Realized P&L
-$6.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$322
Hit rate
19.1%
Resolved
8
Trades
40,561
lifetime
Volume
$469.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$9.60K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 06:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
51% 62% $-6,373
Other
29%
Crypto
19%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1353 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? No +1,400 $1,367 98¢ $1.4K +$7 06-09 15:37
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -919 $-923 99¢ $-912 +$10 06-07 04:53
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,120 $779 75¢ $840 +$61 06-08 16:46
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -798 $-822 98¢ $-785 +$37 06-10 04:46
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -700 $-685 98¢ $-685 +$0 06-09 07:08
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -688 $-680 97¢ $-664 +$15 06-06 14:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -605 $-534 68¢ $-408 +$126 06-09 00:19
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -409 $-393 95¢ $-389 +$4 06-06 08:55
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,372 $522 27¢ $370 $-152 06-04 08:58
New pandemic in 2026? No +402 $350 88¢ $356 +$6 06-06 22:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -300 $-261 86¢ $-256 +$4 06-01 02:57
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -3,036 $-229 $-228 +$1 06-05 07:43
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No -204 $-202 99¢ $-202 $-0 06-01 09:22
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -200 $-198 100¢ $-199 $-1 06-05 15:54
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -3,073 $-217 $-186 +$31 06-07 13:00
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No -175 $-173 99¢ $-174 $-0 06-05 15:53
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $200 $150 $-50 06-01 02:57
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,589 $128 $127 $-1 06-10 05:38
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +700 $173 18¢ $122 $-51 06-02 15:28
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No +124 $112 93¢ $115 +$3 06-03 16:47
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -152 $-150 75¢ $-113 +$37 06-04 15:45
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +120 $100 91¢ $110 +$10 05-28 03:07
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? No -109 $-108 99¢ $-107 +$0 06-05 23:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +196 $100 55¢ $107 +$7 06-05 18:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +606 $-95 18¢ $106 +$201 05-31 15:16
Will Meta acquire TikTok? No -106 $-105 99¢ $-105 $-0 06-01 00:45
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +104 $100 99¢ $103 +$3 06-02 23:16
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +105 $100 97¢ $102 +$2 06-01 12:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +108 $100 93¢ $100 +$0 06-10 03:07
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-108 99¢ $-99 +$9 06-06 07:09