Realized P&L
-$447
Unrealized P&L
+$2.26K
Hit rate
8.5%
Resolved
9
Trades
1,413
lifetime
Volume
$211.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$150
Open exposure
$32.0K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-21 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
43% 40% $-261
Sports
30%
Politics
15% 0% $-0
Crypto
11% 33% $-186
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +22,200 $20,594 99¢ $21.9K +$1,328 07-20 03:42
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +2,455 $2,054 95¢ $2.3K +$281 07-19 22:08
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +1,900 $1,519 88¢ $1.7K +$163 07-20 19:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,429 $1,142 90¢ $1.3K +$137 06-27 23:09
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +1,407 $1,106 82¢ $1.2K +$48 07-12 03:04
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $910 89¢ $890 $-20 07-20 21:06
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No -859 $-828 94¢ $-810 +$18 05-30 05:42
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes +827 $800 97¢ $799 $-1 07-14 06:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,103 $332 55¢ $601 +$269 07-08 23:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $210 84¢ $254 +$44 06-23 08:26
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +175 $168 97¢ $170 +$2 07-20 03:26
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No +200 $100 48¢ $95 $-5 07-10 14:57