Murky-Overview — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$572

Unrealized P&L

-$102

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

142

lifetime

Volume

$9.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

$595

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-05 23:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

79% 0% $-572

Other

15% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+1,380	$597	36¢	$490	$-107	06-26 04:17
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+3,230	$100	3¢	$105	+$5	07-04 14:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	4	$2.8K	3,497	3,497	+0	open	—	05-25 23:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$923	778	778	+0	open	—	02-28 19:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$762	0	769	-769	Yes	$-8	05-09 09:21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	3	$626	370	884	-514	open	—	01-15 19:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$597	1,380	0	+1,380	open	—	06-26 04:17
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$492	340	340	+0	open	—	04-05 13:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$398	453	1,215	-762	Yes	$-564	05-08 19:19
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	2	$305	1,053	1,053	+0	open	—	02-26 12:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	14	$291	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	06-14 21:38
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	4	$267	435	435	+0	open	—	05-16 14:09
will ethereum reach 1800 june 29 july 5 2026	4	$217	464	463	+1	open	—	07-03 20:36
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$200	1,264	0	+1,264	open	—	03-02 12:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$200	2,344	0	+2,344	open	—	05-27 11:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$190	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-30 11:11
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	2	$144	100	100	+0	open	—	01-31 23:55
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	2	$108	417	417	+0	open	—	04-20 12:46
will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	23	$107	15,306	0	+15,306	open	—	07-05 23:18
another 7pt0 or above earthquake by january 31 2026	3	$100	58	58	+0	open	—	01-31 23:55
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	22	$100	3,230	0	+3,230	open	—	07-04 14:18
Over $500k committed to the Fluent public sale?	1	$100	404	0	+404	open	—	04-08 14:03
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	1	$100	571	0	+571	open	—	07-01 22:59
eth updown 5m 1783272600	4	$73	131	91	+39	open	—	07-05 17:33
Over $1M committed to the Fluent public sale?	1	$50	156	0	+156	open	—	04-08 14:05
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	1	$50	157	0	+157	open	—	03-02 11:33
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$50	217	0	+217	open	—	03-02 15:19
israel and saudi arabia normalize relations by march 31	2	$50	581	0	+581	open	—	01-15 21:09
will ethereum dip to 1400 june 29 july 5 2026	4	$45	500	0	+500	open	—	07-01 13:17
eth updown 5m 1783272300	1	$25	1,853	0	+1,853	open	—	07-05 17:28
will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	25	$13	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	07-03 08:22
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	1	$11	33	0	+33	open	—	01-16 12:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 23:18:25	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x23a01b…
07-05 22:44:20	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	608	0¢	$1	0x9e0ed0…
07-05 21:56:01	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xa4bf97…
07-05 21:47:23	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xd674d0…
07-05 20:59:34	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x2c6887…
07-05 20:44:19	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xf27396…
07-05 19:39:55	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x18d099…
07-05 19:39:55	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x09af37…
07-05 19:28:31	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x45c57d…
07-05 19:20:20	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x49eac8…
07-05 19:02:19	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xb80600…
07-05 18:59:38	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xc5c9fa…
07-05 18:09:40	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x517dd9…
07-05 18:07:37	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$40	0xdf24a2…
07-05 17:58:50	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x53ccbe…
07-05 17:57:44	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xb50a4c…
07-05 17:56:22	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x54fd6b…
07-05 17:54:01	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x1f4579…
07-05 17:36:28	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x3056f4…
07-05 17:33:53	eth updown 5m 1783272600	Down	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0xab3a82…
07-05 17:33:41	eth updown 5m 1783272600	Down	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x36d18e…
07-05 17:32:26	eth updown 5m 1783272600	Down	SELL	67	59¢	$39	0x177ab4…
07-05 17:30:49	eth updown 5m 1783272600	Down	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0xf64eb3…
07-05 17:28:26	eth updown 5m 1783272300	Up	BUY	1,853	1¢	$25	0xe81c21…
07-05 17:09:17	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0xe9ff92…
07-04 14:18:32	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	415	3¢	$13	0xb8e2ce…
07-04 12:55:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xdedf26…
07-04 12:12:47	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	218	3¢	$7	0x7ea3d2…
07-03 20:36:25	will ethereum reach 1800 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xd5c58d…
07-03 20:36:23	will ethereum reach 1800 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	460	44¢	$205	0xe3372e…
07-03 13:43:26	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2,906	1¢	$44	0x048403…
07-03 13:43:16	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	700	2¢	$10	0xdffba3…
07-03 13:43:08	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	700	2¢	$10	0x743cde…
07-03 13:13:14	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0xf07931…
07-03 08:38:10	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xd6ffbc…
07-03 08:22:19	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	208	0¢	$0	0x7232ab…
07-03 08:10:04	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	258	0¢	$1	0x222dba…
07-03 08:09:22	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x37c70b…
07-03 08:06:47	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x7aa499…
07-03 07:47:41	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xf22382…
07-03 07:16:16	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	454	0¢	$1	0x277d0f…
07-03 07:05:46	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	118	0¢	$0	0x68cc26…
07-03 07:03:11	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x10b85a…
07-03 07:01:29	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd58ec5…
07-03 06:53:52	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x9ba26f…
07-03 06:18:08	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x69e612…
07-03 06:11:28	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xc6db97…
07-03 05:56:47	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x9fb067…
07-03 05:44:43	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x90a7b8…
07-03 05:38:13	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	314	0¢	$1	0x487a69…
07-03 05:28:10	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x645ebb…
07-03 01:57:02	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x3430e0…
07-02 22:20:05	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xdcaa79…
07-02 22:17:37	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xe495c1…
07-02 22:01:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xf9cf70…
07-02 21:52:29	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xb7aaba…
07-02 21:51:11	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	3¢	$3	0x5c9d0e…
07-02 21:39:14	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	3¢	$5	0xc22e4d…
07-02 21:27:04	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	3¢	$5	0xc80391…
07-02 20:00:08	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x50c86f…
07-02 15:50:23	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,032	3¢	$32	0xe3666c…
07-02 13:36:17	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0xc4f161…
07-02 12:34:11	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x516f45…
07-02 10:05:56	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x7d3e5f…
07-02 03:10:52	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	203	3¢	$6	0x2f2f2f…
07-01 22:59:16	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	571	18¢	$100	0xa8627b…
07-01 21:34:35	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0xdadd32…
07-01 17:37:46	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0xebeb76…
07-01 17:34:56	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x20a411…
07-01 16:38:35	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	435	3¢	$13	0x8ac3b5…
07-01 16:26:17	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0x7c07a7…
07-01 16:11:35	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x5a51fd…
07-01 14:12:47	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf86f6b…
07-01 13:44:32	will ethereum reach 1800 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	359	3¢	$10	0x16c0c8…
07-01 13:17:35	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x54db7b…
07-01 13:10:17	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xba03b2…
07-01 13:03:59	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x870748…
07-01 13:00:38	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	176	9¢	$16	0xccbe3c…
07-01 12:35:10	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xaab851…
07-01 12:35:07	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xc0b0d9…
07-01 12:15:14	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xe3e1df…
07-01 12:13:16	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	303	9¢	$27	0x9a95d2…
07-01 12:12:29	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x773c32…
07-01 12:10:35	will ethereum reach 1800 june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0x1964c9…
06-30 11:11:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$10	0xf1622d…
06-26 04:17:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	42¢	$210	0x30a2cc…
06-14 21:38:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	5,500	0¢	$11	0x8c6fa2…
06-10 09:37:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0x064662…
06-08 11:13:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x983a6d…
06-01 13:22:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	1,369	4¢	$55	0xa26bba…
06-01 13:18:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0x4ab55b…
06-01 13:18:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x43aa16…
06-01 13:14:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xbaab62…
06-01 13:13:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x196aeb…
06-01 10:19:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0xc99b1c…
05-29 09:28:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	880	44¢	$387	0x4b8e28…
05-28 11:57:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	866	8¢	$69	0xeb6d8d…
05-28 11:55:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x921ab8…
05-28 11:53:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xb1e26c…
05-28 11:35:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	82	8¢	$7	0x1a6f0d…