Melodic-Salary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$103

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

14.4%

Resolved

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$1.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$62

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 06-13 11:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

47% — —

Politics

30% 0% $-100

Crypto

22% 40% $-3

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+1,651	$73	4¢	$62	$-11	06-13 11:36
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No		+1	$0	28¢	$0	$-0	05-30 22:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	6	$246	150	150	+0	open	—	05-01 16:16
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	15	$119	1,984	333	+1,651	open	—	06-13 11:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	2	$100	220	0	+220	Yes	$-100	05-06 01:34
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	04-14 19:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$89	50	50	+0	open	—	04-17 13:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	04-21 15:18
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	3	$75	1,334	1,334	+0	open	—	06-02 00:22
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$58	65	65	+0	open	—	03-30 15:01
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	1	$40	49	0	+49	open	—	03-31 14:08
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	4	$38	28	28	+0	open	—	03-30 19:29
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	3	$26	48	38	+10	open	—	03-29 15:03
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-01 12:39
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	03-29 15:02
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 00:45
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 12:38
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$18	50	0	+50	open	—	04-01 21:55
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 16:01
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-05 17:16
will houthi military action against saudi arabia occur by april 15 2026	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	03-28 15:20
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	04-05 17:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$8	510	10	+500	open	—	04-08 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	05-01 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$6	55	55	+0	open	—	05-01 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$4	10	5	+5	open	—	05-01 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$3	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 14:58
will sp 500 spx close over 6500 on the final trading day of march 2026	2	$3	10	10	+0	open	—	03-30 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$3	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 14:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 11:36:06	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	425	4¢	$17	0x120417…
06-13 11:22:04	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0xa64a73…
06-13 10:58:09	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	426	4¢	$17	0xc22712…
06-06 19:32:09	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0x3460ef…
06-06 16:58:33	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0x168432…
06-06 11:42:22	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	5¢	$6	0xb2ad11…
06-06 06:33:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x8510cf…
06-06 05:28:24	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	5¢	$3	0xbb3c8a…
06-06 02:11:21	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xafc3d8…
06-06 01:26:07	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	5¢	$2	0x824d28…
06-05 23:58:43	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x93a899…
06-02 00:22:43	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,108	3¢	$34	0x5901bf…
06-01 12:06:30	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	6¢	$8	0x95adca…
05-31 18:35:34	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	6¢	$12	0x025c31…
05-30 23:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5e345c…
05-30 22:50:14	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x92884e…
05-30 14:40:24	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	226	3¢	$7	0x356e1e…
05-30 13:43:05	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,334	2¢	$33	0xaeb832…
05-30 13:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x4d2286…
05-28 20:16:26	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	7¢	$23	0x9b2a46…
05-28 04:39:23	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x04c1a0…
05-16 19:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x0a8dae…
05-07 16:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4b8bec…
05-07 16:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xb7141c…
05-07 16:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x4ae070…
05-07 16:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x45a5bc…
05-07 14:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xa0e278…
05-07 14:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x5671c3…
05-07 14:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x3e93b0…
05-07 14:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x072f61…
05-07 14:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x1a3087…
05-07 13:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xea6c8b…
05-07 13:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x270c14…
05-07 13:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x41a8a4…
05-07 13:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x338efa…
05-07 13:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb781ae…
05-07 13:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd59f80…
05-07 13:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4cfeae…
05-07 12:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x88affa…
05-07 12:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x32e061…
05-07 12:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x44e4d5…
05-07 12:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x075d3f…
05-07 12:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x4e3924…
05-07 12:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xff0edd…
05-07 12:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xb8a707…
05-07 12:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x8da0ce…
05-07 12:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x623820…
05-07 12:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xa9bd76…
05-07 12:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x974e78…
05-07 12:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x23b348…
05-06 01:34:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	No	BUY	120	45¢	$54	0x974e1c…
05-02 15:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xac6842…
05-02 06:10:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	No	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x8e5c40…
05-02 01:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb4f6fd…
05-01 16:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x400495…
05-01 16:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7f8a8a…
05-01 16:16:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x4ab087…
05-01 16:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xa92604…
05-01 15:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x932e13…
05-01 15:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x19f535…
05-01 15:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x247b92…
05-01 15:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x5013a6…
05-01 15:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xf5888d…
05-01 15:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcbfda1…
05-01 15:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x4e74b0…
05-01 15:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4beaed…
05-01 15:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0x8d0141…
05-01 15:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8fef45…
05-01 15:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x20abd6…
05-01 15:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcff3e2…
05-01 15:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x1f9a66…
05-01 15:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xab7788…
05-01 15:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	55	7¢	$4	0x2028ff…
05-01 15:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3126a4…
05-01 15:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x26c910…
05-01 14:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0xabc1f6…
05-01 14:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3f70ac…
05-01 13:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x047d89…
05-01 13:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xf5a522…
05-01 13:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x423b0c…
05-01 05:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x92d9d0…
05-01 05:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x5104c2…
05-01 05:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xab08c6…
05-01 05:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x7daf0d…
05-01 05:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x768c9e…
05-01 05:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x50f25c…
05-01 04:19:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xb0dac2…
04-21 15:18:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x9c09fa…
04-20 17:08:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x214884…
04-18 07:50:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xa2efba…
04-17 19:03:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x30ae1c…
04-17 13:38:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xd53ddf…
04-17 11:56:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x3d4c2f…
04-16 16:55:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x60160b…
04-14 19:35:08	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xc0b4bc…
04-12 20:02:45	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x0f57c1…
04-09 07:50:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x1bfb59…
04-08 20:06:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd33535…
04-08 12:47:53	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x7a80cc…
04-05 17:16:53	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x450cb5…