Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$5.04K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
2
5,403 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$1.19K
$1.19M lifetime
Avg / trade
$219
Open exposure
$234.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-02 22:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Crypto
50% 89% +$548
Other
28% 78% +$615
Politics
22% 79% -$2,902
Sports
0% 64% +$10
Tech
0% 100% +$128
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +35,764 $33,919 97¢ $34.8K +$862 11-01 17:08
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +22,150 $21,662 99¢ $21.9K +$255 11-02 07:22
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No -20,625 -$20,407 100¢ $-20573 -$167 07-06 11:16
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +17,461 $16,721 96¢ $16.8K +$111 10-20 10:53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +14,826 $14,232 98¢ $14.5K +$231 10-30 01:06
US recession by end of 2026? No +12,852 $11,943 94¢ $12.1K +$203 10-29 02:00
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +31,954 $13,433 36¢ $11.6K -$1,786 10-28 03:10
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10,464 $9,998 98¢ $10.2K +$209 10-26 12:45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -11,500 -$8,827 81¢ $-9355 -$528 07-03 13:01
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +8,900 $8,033 96¢ $8.5K +$466 10-28 20:31
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -11,500 -$6,847 64¢ $-7308 -$461 07-03 13:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -6,890 -$5,846 96¢ $-6600 -$755 10-30 02:49
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +6,264 $6,115 100¢ $6.2K +$127 11-01 01:28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +31,539 $7,993 19¢ $5.9K -$2,111 10-27 12:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5,000 -$4,217 98¢ $-4895 -$678 10-08 04:29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +6,330 $3,939 76¢ $4.8K +$840 11-01 16:58
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4,802 -$4,799 99¢ $-4761 +$37 08-21 01:24
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4,662 -$5,009 99¢ $-4627 +$381 09-11 02:44
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +3,836 $3,581 98¢ $3.8K +$176 11-01 04:42
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20,000 $3,997 18¢ $3.7K -$307 07-27 16:36
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No -3,500 -$3,385 99¢ $-3463 -$78 07-07 20:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2,999 $2,871 93¢ $2.8K -$71 10-19 19:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,887 $2,681 92¢ $2.7K -$11 10-20 14:53
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,704 $2,576 96¢ $2.6K +$28 10-19 22:44
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,086 -$2,011 99¢ $-2061 -$49 08-28 18:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,000 -$1,852 98¢ $-1959 -$107 10-08 04:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,824 $1,673 97¢ $1.8K +$101 10-21 16:10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20,000 $2,782 8¢ $1.7K -$1,132 07-27 19:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,484 $1,334 88¢ $1.3K -$20 10-31 21:50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +7,151 $2,059 18¢ $1.3K -$808 11-01 01:18