Realized P&L
-$29
Unrealized P&L
-$40
Hit rate
50.4%
Resolved
29
Trades
92
lifetime
Volume
$480
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$37
6 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 09-13 19:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
47% 18% -$121
Crypto
28% 50% +$5
Politics
25% 25% +$87
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,135 $39 3¢ $30 -$9 09-13 19:25
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +167 $10 2¢ $3 -$7 06-05 16:21
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? Yes -767 $3 0¢ $-2 -$5 09-13 19:20
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? Yes -674 $3 0¢ $-1 -$4 09-13 19:19
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? Yes -256 $7 0¢ $-1 -$8 09-13 19:21
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -250 $6 0¢ $-1 -$7 09-13 19:20