Reasonable-Vest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$45

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 07-25 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 62% $-3

Other

6% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	121	0	+121	open	—	07-23 07:29
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	07-23 21:05
bitcoin above 64k on july 25 2026	1	$4	9	0	+9	open	—	07-25 10:12
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	2	$3	235	235	+0	open	—	05-06 05:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	05-05 05:22
btc updown 5m 1784850000	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	07-23 23:42
btc updown 5m 1784850900	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	07-23 23:57
BNB Up or Down on May 4?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 13:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	1	$2	116	0	+116	No	$-2	05-04 23:02
btc updown 5m 1784812200	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	07-23 13:14
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 4?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	$-1	05-04 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	05-04 07:53
btc updown 5m 1784792400	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-23 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-07 07:42
btc updown 5m 1784805900	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-23 11:26
btc updown 5m 1784792100	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-23 07:36
btc updown 5m 1784793300	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	07-23 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 08:15
btc updown 5m 1784793600	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-23 08:01
btc updown 5m 1784814000	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	07-23 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	05-04 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Up	$-1	05-04 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-02 08:48
btc updown 5m 1784850300	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	07-23 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-07 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-07 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-07 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-07 02:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 10:12:15	bitcoin above 64k on july 25 2026	No	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x856697…
07-23 23:57:12	btc updown 5m 1784850900	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8addb3…
07-23 23:56:46	btc updown 5m 1784850900	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x31922b…
07-23 23:49:10	btc updown 5m 1784850300	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdab92d…
07-23 23:42:19	btc updown 5m 1784850000	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x3f3d4e…
07-23 21:05:58	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xa410aa…
07-23 13:40:57	btc updown 5m 1784814000	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9146b5…
07-23 13:14:37	btc updown 5m 1784812200	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcc0a04…
07-23 11:26:51	btc updown 5m 1784805900	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9f7865…
07-23 11:02:37	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7fd2ac…
07-23 08:01:39	btc updown 5m 1784793600	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd88dc7…
07-23 07:59:25	btc updown 5m 1784793300	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdc93bb…
07-23 07:40:40	btc updown 5m 1784792400	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6509ba…
07-23 07:36:19	btc updown 5m 1784792100	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5be146…
07-23 07:29:16	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	4¢	$5	0x8e50fd…
05-07 07:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1bee7f…
05-07 07:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xefcbe6…
05-07 07:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe2182d…
05-07 04:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x711331…
05-07 02:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe156a8…
05-06 05:30:40	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	235	1¢	$1	0x9b6aa9…
05-05 06:24:28	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	235	1¢	$1	0x13db23…
05-05 05:22:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0xac79f5…
05-04 23:02:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	116	1¢	$2	0x4bcb0e…
05-04 22:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x115cd0…
05-04 21:03:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x792c2c…
05-04 20:50:28	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5da5fa…
05-04 13:30:00	BNB Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xcb9317…
05-04 11:03:40	BNB Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x89a263…
05-04 08:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf42514…
05-04 08:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2927bc…
05-04 07:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3fd952…
05-02 08:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8c08a6…