Realized P&L
+$78
Unrealized P&L
+$2.64K
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
272
Trades
9,336
lifetime
Volume
$38.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$4.14K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 76 days
Categories
Other
79% 50% +$135
Politics
14% 68% +$114
Crypto
7% 67% -$196
Tech
0% 40% -$15
Sports
0% 89% +$40
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 260 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,481,588 $1,482 0¢ $2.2K +$741 10-30 10:58
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +518,476 $518 0¢ $778 +$259 10-29 15:34
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +99,962 $100 0¢ $250 +$150 10-13 10:01
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +53,489 $53 0¢ $187 +$134 10-09 21:17
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +44,984 $45 0¢ $157 +$112 10-05 05:23
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100,000 $100 0¢ $150 +$50 08-21 18:41
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100,000 $100 0¢ $150 +$50 08-21 18:42
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +72,184 $72 0¢ $108 +$36 10-29 15:30
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,454 -$119 2¢ $-73 +$46 05-06 20:42
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes -145 -$1,092 18¢ $-27 +$1,065 10-25 06:28
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +15,460 $15 0¢ $23 +$8 10-29 15:23
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,900 -$15 1¢ $-10 +$5 06-12 13:08
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,877 $14 0¢ $4 -$10 06-05 22:15
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +52 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 06-05 01:18
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -23 $8 2¢ $-0 -$8 09-03 21:11
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-30 15:46
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$1 1¢ $0 +$1 06-05 21:31