Realized P&L
-$6.86K
Unrealized P&L
-$560
Hit rate
55.9%
Resolved
182
Trades
302,089
lifetime
Volume
$1.11M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$18.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 11-01 04:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Politics
36% 68% +$7,604
Other
33% 43% -$7,702
Sports
21% 56% -$6,148
Tech
6% 36% -$614
Crypto
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 906 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +10,576 $8,810 87¢ $9.2K +$391 09-07 11:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +10,385 $2,034 13¢ $1.3K -$684 09-08 01:30
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -3,016 -$769 41¢ $-1223 -$455 08-13 17:58
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,067 -$189 66¢ $-710 -$521 08-17 15:14
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -1,454 -$252 44¢ $-635 -$383 07-02 15:00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,208 -$551 21¢ $-454 +$98 09-08 01:50
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No -777 -$177 46¢ $-361 -$184 06-05 20:23
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +316 $220 99¢ $313 +$93 05-24 02:47
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -290 -$278 97¢ $-281 -$4 09-07 08:33
Trump out as President before 2027? No -284 -$287 96¢ $-273 +$14 08-14 15:45
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -12,680 -$251 2¢ $-266 -$16 08-13 17:06
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -2,745 -$1,337 10¢ $-261 +$1,076 08-18 06:31
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,537 -$64 17¢ $-261 -$197 08-17 20:47
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -712 -$312 34¢ $-246 +$66 08-14 05:41
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -688 -$317 34¢ $-237 +$80 08-17 09:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -213 -$221 97¢ $-207 +$14 09-08 01:24
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5,469 -$289 4¢ $-200 +$90 08-15 10:52
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -198 -$80 97¢ $-192 -$112 04-28 16:18
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,234 -$89 15¢ $-188 -$99 08-26 21:14
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -188 -$173 100¢ $-187 -$15 08-18 02:31
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +190 $173 98¢ $186 +$13 05-21 16:46
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -188 -$176 94¢ $-178 -$2 08-16 16:58
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,470 -$255 12¢ $-169 +$86 08-16 20:28
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -4,224 -$155 4¢ $-163 -$8 09-08 01:23
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,178 -$491 14¢ $-159 +$332 08-22 17:36
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -6,074 -$72 3¢ $-155 -$83 08-31 05:05
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,852 -$125 4¢ $-137 -$12 08-23 16:46
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -17,917 $7 1¢ $-134 -$142 08-27 16:03
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -131 -$127 100¢ $-131 -$4 05-13 00:29
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -326 -$132 39¢ $-126 +$7 08-13 16:34