Realized P&L
+$3.09K
Unrealized P&L
-$92
Hit rate
49.1%
Resolved
18
Trades
92,431
lifetime
Volume
$398.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$6.45K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 06-30 18:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
46% 57% +$4,977
Other
30% 14% $-707
Sports
18% 25% $-1,185
Crypto
4%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2745 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +4,899 $812 16¢ $808 $-4 06-30 03:52
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +2,602 $534 16¢ $429 $-105 06-30 18:51
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +2,902 $378 14¢ $392 +$13 06-30 21:02
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +340 $313 92¢ $311 $-2 06-30 23:00
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,996 $173 $261 +$88 06-30 17:53
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? No +3,632 $132 $254 +$122 06-30 21:09
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +5,037 $252 $234 $-18 06-30 04:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,173 $235 $233 $-2 06-30 13:39
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +3,622 $233 $230 $-3 06-29 18:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +5,425 $269 $225 $-44 06-29 11:25
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,218 $161 $222 +$61 06-30 07:36
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +1,197 $232 18¢ $222 $-10 06-30 11:02
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,861 $203 12¢ $214 +$11 06-30 05:40
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +4,576 $222 $204 $-18 06-30 22:19
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +2,234 $335 $190 $-145 06-30 05:37
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +742 $175 25¢ $185 +$10 06-30 14:24
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +2,060 $199 $175 $-24 06-30 02:56
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No +346 $163 50¢ $171 +$9 06-30 12:37
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No -1,703 $-247 10¢ $-170 +$77 06-27 05:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +1,761 $180 10¢ $167 $-13 06-20 00:07
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? Yes +4,411 $172 $143 $-28 06-29 03:48
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? Yes +3,659 $138 $126 $-12 06-30 21:13
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10,626 $119 $122 +$3 06-30 12:42
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,889 $135 $114 $-21 06-29 16:06
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? Yes +3,115 $133 $114 $-19 06-28 08:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,869 $136 $113 $-22 06-27 15:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,704 $89 $107 +$18 06-30 16:27
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +1,599 $118 $106 $-12 06-30 22:29
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,878 $106 $102 $-3 06-30 18:01
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +1,766 $98 $100 +$2 06-30 19:02