Heavenly-Cassava 0x753c9d…4ce3ad
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Realized P&L
+$13
Unrealized P&L
+$263
Hit rate
2.4%
Resolved
2
Trades
129
lifetime
Volume
$42.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$332
Open exposure
$14.8K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-18 16:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
85% — —
Crypto
9% — —
Politics
5% 50% +$13
Sports
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +8,233 $7,800 96¢ $7.9K +$116 07-08 18:22
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,065 $2,000 97¢ $2.0K $-3 07-12 04:28
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +1,124 $1,000 88¢ $983 $-17 07-12 04:27
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +747 $700 94¢ $704 +$4 07-06 11:24
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +685 $500 90¢ $620 +$120 06-02 06:33
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No +517 $500 97¢ $503 +$3 06-12 15:06
Trump out as President before 2027? No +543 $500 92¢ $503 +$3 07-02 15:26
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +423 $400 96¢ $404 +$4 07-01 18:03
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +342 $300 94¢ $320 +$20 06-06 05:30
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +316 $300 96¢ $302 +$2 07-04 17:28
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +274 $205 81¢ $222 +$17 07-03 07:31
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? No +192 $180 94¢ $179 $-1 07-11 15:53
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +112 $100 92¢ $103 +$3 07-03 07:32
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? No +43 $40 96¢ $41 +$1 05-30 06:10
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes -17 $-16 92¢ $-16 $-0 07-04 16:07
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No -11 $-4 89¢ $-10 $-6 07-18 13:35
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes +45 $5 11¢ $5 $-0 06-02 06:45
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -9 $-2 34¢ $-3 $-1 06-02 06:51
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -29 $-2 10¢ $-3 $-1 07-13 08:06