Worried-Burden — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.7%

Resolved

Trades

274

lifetime

Volume

$7.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-29 13:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 100% +$2

Other

38% 0% $-0

Politics

11% — —

Sports

6% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?	5	$795	400	400	+0	No	+$1	05-07 11:53
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	7	$547	276	276	+0	No	+$1	05-08 09:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	4	$398	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 04:16
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	18	$333	167	167	+0	open	—	04-13 06:13
will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	4	$221	100	300	-200	open	—	03-30 18:08
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	8	$213	107	107	+0	No	$-0	03-30 08:48
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	9	$206	115	92	+23	open	—	04-27 15:30
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$195	100	100	+0	open	—	03-31 01:41
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	8	$170	85	85	+0	open	—	03-23 06:02
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	10	$170	85	85	+0	open	—	02-27 04:55
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	8	$142	71	71	+0	open	—	03-30 08:54
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	6	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	04-13 05:46
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	6	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	04-24 08:08
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	6	$130	65	65	+0	open	—	04-28 13:09
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	6	$129	65	65	+0	open	—	03-23 05:59
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$122	200	200	+0	open	—	03-23 09:25
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	6	$122	61	61	+0	open	—	03-23 06:03
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	4	$116	58	58	+0	open	—	02-23 07:43
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	6	$116	58	58	+0	open	—	03-26 04:18
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	4	$108	54	54	+0	open	—	02-23 07:45
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	6	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	02-23 07:48
italy nordio reform referendum passes	2	$103	101	101	+0	open	—	03-23 09:26
will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$98	49	49	+0	open	—	03-19 07:44
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$96	48	48	+0	open	—	03-16 04:22
donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 180 199	2	$93	50	50	+0	open	—	04-21 11:01
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	4	$86	43	43	+0	open	—	03-30 08:57
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	2	$82	100	100	+0	open	—	03-30 11:37
tulsi gabbard out by march 31	6	$60	172	172	+0	open	—	03-19 08:30
will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	03-12 06:10
will taylor swift have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	02-12 05:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 13:11:11	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	4¢	$5	0xd20f59…
06-15 04:14:22	EU dissolves before 2027?	Yes	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0xb08b8e…
06-14 13:36:13	EU dissolves before 2027?	Yes	SELL	52	3¢	$2	0xc78921…
06-13 14:50:36	EU dissolves before 2027?	Yes	SELL	59	3¢	$2	0x41c66a…
06-12 08:30:42	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$4	0x8724f1…
06-11 18:35:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	890	1¢	$8	0xa67be2…
06-11 09:57:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	600	2¢	$11	0x11a5e8…
06-10 13:09:00	EU dissolves before 2027?	Yes	BUY	220	3¢	$7	0xcdc0d8…
06-10 13:05:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	600	2¢	$10	0x8b4528…
06-10 13:05:06	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,500	2¢	$33	0x3bdf65…
06-10 13:04:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	890	1¢	$9	0x80bede…
06-10 13:03:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	800	1¢	$7	0x1de2d4…
06-10 12:24:27	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$3	0x4ef24b…
06-08 11:05:04	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$7	0x4a762c…
06-08 10:58:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	800	1¢	$8	0xf3a607…
05-29 16:55:19	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x846f87…
05-29 16:55:19	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0x60f38d…
05-29 15:16:02	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	144	2¢	$2	0xe39a66…
05-29 02:09:57	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x46baa3…
05-28 22:12:39	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	194	1¢	$3	0x54b0fc…
05-28 17:26:02	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf0f142…
05-28 10:51:14	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	10¢	$11	0xa57cd6…
05-28 10:44:30	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	10¢	$8	0x84efc7…
05-28 09:57:17	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x14c717…
05-27 22:04:30	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xcac788…
05-08 09:33:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$75	0x618580…
05-08 08:06:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x47718a…
05-08 04:48:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0x07151c…
05-08 04:45:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$86	0x91fb27…
05-08 03:54:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x28b31c…
05-08 03:43:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x5970f0…
05-08 03:39:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0xda24f1…
05-07 11:53:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x28bfaa…
05-07 10:39:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xe7c385…
05-07 10:38:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0x93d318…
05-07 04:16:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0x3c7424…
05-07 03:40:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0xc43ccb…
05-07 03:34:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x78ecb2…
05-07 03:28:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0xf2961e…
05-07 02:54:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0x5c5014…
05-07 01:21:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x64f1b9…
04-28 13:09:28	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x5fd0c2…
04-27 15:30:54	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7c0055…
04-25 03:12:56	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xbfdc69…
04-24 08:09:52	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x9d7290…
04-24 08:09:26	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x3e6c59…
04-24 08:08:58	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x3c42aa…
04-23 15:34:22	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4c0c31…
04-22 04:01:40	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x48afa4…
04-21 23:47:34	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe71835…
04-21 11:01:16	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 180 199	Yes	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0xa87ff9…
04-21 10:59:10	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 14c	No	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0xcf71a5…
04-21 10:46:00	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 180 199	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x027e21…
04-21 10:36:12	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 14c	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xdfbd64…
04-21 10:25:48	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 14c	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x19ee40…
04-21 09:42:22	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x357d17…
04-21 09:41:00	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x28553a…
04-21 09:37:20	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xe29be8…
04-21 09:36:02	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x4e6266…
04-21 01:37:18	highest temperature in beijing on april 21 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x9eb935…
04-21 01:37:18	highest temperature in beijing on april 21 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5a76fe…
04-21 01:37:16	highest temperature in beijing on april 21 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	57	50¢	$28	0x787ddb…
04-19 15:39:24	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeafca3…
04-19 15:28:46	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x77f36a…
04-19 05:19:02	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x187baf…
04-17 00:58:18	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc709c8…
04-16 11:28:10	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7f4204…
04-13 06:13:27	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x20301d…
04-13 05:47:05	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x42e1ca…
04-13 05:46:05	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x7cc009…
04-12 06:27:35	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb6b057…
04-11 12:20:23	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe82943…
04-09 12:57:59	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x924289…
04-09 05:38:39	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc1a600…
04-09 05:37:55	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x08f3d7…
04-09 05:32:15	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x56ca6d…
04-09 02:47:35	nflx up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0xc2d95b…
04-09 02:43:57	nflx up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xc23595…
04-08 13:24:03	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x875404…
04-07 23:26:51	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9abb28…
04-06 10:57:01	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x83189e…
04-06 10:52:05	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x5e82f8…
04-06 10:51:41	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xce4152…
04-06 10:49:27	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xa8904b…
04-05 08:41:03	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x48410b…
04-04 07:51:25	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8e2169…
04-03 10:50:53	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa5f507…
04-02 07:33:11	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 2	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x06b0f1…
04-02 07:06:03	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd4ca4b…
04-02 07:02:25	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x024389…
04-02 06:52:39	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x5fe59a…
04-01 11:17:35	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x12587f…
03-31 01:41:37	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb9933a…
03-30 19:53:09	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5360ca…
03-30 18:08:27	will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	No	SELL	49	55¢	$27	0x88b964…
03-30 18:02:35	will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	No	SELL	200	55¢	$111	0xe830af…
03-30 17:40:07	will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	No	SELL	51	55¢	$28	0xc43fab…
03-30 16:22:09	will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x3a81c1…
03-30 15:48:17	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x266b11…
03-30 15:48:07	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	86	95¢	$82	0x42a81c…