Belgaron 0x6c104a…96df5c
whale cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$46.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.90K
Hit rate
75.5%
Resolved
696
Trades
5,574
lifetime
Volume
$987.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$177
Open exposure
$105.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-26 02:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 180 days
Categories
Politics
37% 66% -$84,099
Other
37% 72% +$25,116
Sports
17% 69% +$10,640
Crypto
7% 64% +$1,550
Tech
2% 83% +$841
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +11,258 $8,462 80¢ $9.0K +$488 10-24 00:39
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +9,179 $8,179 93¢ $8.6K +$385 09-23 08:47
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +7,100 $6,486 92¢ $6.6K +$82 10-20 18:00
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +6,592 $5,770 98¢ $6.5K +$689 10-22 14:55
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +9,400 $6,072 66¢ $6.2K +$85 10-26 02:08
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No +5,368 $4,823 97¢ $5.2K +$378 08-21 07:26
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +4,758 $4,242 93¢ $4.4K +$180 08-26 12:48
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,839 $4,294 90¢ $4.4K +$62 10-19 21:47
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,900 $4,002 82¢ $4.0K +$41 09-30 12:35
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,108 $3,659 94¢ $3.9K +$224 09-23 08:27
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +4,232 $3,710 90¢ $3.8K +$78 08-31 03:08
will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +5,069 $3,644 74¢ $3.8K +$133 10-03 08:09
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +4,302 $3,893 86¢ $3.7K -$171 10-24 18:17
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,000 $3,534 92¢ $3.7K +$126 09-08 21:15
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,900 $3,405 92¢ $3.6K +$164 09-15 16:27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +5,300 $3,460 66¢ $3.5K +$12 10-22 14:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $2,447 94¢ $2.8K +$377 08-26 14:58
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,500 $2,032 92¢ $2.3K +$280 09-28 02:13
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,542 $2,261 86¢ $2.2K -$62 10-20 17:58
Trump out as President before 2027? No -2,241 -$2,036 96¢ $-2150 -$113 10-12 01:51
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +3,314 $2,647 57¢ $1.9K -$742 10-22 16:45
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +1,968 $1,744 96¢ $1.9K +$155 08-29 02:19
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +2,050 $1,799 88¢ $1.8K -$5 09-23 04:52
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +2,402 $1,786 72¢ $1.7K -$45 10-24 00:53
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,875 $1,566 78¢ $1.5K -$104 10-21 05:34
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1,500 $1,400 96¢ $1.4K +$46 08-28 21:53
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +1,407 $1,327 94¢ $1.3K -$7 10-20 06:24
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,400 $1,190 92¢ $1.3K +$98 09-23 08:33
New pandemic in 2026? No +1,227 $1,141 97¢ $1.2K +$45 08-15 08:24
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,700 $1,093 66¢ $1.1K +$20 10-26 02:56