Wooden-Vet 0x8209…62b6 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x403a47… |
| 06-18 06:40:01 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x403a47… |
| 06-18 05:26:46 | Mature-Charge 0x9ee0…1006 | Yes | SELL | 278 | 4¢ | $11 | 0xc74c5c… |
| 06-18 05:26:46 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 96 | 96¢ | $92 | 0xc74c5c… |
| 06-18 05:26:46 | Willing-Rainy 0x09ae…004e | Yes | BUY | 182 | 4¢ | $7 | 0xc74c5c… |
| 06-18 04:38:20 | (anonymous) 0xac00…b58d | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0bca44… |
| 06-18 04:38:20 | Willing-Rainy 0x09ae…004e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0bca44… |
| 06-18 00:52:02 | Mature-Charge 0x9ee0…1006 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x7fb69c… |
| 06-18 00:52:02 | (anonymous) 0x1690…379b | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $39 | 0x7fb69c… |
| 06-18 00:52:02 | (anonymous) 0x0944…010f | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x7fb69c… |
| 06-18 00:48:11 | (anonymous) 0x4573…0c60 | No | SELL | 45 | 96¢ | $43 | 0x714d84… |
| 06-18 00:48:11 | Agonizing-Dancer 0xb900…4d10 | No | BUY | 62 | 96¢ | $60 | 0x714d84… |
| 06-18 00:48:11 | Willing-Rainy 0x09ae…004e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x714d84… |
| 06-17 22:31:58 | Forceful-Lumber 0x9a17…e2ff | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc9a0e9… |
| 06-17 22:31:58 | (anonymous) 0x1690…379b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc9a0e9… |
| 06-17 15:04:05 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x305674… |
| 06-17 15:04:05 | (anonymous) 0x8b64…7ffd | No | BUY | 98 | 96¢ | $94 | 0x305674… |
| 06-17 15:04:05 | (anonymous) 0x1690…379b | No | BUY | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0x305674… |
| 06-17 15:04:05 | (anonymous) 0x9dae…0907 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x305674… |
| 06-17 15:04:05 | Modern-Airplane 0x4578…8d09 | No | BUY | 42 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x305674… |
| 06-17 15:04:05 | Mature-Charge 0x9ee0…1006 | Yes | BUY | 248 | 4¢ | $10 | 0x305674… |
| 06-17 14:28:20 | Forceful-Lumber 0x9a17…e2ff | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x651b41… |
| 06-17 14:28:20 | (anonymous) 0x4573…0c60 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x651b41… |
| 06-17 11:36:31 | (anonymous) 0x696d…fae5 | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0xbb972d… |
| 06-17 11:36:31 | Venerated-Manipulation 0xc542…3b92 | No | SELL | 57 | 96¢ | $54 | 0xbb972d… |
| 06-17 11:36:31 | (anonymous) 0x9dae…0907 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xbb972d… |
| 06-17 07:56:41 | (anonymous) 0x9dae…0907 | No | BUY | 45 | 96¢ | $43 | 0xaceee2… |
| 06-17 07:56:41 | Energetic-Fail 0x4021…665a | No | SELL | 45 | 96¢ | $43 | 0xaceee2… |
| 06-17 05:31:02 | Paltry-Dwell 0x7ba9…a592 | No | SELL | 60 | 95¢ | $57 | 0x93019e… |
| 06-17 05:31:02 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x93019e… |
| 06-17 05:31:02 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | SELL | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x93019e… |
| 06-17 03:33:36 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x3aca4c… |
| 06-17 03:33:36 | Venerated-Manipulation 0xc542…3b92 | No | BUY | 57 | 96¢ | $54 | 0x3aca4c… |
| 06-17 00:57:52 | Cute-Tatami 0x9517…fa34 | No | SELL | 65 | 95¢ | $62 | 0x142273… |
| 06-17 00:57:52 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 65 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x142273… |
| 06-17 00:56:08 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xb3dbaf… |
| 06-17 00:56:08 | Energetic-Fail 0x4021…665a | No | BUY | 45 | 96¢ | $43 | 0xb3dbaf… |
| 06-17 00:24:13 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 60 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x7d229e… |