Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.37K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.1%

Resolved

Trades

49,024

lifetime

Volume

$645.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 12:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

45% 62% $-6,373

Other

36% — —

Crypto

18% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1276 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	155	$35.1K	144,481	149,843	-5,362	open	—	02-03 07:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	99	$15.8K	8,630	10,958	-2,328	open	—	04-07 22:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	446	$14.3K	118,047	118,813	-766	open	—	06-30 03:06
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	87	$14.0K	25,820	21,861	+3,958	open	—	08-09 09:57
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	313	$14.0K	116,151	118,349	-2,198	open	—	04-21 18:12
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	673	$13.3K	119,967	89,417	+30,550	open	—	02-25 10:01
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	208	$13.2K	111,409	120,309	-8,899	open	—	04-22 12:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	87	$11.4K	9,816	9,210	+606	open	—	08-05 00:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	42	$8.9K	4,924	9,548	-4,624	Yes	$-1,252	05-09 18:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	223	$8.1K	24,092	28,448	-4,356	Yes	$-5,696	05-09 05:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	234	$7.4K	40,189	46,804	-6,615	open	—	05-29 22:47
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	148	$7.2K	9,319	8,163	+1,156	open	—	01-31 22:29
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	199	$7.1K	113,614	113,614	+0	open	—	07-15 01:24
will the us invade iran by march 31	122	$7.1K	22,639	14,134	+8,505	open	—	03-31 23:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	131	$7.1K	12,638	8,805	+3,833	open	—	04-07 22:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	537	$6.8K	118,210	100,040	+18,169	open	—	05-31 03:06
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	69	$6.8K	3,431	5,458	-2,027	open	—	03-23 06:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	209	$6.7K	291,045	291,045	+0	open	—	06-17 09:30
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	182	$6.6K	7,254	7,254	+0	open	—	06-30 14:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	342	$6.3K	171,125	171,125	+0	open	—	08-02 13:34
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	68	$6.1K	3,357	4,914	-1,556	open	—	08-07 20:27
will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	392	$6.1K	84,342	52,882	+31,460	open	—	02-25 12:27
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	95	$6.1K	7,554	5,959	+1,595	open	—	07-20 16:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	283	$5.9K	50,352	24,821	+25,531	open	—	05-15 07:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	96	$5.8K	17,867	18,640	-773	open	—	05-29 20:24
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	158	$5.8K	4,389	4,261	+129	open	—	06-30 21:08
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	307	$5.8K	147,778	142,206	+5,572	open	—	01-31 11:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	90	$5.7K	6,540	5,818	+722	open	—	08-11 12:54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	156	$5.2K	16,863	20,943	-4,081	open	—	05-30 07:29
meloni out as prime minister of italy by december 31	63	$5.2K	6,127	4	+6,122	open	—	08-05 09:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 15:35:36	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x763452…
08-11 13:50:19	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$2	0x1d878f…
08-11 13:36:57	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x0509fc…
08-11 13:36:40	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xa955dc…
08-11 13:36:21	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x2ed2f7…
08-11 13:14:24	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	7,062	0¢	$21	0x8ca2a1…
08-11 12:54:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	52	52¢	$27	0x37f0a6…
08-11 12:23:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	208	50¢	$104	0xfe4709…
08-11 11:23:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	333	17¢	$57	0x90ec05…
08-11 11:06:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	333	16¢	$53	0x74add8…
08-11 11:05:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	769	15¢	$115	0xf06a9f…
08-11 10:18:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	539	13¢	$70	0x44a413…
08-11 10:16:03	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x305e64…
08-11 10:06:45	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x453c58…
08-11 10:00:18	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x14e5c8…
08-11 09:43:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xffbe80…
08-11 09:41:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x97396c…
08-11 09:39:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xa8be8a…
08-11 09:38:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	207	13¢	$27	0xf45e16…
08-11 09:28:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0x4354b2…
08-10 17:06:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x7a3def…
08-10 15:43:39	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xbc9bfa…
08-10 15:37:21	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	Yes	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x7515af…
08-09 23:44:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	208	47¢	$98	0x64ddd3…
08-09 22:40:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3f8f91…
08-09 21:14:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	52	49¢	$25	0x1446ce…
08-09 20:51:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x117d21…
08-09 20:50:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x43e297…
08-09 20:49:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xf5296f…
08-09 20:35:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	121	49¢	$59	0x798397…
08-09 18:36:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0x2f2892…
08-09 18:01:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	1,216	0¢	$4	0xb94e56…
08-09 17:58:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	402	0¢	$1	0x9d38bf…
08-09 17:58:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	15,049	0¢	$45	0x81d10f…
08-09 17:57:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	16,667	0¢	$50	0x36c90e…
08-09 17:28:22	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0x9be166…
08-09 17:28:22	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	394	93¢	$366	0x9be166…
08-09 17:26:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	174	56¢	$97	0x24ef18…
08-09 17:09:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x706777…
08-09 11:07:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	9,992	0¢	$40	0x9725e8…
08-09 11:01:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0xa701aa…
08-09 10:45:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd20ed6…
08-09 10:27:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	2,463	0¢	$10	0x1c679d…
08-09 09:57:22	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1,319	89¢	$1,174	0x9e1423…
08-09 09:19:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	9,408	0¢	$38	0xa39fc0…
08-09 09:16:31	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x7e5449…
08-09 08:57:52	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	252	93¢	$234	0x26054f…
08-09 04:36:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0xa3e8e8…
08-09 00:22:03	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x3d97f8…
08-08 23:12:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0xdcf1f6…
08-08 19:08:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	2,500	1¢	$15	0x06dfb1…
08-08 18:49:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	383	1¢	$2	0x579ace…
08-08 18:29:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xe371f0…
08-08 18:29:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x5e06ca…
08-08 18:29:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0xc00c76…
08-08 18:29:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xad7aed…
08-08 18:29:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x61f8f3…
08-08 18:29:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x8ec600…
08-08 18:29:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x561c9b…
08-08 18:29:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0xf6f161…
08-08 18:29:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x72d579…
08-08 18:29:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x6d866a…
08-08 18:29:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x604033…
08-08 18:29:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x127357…
08-08 18:29:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x0c2f86…
08-08 18:29:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x036822…
08-08 16:58:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$50	0x6e0ced…
08-08 14:39:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	5,682	1¢	$34	0x114722…
08-08 14:38:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	2,652	1¢	$16	0xe47fab…
08-08 14:35:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	365	1¢	$3	0x5878b6…
08-08 14:34:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2e9d24…
08-08 14:34:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7c35fc…
08-08 14:25:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	2,541	1¢	$18	0x099023…
08-08 14:23:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	4,331	1¢	$30	0x1a9c9d…
08-08 13:53:09	NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	SELL	285	96¢	$274	0x2a510a…
08-08 13:22:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0xffab1e…
08-08 12:54:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	995	9¢	$90	0xf5e689…
08-08 12:21:10	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x0e88c1…
08-08 02:58:13	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xfda79d…
08-07 22:13:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	5,182	1¢	$36	0x43029d…
08-07 20:27:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	73	78¢	$57	0x62595f…
08-07 19:04:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	2,000	1¢	$18	0x348ff3…
08-07 15:25:31	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3f4519…
08-07 14:54:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$14	0x3573de…
08-07 14:54:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xfc2a9c…
08-07 14:53:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x1d60f3…
08-07 05:25:45	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0x92a2e3…
08-06 22:48:27	Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x458ed5…
08-06 21:54:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	1,369	1¢	$11	0x0a6fa2…
08-06 21:21:32	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	322	93¢	$300	0x6fc920…
08-06 21:02:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0xbefc0d…
08-06 20:51:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	4,783	1¢	$38	0x123965…
08-06 20:33:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	171	1¢	$2	0x5a846d…
08-06 20:33:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	5,384	1¢	$48	0x07d293…
08-06 17:33:38	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	SELL	69	48¢	$33	0x016602…
08-06 17:32:38	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	SELL	55	52¢	$28	0x8828a0…
08-06 08:53:11	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	656	16¢	$105	0x246609…
08-06 07:43:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	16¢	$9	0x6b99c7…
08-06 02:19:50	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	73	77¢	$56	0xc4e589…
08-06 01:07:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0xce23fd…