Realized P&L
-$1.80K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.00K
Hit rate
93.6%
Resolved
180
Trades
5,093
lifetime
Volume
$1.15M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$226
Open exposure
$230.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-26 13:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Crypto
51% 87% +$443
Other
28% 77% +$596
Politics
21% 78% -$2,976
Sports
0% 64% +$10
Tech
0% 100% +$128
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +34,764 $32,947 97¢ $33.7K +$722 10-19 20:31
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +22,470 $21,993 99¢ $22.2K +$196 10-26 12:50
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No -20,625 -$20,407 100¢ $-20594 -$187 07-06 11:16
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +17,461 $16,721 96¢ $16.8K +$102 10-20 10:53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +14,526 $13,946 96¢ $13.9K -$8 10-21 20:24
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +31,652 $13,317 38¢ $11.9K -$1,384 10-14 07:16
US recession by end of 2026? No +12,452 $11,567 92¢ $11.5K -$48 10-24 12:06
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10,464 $9,998 97¢ $10.2K +$188 10-26 12:45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -11,500 -$8,827 82¢ $-9424 -$597 07-03 13:01
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +9,400 $8,498 92¢ $8.7K +$197 10-24 17:11
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -11,500 -$6,847 62¢ $-7164 -$317 07-03 13:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -6,520 -$5,487 94¢ $-6142 -$654 10-19 07:27
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +31,239 $7,938 18¢ $5.6K -$2,299 10-09 11:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5,000 -$4,217 97¢ $-4867 -$651 10-08 04:29
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4,802 -$4,799 99¢ $-4756 +$42 08-21 01:24
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4,662 -$5,009 99¢ $-4623 +$386 09-11 02:44
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +4,185 $4,062 98¢ $4.1K +$42 10-09 14:06
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +4,036 $3,780 96¢ $3.9K +$96 10-11 16:13
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20,000 $3,997 19¢ $3.8K -$167 07-27 16:36
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No -3,500 -$3,385 99¢ $-3456 -$71 07-07 20:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2,999 $2,871 97¢ $2.9K +$32 10-19 19:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,875 $2,609 94¢ $2.7K +$79 10-11 17:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,887 $2,681 92¢ $2.7K -$11 10-20 14:53
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,704 $2,576 96¢ $2.6K +$18 10-19 22:44
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +3,730 $2,149 66¢ $2.4K +$294 10-25 23:36
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,400 $2,208 92¢ $2.2K -$12 10-25 23:23
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,086 -$2,011 99¢ $-2062 -$50 08-28 18:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,000 -$1,852 98¢ $-1967 -$115 10-08 04:31
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20,000 $2,782 10¢ $1.9K -$842 07-27 19:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? No +1,836 $1,804 100¢ $1.8K +$24 10-26 00:08