Realized P&L
-$1.78K
Unrealized P&L
-$4.66K
Hit rate
93.6%
Resolved
182
Trades
5,152
lifetime
Volume
$1.16M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$225
Open exposure
$233.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-29 11:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Crypto
50% 87% +$443
Other
28% 78% +$610
Politics
21% 78% -$2,976
Sports
0% 64% +$10
Tech
0% 100% +$128
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +34,764 $32,947 97¢ $33.7K +$705 10-19 20:31
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +23,650 $23,161 99¢ $23.4K +$241 10-29 02:04
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No -20,625 -$20,407 100¢ $-20594 -$187 07-06 11:16
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +17,461 $16,721 96¢ $16.7K -$29 10-20 10:53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +15,326 $14,718 97¢ $14.9K +$156 10-29 11:33
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +31,954 $13,433 38¢ $12.2K -$1,195 10-28 03:10
US recession by end of 2026? No +12,852 $11,943 94¢ $12.1K +$203 10-29 02:00
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10,464 $9,998 97¢ $10.2K +$188 10-26 12:45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -11,500 -$8,827 82¢ $-9482 -$654 07-03 13:01
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +8,900 $8,033 94¢ $8.4K +$377 10-28 20:31
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -11,500 -$6,847 62¢ $-7095 -$248 07-03 13:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -6,520 -$5,487 96¢ $-6236 -$749 10-19 07:27
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +31,539 $7,993 18¢ $5.5K -$2,458 10-27 12:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5,000 -$4,217 98¢ $-4892 -$676 10-08 04:29
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4,802 -$4,799 99¢ $-4761 +$37 08-21 01:24
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4,662 -$5,009 99¢ $-4623 +$386 09-11 02:44
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +4,136 $3,874 97¢ $4.0K +$132 10-28 23:54
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +3,654 $3,534 99¢ $3.6K +$96 10-29 05:37
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20,000 $3,997 18¢ $3.6K -$367 07-27 16:36
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No -3,500 -$3,385 99¢ $-3463 -$78 07-07 20:57
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +4,530 $2,669 66¢ $3.0K +$343 10-27 22:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2,999 $2,871 97¢ $2.9K +$29 10-19 19:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,875 $2,609 96¢ $2.7K +$136 10-11 17:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,887 $2,681 92¢ $2.7K -$11 10-20 14:53
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,704 $2,576 96¢ $2.6K +$13 10-19 22:44
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,400 $2,208 92¢ $2.2K +$12 10-25 23:23
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,086 -$2,011 99¢ $-2070 -$58 08-28 18:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,000 -$1,852 98¢ $-1965 -$113 10-08 04:31
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20,000 $2,782 9¢ $1.8K -$992 07-27 19:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,824 $1,673 97¢ $1.8K +$99 10-21 16:10