Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$132,851
$1,526 in 24h
Trades
2,189
Unique wallets
520
Liquidity
$67,367
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-03 06:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.2¢
(top1%: 7% YES on $2.6K
vs crowd: 2% YES on $70.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 24 | $237 | $13.0K | $12.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 36 | $446 | $24.7K | $24.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 178 | $244 | $24.5K | $24.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 282 | $840 | $6.6K | $5.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $177 | $2.5K | $2.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 17 | $109 | $6.7K | $6.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $15 | $767 | $752 |
| Median | 74 | $30 | $6.2K | $6.2K |
| Below median | 165 | $81 | $16.3K | $16.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 17 | $192 | $2.7K | $2.5K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 26 | $322 | $4.8K | $4.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $104 | $2.0K | $1.9K |
| unranked | 196 | $736 | $27.0K | $26.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +8,350 | $8,043 | $11,411 | 35 | 07-04 14:18 |
| Plush-Robotics 0xe7ef…b402 | No | +5,158 | $5,000 | $5,000 | 1 | 07-01 07:21 |
| Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | +3,788 | $3,637 | $3,637 | 11 | 06-30 16:28 |
| Murky-Overview 0xcc00…0115 | Yes | +3,230 | $100 | $100 | 22 | 07-04 14:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xe144…fa7c | Yes | +3,066 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-21 21:59 |
| Melodic-Salary 0xc04a…8046 | Yes | +3,001 | $107 | $174 | 34 | 08-03 03:40 |
| Dim-Underwriting 0x91e5…0947 | Yes | +3,000 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 07-10 23:50 |
| Heavenly-Cassava 0x753c…e3ad | No | +2,065 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 2 | 07-12 04:28 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +1,684 | $1,583 | $3,691 | 13 | 06-29 01:06 |
| Closed-Abundance 0x199f…b36a | Yes | +1,667 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-03 15:07 |
| Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | +1,554 | $36 | $154 | 7 | 07-15 21:44 |
| Pleased-Snowplow 0x47b3…039c | No | +1,432 | $1,389 | $1,389 | 1 | 07-14 12:07 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,138 | $38 | $217 | 49 | 07-28 18:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e6c…e358 | No | +1,028 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 07-30 17:28 |
| Unwieldy-Stamp 0x506b…b0fe | Yes | +1,000 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-01 12:06 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | Yes | +940 | $38 | $38 | 11 | 06-22 21:51 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +923 | $879 | $12,123 | 100 | 08-02 02:28 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | +920 | $875 | $1,599 | 13 | 06-30 14:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | +840 | $799 | $799 | 5 | 06-28 13:31 |
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +690 | $655 | $655 | 13 | 06-10 03:00 |
| Puny-Husband 0x7e47…ecf7 | Yes | +629 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-15 16:25 |
| Edible-Midcourse 0x3e92…978e | Yes | +588 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 07-16 22:51 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +544 | $522 | $522 | 6 | 06-20 15:38 |
| Avaricious-Summary 0x363c…9b0e | Yes | +456 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-29 15:29 |
| Inconsequential-Peanut 0xfa28…bf30 | No | +435 | $408 | $408 | 1 | 06-02 00:13 |
| Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | +434 | $16 | $16 | 9 | 06-23 03:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x2468…4826 | Yes | +433 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 06-06 19:32 |
| Icy-Right 0x0f5b…6846 | No | +420 | $401 | $1,630 | 11 | 06-30 22:54 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +367 | $349 | $349 | 1 | 06-05 16:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x04db…c253 | Yes | +322 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-21 06:33 |
| Wavy-Stonework 0x4d5f…ddf5 | Yes | +318 | $16 | $26 | 2 | 06-11 18:23 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +313 | $296 | $708 | 13 | 07-31 09:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a31…dd3d | No | +300 | $287 | $947 | 18 | 07-01 16:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdbd…9a73 | No | +300 | $288 | $870 | 10 | 07-03 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xddd1…02b9 | No | +300 | $289 | $289 | 3 | 06-23 19:15 |
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | +296 | $287 | $287 | 2 | 08-02 02:28 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +280 | $11 | $13 | 7 | 07-21 06:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +254 | $-12 | $212 | 54 | 06-30 16:28 |
| Distorted-Dude 0xe36f…cd91 | No | +224 | $208 | $208 | 5 | 06-03 11:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x7820…fa12 | No | +203 | $197 | $197 | 1 | 07-02 03:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x59b2…a9ac | No | +200 | $191 | $777 | 9 | 07-22 15:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x0aec…80f6 | No | +200 | $194 | $194 | 1 | 07-21 15:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7b9…6be2 | No | +200 | $194 | $194 | 1 | 07-03 12:57 |
| Willing-Rainy 0x09ae…004e | Yes | +200 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 06-18 05:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xb20e…867d | No | +200 | $189 | $1,352 | 14 | 07-16 22:51 |
| Upset-Raincoat 0xff01…b5db | No | +200 | $192 | $580 | 8 | 07-15 21:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x488f…16f7 | No | +200 | $194 | $253 | 4 | 07-01 16:38 |
| Soggy-Hazel 0x75d1…c4d0 | No | +200 | $194 | $194 | 2 | 06-12 23:53 |
| Pungent-Leader 0x9739…159f | Yes | +182 | $9 | $9 | 6 | 06-05 05:07 |
| Pesky-Cummerbund 0xdea1…3d9f | Yes | +167 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-05 16:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ed2…b281 | No | +160 | $155 | $155 | 1 | 07-12 10:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x9921…0082 | Yes | +143 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 13:36 |
| Reasonable-Vest 0x5fb5…2209 | Yes | +121 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-23 07:29 |
| Fortunate-Vine 0x3f73…3cc3 | Yes | +120 | $1 | $17 | 9 | 07-01 11:47 |
| Worried-Burden 0xe6d1…b57b | Yes | +110 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-29 13:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x4760…936f | Yes | +108 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 17:09 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +106 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 23:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:35:57 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x8955bf… |
| 08-03 06:35:57 | Fortunate-Orchestra 0x1f06…5fdc | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x8955bf… |
| 08-03 03:40:48 | Melodic-Salary 0xc04a…8046 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8ea231… |
| 08-03 03:40:48 | (anonymous) 0x34e1…90ad | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x8ea231… |
| 08-03 01:35:05 | Fortunate-Orchestra 0x1f06…5fdc | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x0c5075… |
| 08-03 01:35:05 | Melodic-Salary 0xc04a…8046 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0c5075… |
| 08-02 04:59:33 | (anonymous) 0x206b…80c2 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7c2f8f… |
| 08-02 04:59:33 | (anonymous) 0x21c3…5654 | No | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $14 | 0x7c2f8f… |
| 08-02 04:59:33 | Melodic-Salary 0xc04a…8046 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7c2f8f… |
| 08-02 02:32:38 | (anonymous) 0x21c3…5654 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xbe5848… |
| 08-02 02:32:38 | (anonymous) 0xa1ab…bee9 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbe5848… |
| 08-02 02:28:29 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 46 | 97¢ | $45 | 0xdcdfe8… |
| 08-02 02:28:29 | (anonymous) 0x957d…72b9 | No | SELL | 46 | 97¢ | $45 | 0xdcdfe8… |
| 08-02 02:28:20 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 250 | 97¢ | $242 | 0x483ee2… |
| 08-02 02:28:20 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 250 | 97¢ | $242 | 0x483ee2… |
| 08-01 18:19:08 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x146c53… |
| 08-01 18:19:08 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x146c53… |
| 08-01 07:29:17 | Fresh-Anarchist 0x8f14…1e77 | No | BUY | 87 | 97¢ | $84 | 0xbe1abb… |
| 08-01 07:29:17 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 87 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xbe1abb… |
| 07-31 19:51:24 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x671d3f… |
| 07-31 19:51:24 | (anonymous) 0x79aa…5808 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x671d3f… |
| 07-31 19:20:42 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x5a54b7… |
| 07-31 19:20:42 | Prudent-Dealing 0x41e3…256e | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x5a54b7… |
| 07-31 18:13:44 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x064ae7… |
| 07-31 18:13:44 | (anonymous) 0xbe7e…4034 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x064ae7… |
| 07-31 17:30:30 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9e24e7… |
| 07-31 17:30:30 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x9e24e7… |
| 07-31 13:19:30 | Prudent-Dealing 0x41e3…256e | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xb11765… |
| 07-31 13:19:30 | (anonymous) 0x957d…72b9 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xb11765… |
| 07-31 12:09:33 | (anonymous) 0x21c3…5654 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x91683e… |
| 07-31 12:09:33 | (anonymous) 0xbe7e…4034 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x91683e… |
| 07-31 09:12:26 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe2feb0… |
| 07-31 09:12:26 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 177 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xe2feb0… |
| 07-31 09:12:26 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xe2feb0… |
| 07-31 09:12:26 | (anonymous) 0x9c0c…d6ed | No | SELL | 450 | 97¢ | $438 | 0xe2feb0… |
| 07-31 09:12:26 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | BUY | 17 | 96¢ | $17 | 0xe2feb0… |
| 07-31 09:12:26 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xe2feb0… |
| 07-31 06:04:56 | (anonymous) 0x4fae…1ab6 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb95e56… |
| 07-31 06:04:56 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb95e56… |
| 07-31 01:19:08 | (anonymous) 0x831e…a220 | No | SELL | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0xa7357a… |
| 07-31 01:19:08 | (anonymous) 0xc504…7a4c | Yes | SELL | 400 | 2¢ | $9 | 0xa7357a… |
| 07-31 01:19:08 | Melodic-Salary 0xc04a…8046 | Yes | BUY | 355 | 2¢ | $8 | 0xa7357a… |
| 07-30 22:48:24 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x81604b… |
| 07-30 22:48:24 | (anonymous) 0x831e…a220 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x81604b… |
| 07-30 18:43:56 | (anonymous) 0x1b10…4f30 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x029ef9… |
| 07-30 18:43:56 | Friendly-Cuisine 0x2876…e720 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x029ef9… |
| 07-30 18:43:56 | (anonymous) 0x1b10…4f30 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x029ef9… |
| 07-30 17:55:54 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2bea70… |
| 07-30 17:55:54 | (anonymous) 0x1b10…4f30 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2bea70… |
| 07-30 17:28:06 | (anonymous) 0x27a6…6480 | No | SELL | 61 | 97¢ | $59 | 0x9c847d… |
| 07-30 17:28:06 | (anonymous) 0x6e6c…e358 | No | BUY | 1,028 | 97¢ | $1,000 | 0x9c847d… |
| 07-30 17:28:06 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 90 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x9c847d… |
| 07-30 17:28:06 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x9c847d… |
| 07-30 17:28:06 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x9c847d… |
| 07-30 17:28:06 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 177 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x9c847d… |
| 07-30 13:43:33 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x68a581… |
| 07-30 13:43:33 | Friendly-Cuisine 0x2876…e720 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x68a581… |
| 07-29 15:29:44 | (anonymous) 0xb0a8…4a69 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x4066cc… |
| 07-29 15:29:44 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 250 | 96¢ | $240 | 0x4066cc… |
| 07-29 15:29:44 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 200 | 96¢ | $192 | 0x4066cc… |
| 07-29 15:29:44 | Avaricious-Summary 0x363c…9b0e | Yes | BUY | 456 | 4¢ | $18 | 0x4066cc… |
| 07-29 14:51:05 | (anonymous) 0x9a9e…c6e9 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x6af3f0… |
| 07-29 14:51:05 | (anonymous) 0xf6fc…3db8 | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x6af3f0… |
| 07-29 14:51:05 | (anonymous) 0x6ef8…2a5f | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x6af3f0… |
| 07-29 14:51:05 | (anonymous) 0x9c0c…d6ed | No | SELL | 500 | 96¢ | $482 | 0x6af3f0… |
| 07-29 14:51:05 | (anonymous) 0x32b6…e24a | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x6af3f0… |
| 07-29 14:51:05 | (anonymous) 0x5935…6ff2 | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x6af3f0… |
| 07-29 14:51:05 | (anonymous) 0x747e…7331 | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x6af3f0… |
| 07-29 14:51:05 | (anonymous) 0xb0a8…4a69 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x624911… |
| 07-29 14:51:05 | (anonymous) 0x77ee…3142 | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x6af3f0… |
| 07-29 14:51:05 | (anonymous) 0xb0a8…4a69 | No | BUY | 41 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x6af3f0… |
| 07-29 14:51:05 | (anonymous) 0x77a6…9bb8 | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x6af3f0… |
| 07-29 14:51:05 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x6af3f0… |
| 07-29 14:51:05 | (anonymous) 0xec39…6a5d | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x624911… |
| 07-28 23:03:28 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4322d3… |
| 07-28 23:03:28 | (anonymous) 0xec39…6a5d | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x365836… |
| 07-28 23:03:28 | (anonymous) 0xec39…6a5d | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x4322d3… |
| 07-28 23:03:28 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x365836… |
| 07-28 23:03:26 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x393530… |
| 07-28 23:03:26 | Sardonic-Hellcat 0x0668…15ee | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x393530… |
| 07-28 18:01:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2f537a… |
| 07-28 18:01:52 | Sardonic-Hellcat 0x0668…15ee | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x2f537a… |
| 07-28 11:53:28 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcbe8bf… |
| 07-28 11:53:28 | (anonymous) 0xec39…6a5d | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0xcbe8bf… |
| 07-28 11:53:26 | (anonymous) 0x02d3…c35a | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x37d125… |
| 07-28 11:53:26 | (anonymous) 0xec39…6a5d | No | SELL | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x941be2… |
| 07-28 11:53:26 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x941be2… |
| 07-28 11:53:26 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x37d125… |
| 07-28 11:19:26 | (anonymous) 0xec39…6a5d | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0xf9060c… |
| 07-28 11:19:26 | (anonymous) 0x45d9…32b1 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xff2683… |
| 07-28 11:19:26 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xff2683… |
| 07-28 11:19:26 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x482e96… |
| 07-28 11:19:26 | (anonymous) 0xec39…6a5d | No | SELL | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x482e96… |
| 07-28 11:19:26 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf9060c… |
| 07-28 08:11:27 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x62b722… |
| 07-28 08:11:27 | (anonymous) 0xec39…6a5d | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x62b722… |
| 07-28 08:11:25 | (anonymous) 0xec39…6a5d | No | SELL | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x8ff035… |
| 07-28 08:11:25 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8ff035… |
| 07-28 08:11:13 | Helpless-Temper 0xa419…221a | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x8f3c03… |
| 07-28 08:11:13 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8f3c03… |