Realized P&L
+$3.09K
Unrealized P&L
-$730
Hit rate
49.1%
Resolved
18
Trades
101,329
lifetime
Volume
$434.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$9.74K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 07-21 00:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
44% 57% +$4,977
Other
32% 14% $-707
Sports
17% 25% $-1,185
Crypto
4%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2113 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +10,338 $1,435 12¢ $1.2K $-246 07-21 00:46
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +9,250 $826 10¢ $925 +$99 07-21 01:48
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +14,294 $798 $722 $-76 07-20 22:26
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +3,070 $578 24¢ $721 +$143 07-21 02:54
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +5,260 $791 12¢ $657 $-133 07-21 02:19
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +3,093 $497 12¢ $356 $-141 07-21 01:37
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? No +9,715 $377 $335 $-42 07-21 05:28
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,470 $441 12¢ $309 $-132 07-20 11:49
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +3,416 $354 $273 $-80 07-20 22:20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? Yes +8,916 $303 $263 $-40 07-21 00:08
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +2,756 $319 10¢ $262 $-58 07-20 22:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +12,876 $343 $251 $-92 07-20 00:19
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +2,910 $394 $247 $-146 07-17 10:08
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +12,640 $237 $246 +$9 07-17 05:34
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +5,467 $254 $243 $-10 07-20 19:14
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +5,384 $254 $234 $-19 07-21 02:41
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,459 $237 $228 $-9 07-20 20:25
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +228 $208 94¢ $215 +$7 07-20 17:17
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +1,744 $217 12¢ $201 $-17 07-21 01:35
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,000 $180 $186 +$6 07-06 17:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +1,761 $127 11¢ $185 +$58 07-20 07:53
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +2,693 $134 $182 +$48 07-20 16:15
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +1,003 $197 18¢ $181 $-16 07-15 18:12
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? Yes +6,741 $252 $179 $-73 07-20 12:56
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No -2,352 $-332 $-176 +$155 07-17 01:10
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +2,060 $182 $175 $-7 07-17 19:10
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +1,385 $168 12¢ $159 $-9 07-21 01:37
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +5,037 $252 $154 $-99 06-30 04:44
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No +925 $-58 16¢ $143 +$201 07-21 05:11
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +1,200 $148 12¢ $138 $-10 07-21 01:35