Realized P&L
+$250
Unrealized P&L
+$867
Hit rate
84.7%
Resolved
135
Trades
266
lifetime
Volume
$94.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$353
Open exposure
$24.2K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-28 12:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Other
61% 59% +$714
Sports
27% 60% -$502
Crypto
6% 25% -$7
Politics
4% 55% +$8
Tech
3% 75% +$37
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +13,012 $12,300 98¢ $12.7K +$445 08-23 15:14
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +3,939 $3,500 90¢ $3.6K +$65 10-01 05:41
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,065 $2,000 98¢ $2.0K +$33 07-12 04:28
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,030 $900 94¢ $963 +$63 10-16 09:37
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +747 $700 97¢ $722 +$22 07-06 11:24
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +679 $600 92¢ $628 +$28 10-11 13:48
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +586 $505 96¢ $563 +$58 10-08 13:47
Trump out as President before 2027? No +543 $500 96¢ $521 +$21 07-02 15:26
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +509 $500 100¢ $507 +$7 10-11 13:34
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No +517 $500 98¢ $506 +$6 06-12 15:06
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +423 $400 97¢ $412 +$12 07-01 18:03
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +316 $300 98¢ $308 +$8 07-04 17:28
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +238 $100 66¢ $156 +$56 06-21 09:52
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +159 $100 97¢ $154 +$54 07-26 11:20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +112 $100 98¢ $110 +$10 07-03 07:32
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No +106 $100 99¢ $105 +$5 05-07 06:45
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +127 $100 78¢ $99 -$1 10-27 03:29
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? No +54 $50 95¢ $51 +$1 05-30 06:10
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -270 -$40 18¢ $-47 -$7 10-27 03:28
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -15 -$5 82¢ $-12 -$7 08-23 15:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +12 $10 96¢ $12 +$2 04-30 14:14
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +7 $5 100¢ $7 +$2 05-07 06:43
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +49 $20 11¢ $5 -$15 10-08 13:57
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +19 $5 17¢ $3 -$2 04-30 12:04
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -29 -$2 6¢ $-2 +$0 07-13 08:06
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -9 -$2 18¢ $-2 +$1 06-02 06:51