Realized P&L (90d)
+$576
Unrealized P&L
-$5.35K
Hit rate
95.2%
Resolved (90d)
63
Trades (90d)
1,722
5,085 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$438.1K
$1.13M lifetime
Avg / trade
$223
Open exposure
$232.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-28 13:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Crypto
51% 87% +$443
Other
28% 77% +$596
Politics
21% 78% -$2,976
Sports
0% 64% +$10
Tech
0% 100% +$128
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +34,764 $32,947 97¢ $33.6K +$687 10-19 20:31
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +22,630 $22,151 99¢ $22.4K +$219 10-27 11:45
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No -20,625 -$20,407 100¢ $-20594 -$187 07-06 11:16
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +17,461 $16,721 96¢ $16.7K -$46 10-20 10:53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +14,826 $14,234 96¢ $14.3K +$73 10-27 21:39
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +31,954 $13,433 38¢ $12.2K -$1,227 10-28 03:10
US recession by end of 2026? No +12,452 $11,567 92¢ $11.5K -$48 10-24 12:06
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10,464 $9,998 97¢ $10.2K +$188 10-26 12:45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -11,500 -$8,827 83¢ $-9493 -$666 07-03 13:01
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +9,400 $8,498 92¢ $8.7K +$197 10-24 17:11
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -11,500 -$6,847 62¢ $-7107 -$260 07-03 13:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -6,520 -$5,487 96¢ $-6275 -$788 10-19 07:27
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +31,539 $7,993 17¢ $5.5K -$2,489 10-27 12:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5,000 -$4,217 98¢ $-4887 -$671 10-08 04:29
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4,802 -$4,799 99¢ $-4759 +$40 08-21 01:24
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4,662 -$5,009 99¢ $-4627 +$381 09-11 02:44
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +4,336 $4,068 96¢ $4.2K +$106 10-28 01:50
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +4,185 $4,062 98¢ $4.1K +$59 10-09 14:06
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20,000 $3,997 18¢ $3.6K -$357 07-27 16:36
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No -3,500 -$3,385 99¢ $-3463 -$78 07-07 20:57
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +4,530 $2,669 66¢ $3.0K +$343 10-27 22:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2,999 $2,871 97¢ $2.9K +$31 10-19 19:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,887 $2,681 94¢ $2.7K +$47 10-20 14:53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,875 $2,609 94¢ $2.7K +$108 10-11 17:15
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,704 $2,576 96¢ $2.6K +$18 10-19 22:44
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,400 $2,208 92¢ $2.2K +$12 10-25 23:23
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,086 -$2,011 99¢ $-2070 -$58 08-28 18:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,000 -$1,852 98¢ $-1965 -$113 10-08 04:31
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20,000 $2,782 9¢ $1.8K -$962 07-27 19:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,824 $1,673 97¢ $1.8K +$94 10-21 16:10