Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
52.5%
Resolved
417
Trades
4,485
lifetime
Volume
$34.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$133
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-06 02:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 142 days
Categories
Other
54% 47% +$2,275
Sports
44% 36% -$2,331
Politics
1% 67% +$68
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $31 12¢ $50 +$19 10-10 22:40
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -150 -$83 26¢ $-39 +$44 04-29 22:48
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $67 8¢ $25 -$42 06-20 01:34
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +150 $15 3¢ $4 -$10 06-13 02:23
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? Yes -374 -$26 1¢ $-4 +$22 04-30 05:11
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $21 3¢ $3 -$18 05-27 14:29
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $8 2¢ $3 -$5 06-18 05:26
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $8 1¢ $3 -$5 06-20 16:04
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +100 $3 1¢ $1 -$1 07-19 16:14